As I wrote my thread on Trump Prison, many responded speculating about a secret Trump Self-Pardon.
I can tell you. He has pardoned himself. Yes. Donald J Trump has given himself a self-pardon. Of COURSE he has. Absolutely yes.
Let's consider this
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 2/
Do not give me that stunned look. Of COURSE Trump has signed a pardon, for himself. A blanket pardon. It is secret, he has that document, waiting. Of course he did this. He may be stupid, he is not that much an idiot NOT to try this futile gambit.
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 3/
Intuitively all of us understand, it 'cannot be legal' for a President to self-pardon himself of crimes. It would place him above the law, make him in effect a King.
That all may be. But the CONSTITUTION does not FORBID him...
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 4/
So technically, the Constitution gives the President UNLIMITED power to pardon (not excluding himself). No President has ever attempted a self-pardon. It has thus NEVER been TESTED in the Supreme Court. Because it is NOT FORBIDDEN, Trump did it
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 5/
Trump's self-pardon will be laughed out of court, by the Supreme Court, on a unanimous decision. Unanimous. But Trump appointed 3 dudes to SCOTUS. Those were not Trump's boys, they were MITCH McCONNELL's conservative justices. They HATE Trump
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 6/
If any of SCOTUS were pals of Trump they would have voted FOR his silly election lie, to keep Trump in power after the election. They voted UNANIMOUSLY against Trump (twice). And against him on his taxes etc. Trump will lose this OBVIOUS pathetic ploy
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 7/
But Trump has NOTHING to LOSE by singing that one piece of paper. He is a gambler who has lost it all. He will grasp at ANY straws, including this futile gambit. Of COURSE he has a signed self-pardon. It is also WORTHLESS. Do not panic.
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 8/
First off, Trump's self-pardon will be IRRELEVANT in ANY court cases of STATE law. A President can only pardon for FEDERAL crimes. Trump will do a DECADE in prison on his New York state TAX crimes, alone. Ignoring ANY other crimes.
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 9/
There are a TON of state crimes awaiting Trump from embezzlement in DC & Maryland, to a slew of financial fraud in New York to election fraud in Georgia, NJ, Penna, to tax fraud in Illinois, California etc. Trump does DECADES for these STATE crimes
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 10/
Trump CAN use his self-pardon to attempt to buy time in FEDERAL crimes like the extortion of Ukraine (Giuliani) or the terrorist attack he organized against Congress (Jan 6) or the corruption and extortion related to his pardons schemes. Only DELAY
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 11/
If Trump DOES show his self-pardon, he can probably cause a DELAY in that Federal criminal case. As it then goes through the courts to SCOTUS. YEARS of delay. But Trump awaits that time IN PRISON for his STATE crimes
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 12/
It is much worse. A Pardon is an ADMISSION OF GUILT. If Trump USES the signed pardon, he is admitting he was guilty. It kinda ruins his brand. He cannot claim innocence while waving a pardon. And it exposes Trump for testimony AGAINST HIMSELF..
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 13/
Trump obsessed more about pardon power than ANY other Presidential power. He asked about it from EVERYONE, lawyer and layman alike. He plotted and schemed about pardons, and finally figured, for his OWN pardon to work, he cannot pardon Giuliani etc
Trump Self-Pardon Thread 14/
Do not be worried, or alarmed. Very likely at some point Trump will show his self-pardon. It will not prevent justice from being done. Trump goes to prison anyway. And it is possible, Trump never even SHOWS the pardon he gave himself :-)
PS on pardons.
Trump didn't secretly pardon Giuliani (he woulda shown that already). Trump would totally ruin everything by pardoning Beavis or Butthead Trump, who are knee-deep in state crimes and been singing in depositions.
Entitlement Barbie? Might JUST have kissed for one?
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Many are mentioning that Trump might be a flight risk. He is
The most popular destination suggested is asylum in Russia. That is highly unlikely
Would defection by Trump get him beyond justice. No, of course not. Let's do the analysis thread on asylum.
