Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #tether

Most recents (14)

1/ A few observations on #bitcoin, #tether and #crypto regarding what happened in the last 30 days or so. $BTC $ETH
2/ Obviously we all saw that, despite the unwillingness of #tether to provide an audit, there now seems to be enough public or non-public information available to the NYAG for them to allege that $USDT were, at least for a time, not backed up with USD.
3/ Furthermore, the cited conversation between Oz and Merlin shows beyond reasonable doubt (to me) that the #bitfinex/#tether complex engaged in market manipulation to avoid what would be a black-swan event for them
Read 19 tweets
1/Given the recent news around #tether and #bitfinex, we wondered whether the more professional BTC investors would become more cautious - presumably inclined to take the @NewYorkStateAG action as no ordinary #FUD the retail crypto is so used to brushing off. Not really, it seems
2/In the wake of #Fidelity or #TDAmeritrade offering trading and storing of bitcoin, #CME futures is still the biggest market for US institutions to get exposure to #bitcoin price action.Commitment of Traders reports by #CFTC reflect trader positions by end of business on Tuesday
3/Reports come out every Friday to avoid market abuse. @krugermacro suggested using them as a proxy for institutional adoption, which was also referenced in the influential recent report by @tuurdemeester and @MLescrauwaet. We've also been tracking COT positions. Take a look
Read 11 tweets
If I had to guess, my likelihood is 60/40 that the top of this run is in for #bitcoin. Always can be another squeeze up to the $6k area of course, but my personal opinion is that last move was caused by bots (and FOMO) blindly following what amounts to a bank run on #bitfinex
If you actually read the NY AG allegations and then drop the idea that this is just some crusade against #crypto from evil regulators but accept that they probably have something to back it up, coupled with missing audits from #tether it seems pretty obvious what happened:
#tether and #bfx are one firm. They printed $USDT without having the actual USD to back it up. Then they used these to buy $BTC and push up its price. As is to be expected, if you call the shots and know where price will go, you can profitably speculate.
Read 14 tweets
Brief reality check on what caused last 10 days of #bitcoin upside. Sure seems driven by #tether fear and people moving their money off #bitfinex $USDT (on a potentially bankrupt exchange) into $BTC and out to a safe place. Funds may not be #SAFU. Below #bfx to #bitstamp premium.
According to @thetokenanalyst, #bitfinex had net #bitcoin outflows of 112,500 $BTC since #tether news broke. That's 620m USD roughly. Assuming #bfx data accurate it would be entire traded volume in BTC to stablecoins since then. Bankrun in slow-motion with no one around noticing.
Further point on this - I have never seen positioning in #bitcoin on #bitmex be so Bullish (ie 1.7x Longs/Shorts) but at the same time seen mex futures in such strong backwardation (ie discount to present). Means market really wants $BTC now, but in three months - not so much.
Read 5 tweets
#Bitcoin Short-Squeeze Warning:
The chances of a short-squeeze is relatively high. It also looks like the longer we remain in sideways above $5,200 the more likely the shorts will get as dangerously high as the August or December 2018 squeezes tradingview.com/x/PTqtC5iX $BTCUSD $BTC
Bitcoin Bitfinex shorts still adding up and the Premium has reached an all time high today. Time to watch closely: We either pull back hard from $5,800s to $5,300 or experience the squeeze by end of day tomorrow #Bitcoin #Bitfinex #Tether $USDT $BTCUSD
tradingview.com/x/K8aSuor9
The short-squeeze played out nicely. However, shorts remain quite high which means we will be heading higher over the weekend to $6,700-6,800 on Bitfinex or $6,400-6,500 Bitstamp before a major pull back. tradingview.com/x/brmTYXwp #Bitcoin #Bitfinex $BTCUSD $BTC #Crypto
Read 5 tweets
0/ Sometimes people only look at a Complaint and then ignore the lawsuit as it moves forward. That's a mistake. Sometimes the Defendant's response is just as important for either what they say or don't say. #Bitfinex #LetsDiveIn - iapps.courts.state.ny.us/fbem/DocumentD…
1) #Bitfinex moves to vacate the #PreliminaryInjunction - Obvious move, because the #PreliminaryInjunction as written (especially as it relates to the discovery) is VERY bad for them. The more people say Tether is backed by 74% is also bad...
2) Page 1, Paragraph 2 says in BOLD that the parties have been "cooperating for months." Ummmm, if #Bitfinex had been cooperating for months, it wouldn't find itself in this position. The amount of pages produced does not = cooperation. #MyGuessIsItWasCloserToStonewalling
Read 15 tweets
Latest news: #bitfinex token will be named LEO, it’ll be a hybrid model of #bnb & #bfx
In addition to the logic of #bnb token, #bitfinex will repurchase and burn the tokens with the unfrozen funds in the future #usdt
The total amount is $1b, so far amount received for it is $500m #usdt
Read 9 tweets
On one hand, I’m impressed with how $BTC has held given the #Tether news, on the other hand the ~$200 spread between @bitfinex & other exchanges is making me queasy.
Hardly selling off after getting bad news is something we’d expect in a bull market (which I don’t consider us to be in yet despite the hurrahs around golden crosses), but the non-reaction (thus far) has opened my eyes on $BTC sentiment a bit.
On the other hand, we’ll see if Bitfinex can withstand the run on the bank & what further Tether boots drop.

