Fabulous, thank you so very much. 1,001 responses to the survey. This is wonderful. Now, to run the tests and find out whether the hypothesis is wrong or right. Before I run the test (it'll take hours to build what I need), I suppose I better say what I am looking for ...
... the hypothesis is that within the sample there are two distinct populations - a traditional and a next generation - along with a majority that are "in between". Due to bias in sampling (i.e. my tweet streams) then the Next Gen is likely to be much more represented ..
... than the Traditional but that's ok, we're are looking for a phenotypic difference in the populations. The reason for cast the net wide is that hopefully we may catch 20+ of both. As I said, the vast majority will be "in between" ...
... the key questions for identifying the populations were 5 and 1. Those who are strongly procedure based and believe the future is more office first go into TRAD, those who are strongly principle based and focused on remote first going into Next Gen ...
... these questions were built through a long process of interviews, discussions and an entire research process. But, what I'm looking for specfically is significant differences in those populations on ...
... leadership, outcome vs output, top down vs swarming, the importance or not of hierarchy and levels of situational awareness in the wider group. These have been the key phenotypic differences in discussions, the others I'm less convinced of. Anyway, now I get to find out ...
... so, for now the survey is stopped. Time to go look at the data and test the hypothesis ... I have this feeling of both elation and dread to arrive at this point. I sort of love and hate this moment ... I think I'll start with a cup of tea.
Anyway, thank you to everyone.
So, a couple of people have asked if I can keep the survey going. Sure, if you find it useful for other purposes.
I've taken a snapshot of the data at 1,001 people, so everything beyond this will be ignored. If you find it useful then please feel free to use it.
Ok, first up ... 31 of 1001 divide into the Traditional Group, 92 of the 1001 divide into the Next Group ... that was higher than I expected. Still, gives me more to work on.
Ok, t-tests all done ... we have significance across multiple characteristics - leadership, top down vs swarming, outcome vs ouput, importance of hiearchy plus also some surprising ones - marketing as a justification rather than alternative views, sustainability, external comms
Ok, so I'm now feeling the hypothesis is somewhat sound, there are distinct populations ... of course, need to start graphing this up to see where we're at ... another of cup of tea needed. At least I don't have to go the old "yep, sorry, nothing there path" again.
After this, I need to go check the entire population ... see if the rest fit between these extremes ... of course, the hypothesis is not out of the woods yet.
Ok, these are starting to look interesting ...
Or, for example ...
Do remember, the background (i.e. the wider) is heavily biased by selection (my twitter feed) and so what you need to look at are the population Trad vs Next Gen that are separated by those questions of Principle vs Process AND Remote vs Office first i.e. this is what matters ...
... by simply answering those questions on principle vs process AND office first vs remote first then I can tell you quite a lot about the company including, it seems, how you feel about the future.
Whoops, first error of the day. Let us repeat that.
X : Isn't this a big company vs small company thing?
Me : Well, if you filter for companies over 1,000 employees in size then ... no, it's not.
In fact, the large companies (>1,000 employees) in the Next Generation bucket appear more positive about the future than the small companies. Go figure.
However, I'm here to test one thing ... the hypothesis that we have seperate populations - a next gen and a traditional - if you want to look for other correlations - size of company, age etc then you'll need to create a hypothesis, build a survey to test it and then go test it.
OK, just over 10 years ago I published this Traditional vs Next Generation table and said that over a decade that companies would become more Next Gen ... most companies were influx between the two ...
... of course, back them I had many tell me that it was a lot of nonsense ... chaos engines, continuous deployment, commodity infrastructure ... ha! "That was for startups" ... was the common line I heard.
Ok, so let us do this again. I'll need to tidy it up a bit but ...
... here is your traditional vs next generation table for the next decade. Most of you will already be somewhere between the two.
And yes, I'm aware some companies haven't even done the last lot ... they are just falling further and further behind.
X : Not sure I understand that table.
