This is NUTS. & GENIUS. GENIUS-NUTS: On startup, the Apple Silicon M1 notices that it has lots of background and housekeeping work to do—mds_stores, bird, cloudd, kernel_task, & c.—and so it starts doing it. It immediately full-throttles all four... 1/
...of its IceStorm efficiency cores. Then I start working. And it responds, giving me FireStorm core #5, with occasional spillover to FireStorm core #6, holding FireStorm cores #7 & #8 in reserve, just so if I ask it to do anything heavy, it can respond instantaneously... 2/
..., rather than get caught up on its background and housekeeping by letting those processes onto the performance cores. Let’s see if I can get it in gear… Here I have an unconverted terabyte zoom session lying around… PEDAL to the METAL, Commander! Zoom & MacOS are not... 3/
...able to feed the FireStorm cores fast enough to fully-occupy all four of them, but it definitely gets us to a heavy workload… And yet the fan never goes on. The thermal envelope of the machine is so far from being a constraint that it needs no boosting at all... 4/
...I haven’t felt like this with the performance delta of a new machine since the high tick-tock days of Moore’s Law, back before the beginning of the Great Recession. But I do wish this from <anandtech.com> said “TSMC-Apple” or “Apple-TSMC” rather than just... 5/
...“Apple”. TSMC is doing a lot of the heavier lifting here.
PLUS: Somewhere in the past I remember reading Matthew Yglesias talk about being on a panel with Mike Allen, in which Mike Allen said that his way to do journalism was to (a) write the story between Republicans... 6/
... insisting that the earth was flat while Democrats claimed it was round so that 90% of readers would think the point was “opinions of shape of earth differ”—thus pleasing Republicans—but dropping breadcrumbs so that the 10% who read it properly and then thought about it... 7/
... would realize that the Republicans were bullshitting—thus making it so the Democrats could not complain. And, he said, his bosses at the Washington Post were pleased.
That Mike Allen seems to me to have had a much firmer moral compass than this one. Allen (& Nichols... 8/
...who I think needs to move quickly to get away from his current associates before it is too late) says “some democrats…worry…”, “some economists… fear”, “some Democrats… arguing behind the scenes…”, yet White House officials insist…” and “Yet Biden still wants to... 9/
... spend more…”
Yet when we look for a referent for “some Democrats…” and “some economists…” we find—Larry Summers. Allen and Nichols didn’t even bother to talk to and get a quote from Olivier Blanchard. Or from Charles Goodhart, who fears that debt accumulation will... 10/
...put the Fed in the position of having to walk a knife-edge ridge, blindfolded. Phoning it in. If you don’t bother to find three examples of what you are talking about, you aren’t being serious.
Larry rarely has opinions for no reason (although he is prone to... 11/
...overenthusiasm). And I very much hope that demand will be strong enough that the Federal Reserve will be able to accomplish liftoff from the zero lower bound on interest rates—that would be a good thing. But as best as I can see Biden is not intending to pump up demand... 12/
... any more: he wants his additional spending to be paid-for, after all. 13/END
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@paulkrugman ...happens to stabilize aggregate demand is the true non-interfering 'neutral' monetary policy". It was a con, yes, but it was a successful con. And it is not clear that it was wrong as a practical policy position. It was, after all, Keynes's as well: "the result of... 2/
@paulkrugman ... filling in the gaps in the classical theory is not to dispose of the ‘Manchester System’, but to indicate the nature of the environment which the free play of economic forces requires..." <marxists.org/reference/subj…>. Friedman's insistence that you could do it with... 3/
One question I always ask @paulkrugman and company is: what happened to the influence of Milton Friedman? No one was a stronger anti-liquidationist than Milton Friedman...
@infinite_me@Claudia_Sahm@paulkrugman ...myself... in the late 1940s.... 1930s, pre-General Theory; we have a somewhat similar Talmudic cast of mind and a similar willingness to follow our analysis to its logical conclusion.... [We] agree[d] on a large number of issues-from flexible exchange rates to the... 2/
@infinite_me@Claudia_Sahm@paulkrugman ... volunteer army. Yet we were affected very differently by the Keynesian Revolution-Lerner becoming an enthusiastic convert... I... somewhat hostile.... Lerner was trained at the London School of Economics, where the dominant view was that the depression was an inevitable... 3/
FIRST: You can think of the labor market as being in one of three different modes. In the first mode there is chronic over supply of labor at the prevailing wage. In the second mode the labor market is in balance, and in order for employment as a... 1/
... whole to rise firms need to offer higher real wages. In the third mode the labor market is at full employment and even increasing wages will not increase employment in the economy as a whole. The labor market has been in the first mood for so long the employers regard... 2/
...the second as grossly irrational, and talk about "labor shortage" whenever we get into it. But mode two is not “labor shortage”. Mode three is when you can talk about "labor shortage":
Anne Laurie: Fruits of Their Labor: The Secret Is Leaking Out: ‘The Wall Street Journal 3/
No. There is neither a transcript nor a video nor an audio of John Cochrane's 2008 CRISP Forum keynote at the Gleacher Center. It appears to have been deep-sixed. All we have of it appears to be Cochrane’s declaration—made at a time when the share... 1/
... of the U.S. labor force in construction was below its long-run average and had been below its long-run average for fifteen months—that: “we should have a recession. People who spend their lives pounding nails in Nevada need something else to do.” No recognition at all... 2/
...that the structural-adjustment climb-down from the housing boom had already taken place. No recognition that structural adjustment takes place by pulling people into high-value jobs, not by pushing them out of low-value jobs into zero-value non-jobs. No recognition at... 3/
First: Even though she is endorsed by Ross Douthat, Angela Nagle seems to me to be a remarkably silly person. She “hoped or expected… Trump” would “adopt… national economic revival policies”. And now she is surprised that the hated “Libs” are... 1/
... enacting such policies, have “gone much further with them”, and “these are good policies”. In spite of huge amounts of evidence, she has not yet been able to open her eyes and realize that Donald Trump is a grifter who does not care about anything other than staying... 2/
... out of jail and owning the media cycle. Expecting him to lead a national economic revival was really stupid. Did I hint that it is surprising that someone endorsed by Ross Douthat is remarkably silly? My bad. That start should be: “Since she is endorsed by Ross Douthat... 3/
Jackson Hole in 2005: The "unremitting attack"—as Alan Blinder characterized it—on Raghu Rajan's warnings of financial instability and mistrust of the neoliberal market-financial order: Summers, Fraga, Fischer, Trichet, Sinai, Weber, Kohn—an... 1/
...impressive group saying that Rajan had overstated his case, with only Blinder coming to his defense, saying: "I’d like to defend Raghu a little bit against the unremitting attack he is getting here for not being a sufficiently good Chicago economist and... emphasize the... 2/
...sentence in his paper... “There is typically less downside and more upside risk from generating investment returns.” This is very mildly said. The way a lot of these funds operate, you can become richer than Croesus on the upside, and on the downside you just get your... 3/