Weekly French vaccination thread.
France may reach its target of 20 million first doses by the end of today. I say MAY. If it falls short, it will be by a few thousand jabs, which will be much closer than seemed possible even a week ago. 1/12
France may reach its target of 20 million first doses by the end of today. I say MAY. If it falls short, it will be by a few thousand jabs, which will be much closer than seemed possible even a week ago. 1/12
Both health minister Olivier Véran and Doctolib site predict France WILL hit the target after strenuous efforts in recent days. As of 7.30pm yesterday, 293,069 1st jabs were needed – far more than have ever been given on a French Saturday. But this may not be any Saturday 2/12 
The last week saw huge efforts, such as relaxing age rules and keeping vaccinodromes open late, to deliver a politically important promise. Big numbers were jabbed even on Thursday’s hol (600,000+) and yesterday’s “pont” (weekend bridge) 598,639 incl. 437,620 1st jabs) 3/12
I confess I was doubtful the 20m target could be achieved. It may still elude the government – but, if so, only just.
Will this week's sprint – 3.2m jabs, 468,000 a day, including 316,000 1st jabs – be maintained? If so, the target of 30m 1st jabs by 15 June is doable. 4/12
Will this week's sprint – 3.2m jabs, 468,000 a day, including 316,000 1st jabs – be maintained? If so, the target of 30m 1st jabs by 15 June is doable. 4/12
For comparative purposes,(hem, hem), the French 24hr jab average was 468,273 in 7 days, compared to 514,371 in UK. Germany gave 1.3m jabs on Fri and 1.1m on Wed. Its daily avg. is circa 725,000 – ahead of Fr/UK even allowing for 25% higher population.
EU rollout “failing”?
5/12
EU rollout “failing”?
5/12
The UK is streets ahead overall. It has given more than 36m first jabs and should reach 20m 2nd jabs this weekend.
But you still see stuff in UK media, and from French opposition pols, talking of a stumbling/glacial EU vax rollout
For them, news is not news – it’s “olds”
6/12
But you still see stuff in UK media, and from French opposition pols, talking of a stumbling/glacial EU vax rollout
For them, news is not news – it’s “olds”
6/12
A word on AstraZeneca. French resistance to the AZ vax is evident. By yesterday 92% of Pfizer doses had been used and 79.5% of Moderna doses. The take-up for AZ is 58%, slightly improved. There are 3m AZ doses unused/unaccounted for since the Fr. rollout began (out of 7.4m)
7/2
7/2
And yet….the Fr. government told pharmacies they would be getting Moderna and J and J next week because AZ was not available. Bizarre. What happened to 3m unused doses? Timed-out and thrown away? Sent to the developing world? The health ministry is silent on this subject.
8/12
8/12
Back to good news…
20m first jabs means 38.4% of French adults have been partially vaccinated. By 15 June that will be almost 50%..
In terms of age groups, the figures are (imo) impressive.
See graph borrowed from the wonderful Vaccintracker site.
9/12
20m first jabs means 38.4% of French adults have been partially vaccinated. By 15 June that will be almost 50%..
In terms of age groups, the figures are (imo) impressive.
See graph borrowed from the wonderful Vaccintracker site.
9/12
As of 13 May:
Over 75’s were 78.3% covered by 1st jabs and 62.7% by 2nd jabs. (BUT over-80’s only 73.4% 1st-jabbed. Why?)
65-74’s – 73.3% 1 jab and 31.5% both.
50-64’s – 46.5% and 14.1%
So much for polls last year which said only 40% of French wanted an anti-Covid vax. 10/12
Over 75’s were 78.3% covered by 1st jabs and 62.7% by 2nd jabs. (BUT over-80’s only 73.4% 1st-jabbed. Why?)
65-74’s – 73.3% 1 jab and 31.5% both.
50-64’s – 46.5% and 14.1%
So much for polls last year which said only 40% of French wanted an anti-Covid vax. 10/12
I believe these stats help to explain a dive in C19 infections/acute cases in France in recent days. The incidence rate (cases per 100,00 people/7 days is now 168.5 (181.8 allowing for low holiday testing). All Paris area departements (over 500 in April) are below 300.
11/12
11/12
In terms of pressure on acute care – the figure most watched by government – see the official graph below on new admissions to ICU. They were running at 500+ a day last month. They are now down to 196 a day.
Fingers crossed for a good summer.
12/12
Fingers crossed for a good summer.
12/12
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