Research below shows fairly similar employment losses between parents & non-parents.
I believe the data & exercise, but I'm unsure how to square those results with survey evidence: Census Household Pulse Survey shows ~6.8 million Americans reporting disruption to childcare
And respondents self-report impact to their work availability:
If you focus just on reasons 4-6 which would be most likely to show up in employment data, that still seems like >1 million*, a much larger effect than above.
*Respondents can select multiple answers
When you ask Americans not working what their reasons are, a similar 6.75 million Americans report not working to care for children.
Maybe Americans responding to the survey would be unavailable for work bc of some other factor even if childcare was available? But it seems unusual that we would see such enormous divides between self-reported reasons and actual employment behavior
Data tables adapted from Census Household Pulse Survey, Week 28 (April 14-26): census.gov/data/tables/20…
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38% of employers reduced job openings in Nov, up from 33% in Oct & the largest share since April.
Similarly, only 30% of employers increased hiring, the smallest share since May.
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The decline in job openings is unusually geographically dispersed:
-Plains states like South Dakota & Kansas that held up well earlier are now seeing large downturns
-42 states + DC saw MoM drops—the most uniform decline since May.
The Jul surge in job openings in #JOLTS was unusually large. By contrast, @Glassdoor data has shown steadier progress since Jun.
Early data from @Glassdoor also anticipates continued progress in Oct.
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Part of the reason for the Jul surge and subsequent softness is bc of the 2020 Census delays which have shifted temp Census worker job openings to Jul instead of Apr.
This month's report confirms that the temporary effect has now largely waned.
In the last 2 weeks, Arkansas & Missouri have reestablished work search requirements for people seeking #unemployment benefits, previously waived bc of COVID-19, even as new cases start to rise.