UK civil servants have been tasked with costing a massive multi million farmer support program which will pay British farmers to switch out of farming and/or retire as ministers prepare for possible trade deal with Australia & New Zealand.

For smaller family farms the govt has indicated it is considering going above “the £100 000 cap” on payments floated in 2020 as ministers concede a significant number of sheep/cattle farms’ business models will simply be wiped out if UK adopts zero tariffs/quotas as new base.

The problem civil servants has raised with ministers is that if UK concedes a no tariff/quotas deal with 🇦🇺 & 🇳🇿 then other large countries with significant food exporting sectors like Brazil are likely to insist on this model as a precedent trade model with UK.

Not a lot of detail on the “farmer retirement scheme” although what one does see seems a bit illogical.

It’s likely to actually be smaller family low intensity farms that are “more eco savvy”.

Understand the cabinet split is much broader than 1st thought with both 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 & 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Ministers backing Gove & Eustice that a zero tariff/quota would not only destroy 🇬🇧 farming but would have implications for the Union as farming a far higher significance in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 & 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 than in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿.

One compromise being floated is the meat/produce quota-free system could be phased in over a timeframe of 5-10 years which would mean the painful collapse of many British farms could be handed on to the next govt when it would be to late to reverse.

In theory the decision *should* be taken by the cabinet tomorrow on Thursday.

And if it’s really the no tariffs/no quota model Truss is pushing them theres a chance of resignations as the implications will be pretty traumatic for MPs/Ministers from rural constituencies.

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More from @nicktolhurst

18 May

Report that "Over 100 direct flights from India have arrived in UK" since Boris Johnson placed India on the Red List on 23rd April.

This would suggest thousands of people came from India at the high point of the variant outbreak.

And that contrary to govt communication no flight ban actually occured, but rather that talk of one accelerated people moving forward their plans to travel to the UK from India.
Read 4 tweets
18 May

Michael Gove "walking back" some arguments of harder versions of Brexit in discussions both within Govt & with MPs.

Gove, one of the Leave vote architects, is now thought to favour closer strategegic cooperation with EU & less emphasis on global free trade solutions.

In this context its interesting to see this week's reporting on the trade deals with Australia & NZ:

“There is an absolutely ferocious row going on in Whitehall over the Australia deal...with Gove & Eustice on one side, Truss & Frost on the other.”


Truss is adamant UK should trade with Australia on similar “zero tariff, zero quota” terms to deal UK struck with EU.

“..We’re talking about signing off the slow death of British farming so Liz Truss can score a quick political point,” said one insider opposed to the deal.
Read 6 tweets
14 May

Conservative MPs, ministers & Lords have received financial contibutions/assistance from a US organisation that drew up the voting suppression laws expressly aimed at reducing ethnic minority votes in southern US states.

Voting suppression is now coming to the UK.

The "Heritage Action" group has been exposed in leaked videos/doccuments to have drawn up voting suppression laws expressly aimed at reducing certain demographic group votes.

HA is a part of the Koch funded Heritage group which finances Conservative MPs, Ministers & Lords.

So deep is the Heritage/Koch funding of Conservative MPs it will take a very large thread to build it out.

One of the biggest beneficiaries is the corrupt blackmail-vulnerable MP Liam Fox who twice stood for leadership of the Tory party & was Johnson's candidate for the WTO.
Read 5 tweets
13 May

Evidence emerging that highly placed members of the UK govt coordinated attacks on Keir Starmer & the Labour Party in the autumn on 2020 with members of senior BBC management & senior BBC journalists as criticism of PPE corruption & COVID deaths mounted.

While it’s already well documented that Laura Kuenssberg had many private meetings Dominic Cummings what’s new about the latest information is the number of discreet meetings senior BBC management had with the govt - a sometimes together with BBC journalists.

Of these the BBC executives who were helping to coordinate with the govt were 2 of the leading forces at the BBC:
Tim Davie &
Fran Unsworth

Davie in particular with Kuenssberg is understood to have had a numb er of meetings with Cummings last autumn.
Read 12 tweets
12 May
This is possibly the most disgusting article I’ve ever seen in a British mainstream newspaper. But if you just read it without context you might not realize it

Because everyone, Tom Newton Dunn regular BBC guest is glorifying...

...a wife murderer.


The whole article lauds Sun journalist John Kaye as a legend of Fleet Street.

Nowhere mentioned is that Kaye killed his 1st wife. Under normal legal process he’d have got life. But the Sun paid for best legal defence & got it reduced to manslaughter.

It doesn’t end there..

A few months after a spell in psychiatric care he was taken back by ...the Sun.

Where he became that “legend of Fleet Street”.

And how did he do that...?
Read 6 tweets
12 May
So I tried to avoid commenting on this but well it’s gone viral so my 2 pence worth.

People need to both calm down about it...and use it.


In a way Burnham is 100% correct.
Brexit is reality.
& many remainers still seem stuck in 2019 when a single switch could have flipped it.
Those days are gone.
It’s over.

So the real debate is if you don’t like Brexit and want to overturn it - how do you do it?

You can fight the 2024 election on overturning Brexit or you can try another way.

Now every poll I’ve seen shows no appetite for a 2nd referendum now and EVEN if there were it’s unclear that EU accession could happen anytime soon.

The EU would have to be clear we meant it.
Read 7 tweets

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