Trump Asylum Thread 2/
Asylum is a form of international sanctuary. Go to another country to escape persecution (or prosecution). Ballet dancers like Nureyev, Baryshnikov and Godunov defected from Soviet Union. Wikileaks's Julian Assange seeked refuge in Embassy of Ecuador
Trump Asylum Thread 3/
And a former Dictator who tried to destroy the young democracy in Ukraine and take power, Viktor Yanukovych, was ousted in 2014. He defected to Russia. A Putin pal.
Where did we hear that name? Oh, MANAFORT was assisting Yanukovych rape his nation. Yeah.
Trump forced Kennedy to retire early. It is very likely extortion, very likely linked to Kennedy's son who worked at Deutsche Bank approving Trump's loans worth around $300 million, backed by Vladimir Putin (likely money laundering)
Trump replaced Kennedy with Justice Kavanaugh. His financial situation had miraculous improvements (likely not directly Trump but rather rich Republican donors who wanted to own a SCOTUS Justice). But Trump very likely demanded a BRIBE to appoint Kava. Like Gov Blagojevich tried
Extortion and bribes are difficult to prove
Trump used extortion REGULARLY (and we saw him do it with Ukraine, Impeachment 1)
He also demanded bribes for his appointments (Ambassador to EU who testified in Impeachment 1 admitted to paying $1 million to get his job)
While I am doing Trump self-pardon (so he most def has signed that for himself) many also have been asking about Rudy Colludy. Does Giuliani have a secret pardon?
No. He does not. Let's do this thread once and for all
Giuliani Pardon Thread 2/
Giuliani was BEGGING Trump for a pardon. He never got one. If he had a secret pardon, he would have waived it on the day the FBI raided his office. Why? Because he dealt with the worst scum international thugs, who TRUSTED their alleged attorney of NY
Giuliani Pardon Thread 3/
Had Rudy had a pardon, he would have waived it to keep his legal offices clean. Now Giuliani's legal career has effectively ended. NOBODY can ever trust Rudy as a lawyer, because the Feds have raided his office.
As Trump is seeing the walls caving in all around him, let's do a May update to the stages of where is the Prison Time, that is coming to Trump
I promise you. Trump will go to prison. Let's examine, in Rumfeldian words some known knowns & some unknowns..
Trump Prison Thread 2/
I can PROMISE you, Trump goes to prison. We do not know WHEN he goes to prison. There are MANY ongoing cases against him. But let's do an update. Starting with certainty. Some of Trump's prison sentences are KNOWN KNOWNS... Like Michael Cohen..
Trump Prison Thread 3/
We KNOW Trump will go to prison, because of Michael Cohen, his former attorney. Michael Cohen pleaded guilty and got 3 year sentence. In his case Donald Trump was 'Individual One' the person who DIRECTED the crimes of Cohen. Trump WILL DO THIS TIME.
The GOP had the chance to split when Mitch McTurtle & GOP Senators could have impeached Trump (Mitch was given TWO opportunities to fix the GOP). This splinter group is not VIABLE, if the core of party is Trumpist. They will return
Understand the OPPOSITE.
If GOP had kicked out the total loser Trump (lost the GOP the House, the White House AND the Senate, inside 2 years, worst performance by a party in 90 years) - his supporters COULD have launched a VIABLE Third Party, on the right wing fringe: Tea Party
In that OPPOSITE case the Rump GOP could have SHIFTED TOWARDS THE MIDDLE - and try to take some disgruntled moderate DEMs (mostly INDs) to support them, and the nutter NRA, Tea Party, Nazi, racist sexist religious nutters could have had the Trump party, with a slice of support.
Let's talk a bit about Buttdial McRudypants's evidence problem. So the FBI raided his office (extremely rare) & obviously they had gotten a warrant from a judge to do that. What did they achieve? A thread on his perils
Giuliani jeopardy thread 2/
To be clear. Rudy Giuliani himself knows he is totally guilty and utterly f*cked. He had begged Trump for a pardon and did it openly, that was how desperate Buttdial McRudypants was already last year, BEFORE his criming around the January 6 riots
Giuliani jeopardy thread 3/
Feds raided The Ghouliani's home and office. They had a warrant which allowed them also to seize nearly a dozen electronic devices. NOW the SDNY has NOT reviewed ANY of the devices, but have asked a judge to appoint a specialist to first vet devices