Thread by @drStuartGilmour

Since I have a lot of new followers, many from China, I thought I would share some of my research with Chinese colleagues that I have been working with since 2011. In particular I work a lot with colleagues in Sun Yat Sen U, on health system and HIV topics in China. [1/9]

First, I have worked with colleagues at SYSU on mathematical models of HIV in men who have sex with men (MSM) in China, to estimate the benefits of Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) [2/9] bmcinfectdis.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11…

We have also studied HIV incidence and risk factors in collaboration with Chinese non government organizations (NGOs). We showed a long-term decline in HIV incidence in Chengdu, in my first trip back there in 15 years (everyone loves Chengdu!) [3/9] bmcpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11…

My colleagues in this group have also produced research on other aspects of the health and wellbeing of MSM in China, such as studies of intimate partner violence. [4/9] journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.117…

A former student of mine, now returned to China, published research on the effectiveness of hypertension management in China. As China ages and gets wealthier non-communicable diseases are a growing priority, and preventing them is tough. [5/9] journals.plos.org/plosone/articl…

More recently, with collaborators at Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, we published research on the way that government health spending affects the growth of the health industry. [6/9] mdpi.com/1660-4601/17/1…

Also, I have been involved in coronavirus research in China, at the invitation of colleagues there. We published an early estimate of the basic reproduction number of covid-19, much higher than published western estimates. [This is in Chinese]: [7/9] html.rhhz.net/zhlxbx/2020040…

A preprint of this last estimate is available here in English, slightly modified: [8/9]
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…

My research always involves colleagues in China or Chinese students based in Japan. This ensures I am addressing topics of relevance to public health in China, as well as understanding the data properly. Something I think others commenting on China should do too! 9/9