Following the release of #tether's distended testicle I mean attestation. I attempted to reconstruct some numbers....as mentioned only additional information I was able to yield was there was an additional $13m of undisclosed debt.
Armed with the donkey boys amazing double barrel pie chart I've added to the original analysis. The same doc previously shared which I'll share again at the end.
Ironically It's highly likely I've spent more hours on Tether's accounts in the last week than they have collectively in the last couple of years.
Combining the numbers that the Cayman testicle ticklers signed off on with Donkey's pie's we are able to breakout the cash....a massive $1.2B.....I found it interest that precious metals was bundled in with corporate bonds and funds....
Ive assumed that 'precious metals' is in fact Tether's little stock pile of gold...which by my calculations is around $145m....interestingly $9.8m is booked to treasury awaiting purchase (its been gathering dust for a while)....I'm guessing there's a few reasons why Tether gold
Hasn't quite gained as much traction as USDT.....for a start...(and as Donkey boy tweets daily) printing USDT to treasury is in anticipation of the avalanche of cash about to hit the account. Whereas with tether gold they stump up the coin to buy the gold first...
imagine if they had to stump up $1B of fresh lackies before Donks pressed print....bitcoin never would have broken 10k. but at least its actually fully backed even if its only 0.3% of assets. No idea whats Corp bonds and funds are so they remain bundled together.
tbh all the actions here.....there's commercial paper, Fiduciary deposits, reverse repos, treasury bills or T-BILLS as Gregory "I'm the junior CEO on training wheels" Peppin skooled us at length .....It was all about the T-Bills....fucks sake he must have said TBills 40 times...
Which is why I was a touch surprised that there's fuck all of them in the portfolio........I actually like Greg....mostly i liked his big gaming chair.....Apparantly he has a few of them....He sent me this snap of him in his favourite....awesome hey
anyways...back to the analysis....so it turns out half way through I realise that I'd missed a little black hole of $147million ...somehow the testicle tickler's consolidated total assets of $41.2B was $147m less than the aggregate total value of all 4 tokens.
wtf does that mean? Fuck knows....So I hit up Morons Caymans on Linked in.....and while I waited I tried to get tricky with the $147m....was it debt masquerading as a negative asset? Had the Wiz gone on a bender at spearmint rhino's and needed to hide the expense?
In the end...I said fuck it....ill just assume its either a mistake or its not....scenario 1 and 2...doesnt really matter .....be better to try and deal with the half dozen elephants running around the room.
I reckon this bloke would know a bit about commercial paper...can't seem to get hold of him....think he's pretty busy atm
I think you get the idea....here's teh spreadsheet for anyone that's interested bit.ly/3nDEMZ7
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So there went my evening. It started off productive but then I saw that someone posted a list of DOGE emails. I noticed that only elon and one other didnt have a doge address. so looked at the eop.gov forward to whitehouse.gov I had previously thought the primary domain was wh.gov but its not.
I had previously thought the primary domain was wh.gov but its not. but I did notice a bunch of tags.
and a load of domain forwards. which reminds me of elevateelon.com for the doge.gov site. I digress..
Ive already posted a number of posts on the overlapping tags and as noted there are a bunch of reasons this could happen so Im not going to repeat them again.
@DOGE a few bits & bobs for you have a look at.
First turn off the ports on your website you are not using and fix the tag vunerability.
But then you should really look at the tracking tag for whitehouse[.]gov and see why there a few overlaps with other entities. like the Albanian government.
This could cloned/reused tags/tag injection or something else.
@DrFranzC @NortheastCash @sprintcat9 @DOGE_GSA @DOGE You idiot. The contract award amount is not paid by the gov agencies it is fully funded by a 3rd party under an ESPC with a performance guarantee by Ameresco as the ESCO, it is self funded through the savings gained through the retrofit/upgrades across the 23 buildings.
@DrFranzC @NortheastCash @sprintcat9 @DOGE_GSA @DOGE So instead of paying zero, the agency will have to continue to maintain aging and legacy equipment the older they get the more expensive O&M is.
@DrFranzC @NortheastCash @sprintcat9 @DOGE_GSA @DOGE So now the agency will have to go through the same process at some stage the agency will have to waste time and resources going through the process again making an assessment between two pathways;
- ESPC; or
- Design-bid-build
Well done DOGE. You have just cancelled a contract for the feasibility study for a ESPC (Energy Saving Performance Contract) the sole purpose of guaranteeing the costs savings to be achieved by the project to secure 3rd party financing which is repaid by the savings generated through the term of the contact.
This contract went through a multistage tender approval process. So by cancelling it you have delayed the project.
@DOGE_GSA the contract is 23 years because the service provider (who guarantees the energy costs savings) provides the O&M services....guess the money comes from....the fucking guaranted savings.
So why does it cost so much to undertake the feasibility studies. because you are shifting the risk from the gov as well as the financing. The provider needs to be absolutely certain that those savings are actually going to be available to repay the 3rd party loan that finance all the capex and has sufficient additional cashflow to fund the O&M.
mate its absolutely achievable. I've done the numbers.
There are only 2 critical success factors; 1. Bitcoin goes to $23m per coin by 2045; 2. A visionary buyer that has accumulated > $20T and has confidence that even after 20 years of 34% CAGR providing the seller with a 350x bagger, that there's sufficient upside to warrant acquiring 1m bitcoin for > $20T.
The analysis;
Current US GDP $29.33T, Debt $35.49T
Using World bank forecast GDP growth of 1.9% and assuming the debt ratio stays the same
2045 debt will be a spritely $51.71B
Just for good measure here's the GDP and debt numbers for the Top 20.
Even after the 50% debt reduction, the US will still have the largest debt of all countries.
For the purpose of the analysis I've distilled the Lummis plan down to;
Buy 1m BTC for $70B using existing cash reserves.
Exit all or part of BTC holdings by 2045 to payout half the total debt.
In estimating how much of the investment would be required to settle 50% of the debt.
Two scenarios: Pessimistic (sell down 100%) and probable (sell down 50% ).
So for months I've been asking the question.
Who is behind the unnamed "private sector" group who are being given prioritised access to delivering food and supplies into #gaza.
I am suprised that literally no one appears to be looking into who this un-named collective that has delivered 25% of all 'goods and services' into #gaza.
I say G&S and not #humanitarianaid as these are commercial arranagements. Not for the starving or needy just for those that can pay.
The previous pie chart falls well short of actually what's happening with the shift to these unknown private groups.
When you look at the data over the last 3 months. Private groups are > 50% and increasing volumes month to month while total deliveries are decreasing.
July they are at 75% of total.