Me : OK. Take a group of companies are asked them two questions ...
a) Is work more driven by procedures or guiding principles?
b) Is the future of work more office based or remote?
... then subdivide as follows
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
i.e. the traditional are those who believe the future of work is office based and strongly dependent on procedures whilst the next generation are more biased towards remote work and the use of guiding principles ... you will then find ...
... the traditional are far more biased towards learning via in person lectures with experts whereas the next gen are biased towards remote learning with "live" scenarios and gameplay ...
The traditional are far more ouput driven whist the next generation focused on outcome ...
X : How do you distinguish between a pipeline item on your map vs a component?
Me : A pipeline represents a non exclusive OR ... i.e. this OR that OR that, where you have multiple evolving components of the same "meaning". e.g. power needs Coal OR solar OR wind OR ...
e.g. film content NEEDs Action OR Thriller OR SciFi OR Costume Drama OR ...
e.g. collective NEEDs Family OR Nation OR Football Club OR Church OR Company ...
Normally, the connections on a map represent a logical AND.
Cup of tea NEEDs Cup AND Tea AND Hot Water
Hot Water NEEDs cold water AND kettle
Kettle NEEDs Power
Power NEEDs Solar OR Coal OR Wind OR ...
X : Thoughts on Palestine?
Me : My thoughts are with the innocent lost on both sides. I would hope in the future the UN would have a standing army that could end such conflicts, whether there or Yemen and yes ... there are too many power interests at play for that to happen.
X : A UN standing army?
Me : Yes. In my view, the UN should have the single most powerful and overwhelmingly destructive military force with a mission to end conflicts quickly and force all sides to a negotiation mediated by the UN ... regardless of the conflict, anywhere.
X : That'll never happen.
Me : I know. Too many power interests at play. Maybe, one day in the future.
Awesome .. 670 responses to my survey of changing practices - forms.gle/kcwQSd8HV7sAhn… ... thank you all so much. I need to get this upto about 1,000 in order to stand a chance of picking out the weak signals, so please share it. Takes about 10-15 minutes. All help appreciated.
Me : Over 800 responses now to the survey, thank you - forms.gle/au9kLWLia3qQJp…
X : Will you publish the data?
Me : No. I'll publish the results, the test of the hypothesis.
X : What if I want to look for something else?
Me : Give me your hypothesis and I'll test it.
X : I was more hoping to find interesting correlations.
Me : Oh, hell no. You can always find correlations if you go looking for correlations. Madness lies that way. It's why you build a hypothesis, collect data, test the hypothesis.
X : What if it's wrong.
Me : Then it's wrong.
X : Not a fan of bitcoin?
Me : Nope. Never was. I don't like the societal payload of laissez faire.
X : Not a fan of crypto currency?
Me : Didn't say that. There are many issues with crypto currencies (for example, energy consumption due to proof of work) but there is potential.
... I've always said there is potential in the blockchain.
X : Ethereum?
Me : Half and half. Proof of stake etc, still lacking aspects of transparency in ownership but there are some interesting ERC-20. Hoge for example - hoge.finance
X : Why interesting?
Me : It's all to do with the culture map. If we finally get around to having the whole Me vs We discussion in society and determining our actual beliefs and behaviours that we value ....
X : Is there more to write on the book?
Me : Lots - strategy, gameplay, culture, political and ... oodles to finish.
X : When are you going to do this?
Me : When I have time.
X : Any ideas when?
Me : I'll probably retire in about 20 years, so I should have time then.
X : What if someone else beats you to it?
Me : Saves me a job. I do encourage others to write books on mapping for this very purpose. I'd prefer to spend my retirement fishing (without a fishing rod i.e. sitting on the bank of a river drinking coffee and having a smoke).
X : What if you die before you finish it?
Me : Well, I believe it ceases to be my problem at that point.
X : Can't you ...
Me : .... hmmm, prioritize? I have other priorities - my research, my work, the family, repainting the house, the garden allotment etc etc.