@paulkrugman ...happens to stabilize aggregate demand is the true non-interfering 'neutral' monetary policy". It was a con, yes, but it was a successful con. And it is not clear that it was wrong as a practical policy position. It was, after all, Keynes's as well: "the result of... 2/
@paulkrugman ... filling in the gaps in the classical theory is not to dispose of the ‘Manchester System’, but to indicate the nature of the environment which the free play of economic forces requires..." <marxists.org/reference/subj…>. Friedman's insistence that you could do it with... 3/
@paulkrugman ...automatic monetary policy alone was wrong: "the influence of banking policy on the rate of interest will [not] be sufficient by itself... a somewhat comprehensive socialisation of investment will be required". But JM Keynes (macro)-Henry Simons (antitrust)-AC Pigou... 4/
@paulkrugman ...(externalities) is not that far from what you or I believe, or what Milton Friedman believed—or, at least, would graciously concede in his old age in outdoor lunch in North Beach if I could get him off of his hobbyhorses of 'k% rule' & 'government failure is almost... 5/
@paulkrugman ...always certain to be worse than market failure.
The way you put it in your 2013 piece is like this: "If markets can go so wrong that they cause Great Depressions, how can you be a free-market true believer on everything except macro? And as American conservatism moved... 6/
@paulkrugman ...ever further right, it had no room for any kind of interventionism, not even the sterilized, clean-room interventionism of Friedman’s monetarism". I think that is (a) right, (b) much too compressed, but (c) ignores the problem of "where do you stop?" Having the... 7/
@paulkrugman ...establish & maintain a property-rights order & enforce contracts is, after all, a form of "interference" to the anarcho-capitalists. And while there are some ACs who want a contract dispute between you and me resolved by me "hiring" my police force and you "hiring"... 8/
@paulkrugman ...yours and the two settling the dispute by the Final Argument of Kings—thus going all the way back to full feudalism as society's organizing principle—most do not. Most stop being happy with police & courts. So why is police & courts acceptable, while police & courts &... 9/
I think it has something to do with Schumpeter, von Hayek, and von Mises and the context of early-20th center Vienna, with the idea that humans are individuals for whom private property and one-shot exchange are "natural" (as opposed to... 10/
@paulkrugman ...creatures that establish and cement societal bonds via ongoing reciprocal gift-exchange relationships), with the philosophical position that all is for the best in this the best of all possible worlds, and the resulting theological belief that "the market giveth; the... 11/
@paulkrugman ...market taketh away; blessed be the name of the market".
In short, I think you are right, but I do not understand why you are right.
And here I know I am out of my depth, and I want to call for Emma Rothschild @HistoryEcon, for I think she might be able to teacheth me... 12/
One question I always ask @paulkrugman and company is: what happened to the influence of Milton Friedman? No one was a stronger anti-liquidationist than Milton Friedman...
@infinite_me@Claudia_Sahm@paulkrugman ...myself... in the late 1940s.... 1930s, pre-General Theory; we have a somewhat similar Talmudic cast of mind and a similar willingness to follow our analysis to its logical conclusion.... [We] agree[d] on a large number of issues-from flexible exchange rates to the... 2/
@infinite_me@Claudia_Sahm@paulkrugman ... volunteer army. Yet we were affected very differently by the Keynesian Revolution-Lerner becoming an enthusiastic convert... I... somewhat hostile.... Lerner was trained at the London School of Economics, where the dominant view was that the depression was an inevitable... 3/
FIRST: You can think of the labor market as being in one of three different modes. In the first mode there is chronic over supply of labor at the prevailing wage. In the second mode the labor market is in balance, and in order for employment as a... 1/
... whole to rise firms need to offer higher real wages. In the third mode the labor market is at full employment and even increasing wages will not increase employment in the economy as a whole. The labor market has been in the first mood for so long the employers regard... 2/
...the second as grossly irrational, and talk about "labor shortage" whenever we get into it. But mode two is not “labor shortage”. Mode three is when you can talk about "labor shortage":
Anne Laurie: Fruits of Their Labor: The Secret Is Leaking Out: ‘The Wall Street Journal 3/
This is NUTS. & GENIUS. GENIUS-NUTS: On startup, the Apple Silicon M1 notices that it has lots of background and housekeeping work to do—mds_stores, bird, cloudd, kernel_task, & c.—and so it starts doing it. It immediately full-throttles all four... 1/
...of its IceStorm efficiency cores. Then I start working. And it responds, giving me FireStorm core #5, with occasional spillover to FireStorm core #6, holding FireStorm cores #7 & #8 in reserve, just so if I ask it to do anything heavy, it can respond instantaneously... 2/
..., rather than get caught up on its background and housekeeping by letting those processes onto the performance cores. Let’s see if I can get it in gear… Here I have an unconverted terabyte zoom session lying around… PEDAL to the METAL, Commander! Zoom & MacOS are not... 3/
No. There is neither a transcript nor a video nor an audio of John Cochrane's 2008 CRISP Forum keynote at the Gleacher Center. It appears to have been deep-sixed. All we have of it appears to be Cochrane’s declaration—made at a time when the share... 1/
... of the U.S. labor force in construction was below its long-run average and had been below its long-run average for fifteen months—that: “we should have a recession. People who spend their lives pounding nails in Nevada need something else to do.” No recognition at all... 2/
...that the structural-adjustment climb-down from the housing boom had already taken place. No recognition that structural adjustment takes place by pulling people into high-value jobs, not by pushing them out of low-value jobs into zero-value non-jobs. No recognition at... 3/
First: Even though she is endorsed by Ross Douthat, Angela Nagle seems to me to be a remarkably silly person. She “hoped or expected… Trump” would “adopt… national economic revival policies”. And now she is surprised that the hated “Libs” are... 1/
... enacting such policies, have “gone much further with them”, and “these are good policies”. In spite of huge amounts of evidence, she has not yet been able to open her eyes and realize that Donald Trump is a grifter who does not care about anything other than staying... 2/
... out of jail and owning the media cycle. Expecting him to lead a national economic revival was really stupid. Did I hint that it is surprising that someone endorsed by Ross Douthat is remarkably silly? My bad. That start should be: “Since she is endorsed by Ross Douthat... 3/
Jackson Hole in 2005: The "unremitting attack"—as Alan Blinder characterized it—on Raghu Rajan's warnings of financial instability and mistrust of the neoliberal market-financial order: Summers, Fraga, Fischer, Trichet, Sinai, Weber, Kohn—an... 1/
...impressive group saying that Rajan had overstated his case, with only Blinder coming to his defense, saying: "I’d like to defend Raghu a little bit against the unremitting attack he is getting here for not being a sufficiently good Chicago economist and... emphasize the... 2/
...sentence in his paper... “There is typically less downside and more upside risk from generating investment returns.” This is very mildly said. The way a lot of these funds operate, you can become richer than Croesus on the upside, and on the downside you just get your... 3/