Cd20+DLBCL Profile picture
15 May, 19 tweets, 5 min read
Once again medicines regulations are becoming politically charged in the UK. Late last year it was rapid / hasty (depending in your view) MHRA authorization of COVID vaccines. Now it is about cancer treatments.

Brief thread on regulatory approval and market access.
/1
For your doctor to prescribe you a medicine, two things must be true (outside a clinical trial)

1. The medicine can legally be sold in the place you live (regulatory marketing authorization)
2. Someone (hopefully by you) is willing to pay for that medicine (reimbursement)

/2
The regulators make sure that medicines are only sold if there is strong evidence that the balance of benefit to risk is favourable. Their goal is to stop companies marketing medicines that are unsafe or don't work.

The "label" on a medicine is key.

/3
A medicine label includes the indication: for what type of patients/illness has the pharma company produced compelling evidence of safety and efficacy.

A new drug typically starts with an indication for one (sometimes small) patient population.

/4
But the label indication evolves over time. "Label expansion" is the process of doing further clinical trials to show the med works in other types ilof patients or illness.

So if the label approved by my local regulator includes me, do I get the drug?

Well not necessarily.

/5
Whether you get a medicines also depends on whether the person paying for your care considers it value for money.

This involves the pharma company producing evidence of health economic benefit to justify the price (value based pricing).

Expensive drugs are rationed.

/6
But you might get a medicine even if your illness isn't on the label. This is called "off label" use and is under the discretion of your doctor. It is influenced by local treatment guidelines and oubkused papers.

Drug companies can't market a drug for off label use.

/7
If your regulator has authorized a med for one indication, you might get it for that, or something else. But you might not get it for either depending on reimbursement and local clinical practice.

But if it isn't authorized for anything, it can't be sold and you can't get it.
/8
To give a personal example, nearly 15 years ago I had a type if cancer (my twitter handle) and a new anti body treatment was authorized for a later stage of the same cancer. But I got that treatment off label from a London hospital. It was later indicated for my disease.
/9
So back to NI and it's unusual regulatory position.

The controversy over the cancer treatment Osimertinib which how has a different label from EMA (hence NI) to MHRA (GB).
This can be dealt with through UK wide treatment guidelines for off label use
/10


The bigger problem will come when either EMA or MHRA authorizes an entirely new medicine before the other. Off label use then isn't possible in the jurisdiction with no auth.

The industry concensus has typically been that pharma companies will prioritize EMA over MHRA.

/11
But MHRA is trying to establish a reputation for rapid review to mitigate this.

Time will tell if they works out.

The politics in NI will however be difficult as EU and UK diverge over medicine (and medical device) regulation.

/12
To switch topic slightly... The related field of medical device regulation is also likely to be a significant source of UK/EU divergence and hence NI/GB stresses.

Medicine regulation in Europe is mature and well respected by industry. MHRA has adopted the same regs.
/13
EMA, like MHRA has learned from COVID and will be more agile in review moving forward and so speed of review is unlikely to be very different.

Medical devices regulation in Europe, in contrast, is in transition. Some would say in crisis.

Med devices isn't EMA's job.

/14
Medical device regulation in Europe has no central agency. The EU sets device rules and national competent authorities supervise notified bodies who review technical files for CE marking of devices.

/15
The new medical device regulation requires much more clinical evidence that devices work. Especially devices containing complicated software. But expertise in AI and novel sensors is in short supply and spread thin. Many in industry are frustrated by the MDR implementation.

/16
Th FDA is centralised and has its act better together. Many European companies developing innovative devices now go for FDA clearance or authorization prior to CE marking.

The UK MHRA theredore has more space to do things differently in devices then medicines.
/17
So what does this mean for NI if novel medical devices eg: including AI get approved in UK before CE marking?

Well it is complicated.

But as this poster presented at the RAPS conference last week shows that NI ought to get best of both worlds.

/18
That poster was presented by @sebclerkin at RAPS Euro Convergence meeting. He may be able to say more.

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More from @CDlbcl

14 May
More on the shocking resistance of western public health authorities to accept that diseases can be airborne.

Why? Unknowingly, are they are still fighting the centuries old battle about whether diseases spread through miasma (putrid air) or contact?
/1


en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miasma_th…
A big battle in the 19th century was whether doctors infected their patients through touch, and should therefore wash their hands.

Semmelweis was ridiculed by senior doctors for encouraging hand washing. Everyone knew disease was spread by miasma.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ignaz_Sem….
The eventual victory of the contact theory of disease spread - and the importance of washing hands - transformed health.

But it meant the 20th century public health establishment refused to tolerate criticism from those who argued disease is spread through the air.

/3
Read 5 tweets
13 Mar 20
Tough choices for governments in managing COVID-19.

With apologies to @olivierveran here are some sketches which I think illustrate options. We are plotting number of cases on y against time on x.

Firstly the do nothing option is the blue curve in this graph.
The reason that is so bad is that at peak the number if cases would be well above the capacity - red line - of the healthcare system to cope. Insufficent ventilators, beds and staff would lead to higher proportion of cases dying than would otherwise be the case.
/2
Govs want to "flatten the curve" so cases develop like the green curve. Even if the total number of cases were the same as in the blue curve, the fatality rate would be lower as hospitals could cope better: the max number of cases never exceeds healthcare capacity red line).
/3
Read 10 tweets

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