braddelong.substack.com/p/briefly-note…

BRIEFLY NOTED: Martha Wells in conversation with Kate Elliott. Plus MOAR. Plus:

Cory Doctorow: The Memex Method. When Your Commonplace Book Is a Public Database: ‘The very act of recording your actions and impressions is itself powerfully mnemonic… 1/
.... The genius of the blog was in the publishing. The act of making your log-file public requires a rigor that keeping personal notes does not…. Repeated acts of public description adds each idea to a supersaturated, subconscious solution of fragmentary elements that... 2/
... have the potential to become something bigger. Every now and again, a few of these fragments will stick to each other and nucleate…. When one of those nucleation events occurs, the full-text search and tag-based retrieval tools built into Wordpress allow me to bring... 3/
... up everything I’ve ever written on the subject…. The availability of a deep, digital, searchable, published and public archive of my thoughts turns habits that would otherwise be time-wasters—or even harmful—into something valuable…. Systematically reviewing your... 4/
...older work to find the patterns in where you got it wrong (and right!) is hugely beneficial—it’s a useful process of introspection that makes it easier to spot and avoid your own pitfalls…. Two decades in, I can safely say that this community of peers, mentors... 5/
..., sounding boards, protégés, friends, combatants and interlocutors is more useful to me as a writer and a person than the even the prodigious instrumental benefits that blogging brings to my composition process…

LINK: <doctorow.medium.com/the-memex-meth…> 6/END

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More from @delong

12 May
braddelong.substack.com/p/briefly-note…

Things that went whizzing by that I want to remember...

First: A Snippet from a Dialogue: The Current Plague in India:

Axiothea: How much worse are things in India than the statistics the Indian government is reporting say?

Parmenides: We do... 1/
...think that here in the United States we have had 900,000 rather than 600,000 deaths—out of a total caseload of perhaps 60 million, perhaps 120 million. How bad are things in India right now, really? And how bad are they going to get?

Aesclepius: We do not know. We... 2/
... guess that true plague deaths are between three and eight times officially recorded deaths. And we guess that India is only halfway through this current plague wave.

Axiothea: If so, note that India currently is at 200 reported deaths per million—say the true number... 3/
Read 7 tweets
12 May
braddelong.substack.com/p/podcast-hexa…

Noah Smith & Brad DeLong's 30:00 < [Length of Weekly Podcast] < 60:00. Key Insights: (1) Economic arguments against higher taxes that may have been somewhat plausible back in the days of 70% or so maximum individual and 40% or so maximum capital... 1/
... gains tax rates simply do not apply now.

(2) Right-wing parties that don't think they can credibly make the argument that cosseting their core constituencies is necessary for rapid economic growth search for some non-economic cleavage in which the rich and the right-... 2/
...thinking poor, or the right-colored poor, can be on one side and the people who seek a fairer and more equal distribution of income and higher taxes on the rich can be put on the other—let's all yell about critical race theory, and maybe they won't pay attention to the... 3/
Read 6 tweets
12 May
Apropos of:

Charlie Jane Anders: What Samuel Johnson Can Teach Us About Separating Art from the Artist: ‘[Johnson: "]Of Cowley… he in reality was in love but once, and then never had resolution to tell his passion...

<buttondown.email/charliejane/ar…> 1/
...This consideration cannot but abate, in some measure, the reader’s esteem for the work and the author…

I present a section from Noah Smith's & my Hexapodia XIII, with the highly estimable Cory Doctorow, also talking about the life and death of the author and the sub-... 2/
...Turing imago instantiations of the author that we absorbed readers cannot help but run on our wetware:

<braddelong.substack.com/p/podcast-hexa…>

Brad: Well, we know this is a problem. When one is dealing with an author whose work one has read a lot of—by... 3/
Read 20 tweets
11 May
braddelong.substack.com/p/briefly-note…

First: Here we see a striking difference between Paul Krugman and Larry Summers. Krugman sees models as intuition pumps—and believes strongly, very strongly, that if you cannot make a simple model of it, it is probably wrong. Summers believes that... 1/
...our models are, at best, filing systems (and at worst tools for misleading the unwary)—and that the right way to think about the economy is as, in some way, a two-state system, with expansion being one state and recession the other, so that you cannot halt an expansion... 2/
...without tipping the economy fully into recession.... My take? Of the last six tightening cycles, three have been followed by demand-shock recessions within two years of the tightening cycle’s end. I interpret this as: you gotta halt the tightening before you overdo it... 3/
Read 7 tweets
10 May
braddelong.substack.com/p/briefly-note… First: A Snippet from a Dialogue: Anti-Anti Tory Little Englandism:

Kephalos: I am pretty sure that—within the population of Great Britain—the Tories are a marked minority. And—yet—they could easily be governing with a pretty comfortable margin for... 1/
...the next 10 years. It is kind of unnerving how a minority faction has—more or less—run the joint ever since “the strange death of Liberal England”. Even when Blair and Gordon were PMs—they still had to triangulate. And—perhaps the strangest thing of all—the... 2/
...Conservatives have run the joint, but everyone else gets blamed for (i) haphazard retreat from Empire and (ii) relative economic decline. Its almost as if the Conservative are “alcoholic Daddy” who everyone is supposed to clean up after. Thrasymakhos: “Almost”? The... 3/
Read 7 tweets
9 May
braddelong.substack.com/p/briefly-note… First: Best-case—i.e., most optimistic scenario for employment—is employment corresponding to a “true” unemployment rate of 2.5% in 2023 with core inflation at 2.75%/year. That is enough to get inflation expectations up to the Fed’s target of... 1/
... 2.5%/year on a CPI basis. That is not enough for anyone reasonable to claim that an ever-upward inflationary spiral is on the way. The definition of “stagflation” is a world in which expectations are anchored on the belief that inflation is going to rise over time... 2/
...hence an unemployment rate greater than the natural rate is required in order to hold inflation steady. That does not seem to be the world we are headed for in the optimistic scenario. And that stagflation equilibrium is much further away in the non-optimistic scenarios... 3/
Read 6 tweets

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