What is your metrics for this outburst?
Unless we base our strategies on SOUND & SHARED data we will be trapped in WAVES & MCOs since MOH stopped sharing data in Sept 2020
#HIDE has exposed MOH’s failure to analyze big data (1/6)
Now MOH & JKNS has FAILED to curb the COVID spread in S’gor unlike before Sept 2020 when @stfc_selangor HELPED JKNS to plunge the cases with @Selangkah_my digitized & automated FTTIS Rapid Response!
Since Sept 2020, MOH FORCED @stfc_selangor to “Box in the Ring Blindfolded” (2/6)
Based on data:
5 states surpass the National Infection Rate (IR) average
Highest KL, then S’gor, K’tan, Sarawak, P’ng
MOH ada threshold for MCO ke?
To TIGHTEN SOP ie CIRCUIT BREAKER, KL dulu NOT S’gor-mass testing detects MORE cases
Stop playing parochial politics Minister (3/6)
The critical question to ask is:
Why have MOH failed to flatten the curve since Sept 2020 despite MCOs & EO?
You have done the SAME COVID strategy time & time again & expecting a different outcome!
Kan Einstein dah kata: Ni kan KERJA GILA ! (4/6)
To tame the virus you need to tame your egos first & listen to the EAG & other expert advice outside MOH.
Not just listen but OPERATIONALIZE their new strategies & ideas
Better still .. exit, and allow competent Public Health experts to take charge! (5/6)
codeblue.galencentre.org/2021/04/26/pri…
MOH have yet to execute the EAG RESET approach to:
1. Rapid Response FTTIS
2. Real Time Digital Solutions
3. Stronger Public Private Partnership (PPP)
4. Warp Speed Vaccine Rollout
5. Smart Risk Communications (6/6)

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More from @drmusanordin

16 May
I’ve been there X2.
IMO CPRC have little sense of what’s happening at CAC.
Since Feb 2021, none from CPRC visited this biggest & busiest CAC except on 12/5/2021.
The CAC TOR is vague.
One only feels & emphatize with the burden when one sees the insanity at CAC Stadium Melawati
Logistics were haywire.
KKM could not even provide air-conditioning to the stadium!
Imagine volunteers & drs boiling in the PPEs!
And our sick patients in the sizzling hot Stadium.
@ProfAdeeba et al sought CSR from GLCs and secured air-con within 24 hrs!
I did not wanna interfere. But suggested the following ideas:
1. Get a few senior drs to walk OUT into the long queue.
2. Interview cases & if need be do a focused physical exam.
3. If clinically diagnose Cat 1 or 2 allow home.
Read 6 tweets
16 May
The Massacre of Palestinian Children & Women MUST STOP
Dato’ Dr Musa Mohd Nordin-Chairman
Puan Sri Norma Hashim-Treasurer
The basic human rights and dignity of the Palestinian people have been usurped since 1948.
Their ancestral lands were stolen, their villages burned, and they were forced out of their homes.
Since her inception in Dec 2008, Viva Palestina Malaysia (VPM) has been unrelenting in her pursuit towards advocating justice, peace, freedom, and self-determination for Palestine.
VPM has funded medical, educational, micro-financing, housing, and agricultural projects in Palestine.
The recent incursions on Al-Aqsa and the massacre of innocent lives, children and women in Gaza compels VPM to address the humanitarian crisis in Palestine.
Read 6 tweets
7 May
Why cases high despite Active Case Detection in Selangor?
Apart from socio-demography d/t DATA BLACKOUT
May-Aug 2020 @Selangkah_my in active usage.

+VE Cases (Red Line) kept LOW by:
-Digital & Automated (CT) Contact Tracing (unlike MOH’s manual tracing)
-Rapid Response FTTIS
SELangkah success story cut short due to:
1. Aug 2020-MySJ made mandatory
2. Sep2020-MOH stopped Data Sharing-SELangkah CT Ecosystem was disabled

Politics & MOH paying dearly for disabling the @Selangkah_my CT ecosystem.
They are stuck with manual tracing- Turtle Speed FTTIS
Data analytics after 1yr
Startling facts:
1. Super-spreaders 90% spread from <1% premises
2. >80% contacts traced to ISO & Q breakers
3. MySJ blind spots eg schools
4. Data can give 7 day alert b4 outbreak BUT ineffective FTTIS not busting clusters
Read 5 tweets
4 May
This is what EAG (Expert Advisory Gp) meant by empowering State/District/Rakyat with HIDE Analytics!
Check out the UK version which informs the British:
BASIC STATS
LOCKDOWN RULES IN YOUR AREA
bbc.com/news/uk-543739…
BASIC STATS:
Cases per 100K in the area?
Total Cases in latest wk?
Compared with previous wk?
COVID Deaths?
How many had 1st dose Vaccine?
Graphs to show:
Trends in Case Rate
Changes by Age
Trends in Death Rate
ANALYSIS of the DATA
LOCKDOWN RULES IN YOUR AREA:
1 Meeting friends & family
2 Going to work
3 Schools & Nurseries
4 Leisure time
5 Shopping
6 Others
Read 5 tweets
1 May
RED ZONE (>40 active cases) is NOT based on good science.
EAG stipulated it should be TARGETED MCO based on risk stratification:
1 Infection Rate (IR)
2 Coping capacity of healthcare
3 Essential services

nst.com.my/news/nation/20…
Too costly on lives, livelihoods & economy to mandate MCOs based on arbitrary metrics
@mohdhelmi factored 22 variables & utilised machine learning to do risk stratification of S’gor districts @Selangkah_my can be extrapolated-need national data sharing!
codeblue.galencentre.org/2020/12/14/cov…
P’ng, Johor & Kedah below national IR average
Why MCO?
What metrics minister using? What is the threshold to MCO?
Selangor borderline
BUT look at their risk stratification metrics with the heat-map
@Selangkah_my with Data Sci-Machine Learning-AI doing predictive risk modeling
Read 7 tweets
30 Apr
U r a very considerate person
May u b blessed bountifully this Ramadan
My review on this issue, yet to be uploaded
KKM data puts Msia in a HIGH Infection Rate country.
Risk of hospitalisation in 70 yr old is 1786X, risk of death 906X from COVID versus risk of blood clots!
IMHO This is good enough evidence to adopt an OPT OUT AZ vaccines policy.
Rather than an OPT IN at a separate AZ Vaccination Centre!
Our national policy on AZ ruins vaccine confidence & stigmatises a vaccine. 10.4K deaths prevented in UK with AZ! gov.uk/government/new…
This vaccine has protected the healthcare facilities from being overwhelmed with COVID admissions, lack of PPE, Oxygen, Respirators, ICU beds and has prevented deaths especially in the senior citizens. 90% hospitalisations were reduced in Scotland thelancet.com/journals/lance…
Read 5 tweets

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