With $BTC needing to retrace to either $4K or the 200 week SMA to have a rock solid base for the bull market to come (IMO), we could get our last great opp of 2019.
Read 4 tweets
1/ STUNNED but not surprised by #Bitfinex #Tether news out of #NewYork. I'll let other cryptolawyers analyze it but here are two macro thoughts: (1) There's a big double standard here. (2) Exchanges, clean up your act--cryptographically prove your solvency
2/ First, the double-standard. Why didn't the NY AG throw the Martin Act at Merrill Lynch for doing something actually quite similar from 2009-12? Seriously, why the double standard??? Quoting the SEC's press release here: sec.gov/news/pressrele…
3/ "The maneuver freed up billions of dollars per week from 2009-12 that Merrill Lynch used to finance its own trading activities. Had Merrill Lynch failed in the midst of these trades, the firm’s customers would have been exposed to a massive shortfall in the reserve account."
Read 8 tweets
The @BitwiseInvest piece about fake volume is going to have far reaching effects in this space. It might take a few months to sink in, but it will soon enough. #bitcoin

Cool site that shows the fall out of volume. openmarketcap.com/exchanges/diff…
#Ethereum's volume is less than 10% of #bitcoin's, instead of 50%. That's a large difference that will affect all eth based tokens as well.
#Ripple $XRP's volume is another 70% lower than Ethereum's.
Read 4 tweets
0/ The stream of #crypto- and #blockchain-related news knows no end!

To help you stay on top of all that's been happening over the past 24 hours, I've put together this 22-part thread.
1/ ☁️ @helloiconworld [ $ICX ] launched 'ICON Development Network' on #Amazon's AWS Marketplace, allowing developers to easily run a private instance of the ICON #blockchain network through @awscloud.

Makes building on #ICON far more convenient. medium.com/helloiconworld…
2/ ✍️ @_PoetProject [ $POE ] - a decentralized protocol for content ownership, discovery and monetization in media - is now live on the #bitcoin #mainnet!

Partnership announcements and product updates in the coming weeks. Growing strong! blog.po.et/the-better-web…
Read 23 tweets
1/ I don’t think there is any type of scam or fraud behind @bitfinex, #Tether, and $USDT reserves. Today’s report gave the market the most important information they needed (reserves are there), yet doubters want more. Here is why I don’t think there is fraud with #Tether:
2/ The hit on Bitfinex is that they are printing $USDT with no backing. This would mean that Bitfinex is knowingly committing fraud and market manipulation for in the crypto space, all while the biggest spotlight is on them. This seems extremely unlikely to me for many reasons.
3/ First let’s take a look at Occum’s Razor: “a problem-solving principle that, when presented with competing hypothetical answers to a problem, one should select the answer that makes the fewest assumptions.” Let’s take facts and not assumptions.
Read 11 tweets
THREAD: Some takeaways from the article published today by @FTM_nl on #Tether / #Bitfinex (article is in Dutch). I worked with @thomasbollen on the research behind the article and the leads that provided were followed up by Thomas. Hope you’ll read & share ftm.nl/artikelen/ing-…
1/ The article first discusses many, often separately reported, facts about Tether and Bitfinex, i.e. Paradise papers, loss of banking, break with audit company, +800m tethers in Jan, tetherreport.com, and adds all sorts of details to provide an in-depth longread.
2/ While doing research into Tether and Bitfinex, we stumbled upon an ING bank account. The article particularly describes results of subsequent research steps taken by Thomas on this Dutch link. It provides some new insights, the main takeaways are outlined below.
Read 13 tweets
#Tether is/was:
- created to bypass KYC/AML laws & the banking blockade on exchanges that don't comply.
- a centralized stop-gap solution until connections to fiat are unneccesary.
- most likely holding reserves in an offshore bank account.

#bitcoin $btc
2/ @Tether_to cannot defend themselves b/c they risk gov't intervention. Making their bank account(s) public puts them at greater risk of being shut down & assets seized. They also can't acknowledge back room deals between the exchanges & them, that puts the exchanges at risk.
3/ The similarity between Tether & the online sportsbooks/casinos that have had to route around banking blockades for years is obvious. Both need to use sketchy banking practices to maintain their businesses or face government intervention.
Read 6 tweets

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