Author @StartsWithABang is worried conspiracy theories could threaten scientific autonomy of select scientists whose work can have catastrophic impact. And rightly points out that we live in a world where gov cannot be depended upon to effectively respond to emerging pathogens.
For instance, the country that is potentially the source of a lab escaped pathogen may not tell other countries what was done with virus X in the lab. And other countries, even after seeing videos of mass death, may think their country is magically immune to pandemics.
We also live in a society where people on extreme ends (including those in power) can behave irrationally and endanger each other’s personal safety.
Even if a lab escape was an accident, many people may not be able to accept the accidental nature of it and are out for blood.
We ideally want to reach a place where cutting edge pathogen research is performed to develop therapeutics/vaccines, but in the most transparent and safest (remote) way possible.
I don’t want to be back here in X years wondering if the pandemic then came from another lab leak.
Some scientists who had nothing to do with work being done in Wuhan are feeling reasonably anxious right now. Someone else’s massive mistake might result in pitchforks coming your way.
My recommendation to these scientists is to advocate as much as you can for an investigation.
The more scientists try to debunk a plausible origin hypothesis, in the absence of any dispositive evidence or intelligence, the less reliable and more self-interested they seem.
It starts to look like academic freedom >> millions of lives.
My opinion is that a Phase II joint study conducted under the same terms by the same team would be a monumental waste of time and resources.
By all means they can go ahead with it, but a separate actual investigation(s) are required.
Their approach is not even suitable for investigating natural origins, not to mention lab origins.
For instance, did any of the team members or journalists who read their report relay publicly that they had not visited the Wuhan Central Hospital or reviewed its patient data?
In an earlier open letter from March 4, 2021, a team of interdisciplinary experts (I am in it too!) pointed out the limitations of the current China-WHO study, and suggest actionable and feasible directions for a true investigation of possible lab origins: s.wsj.net/public/resourc…
There’s a new committee formed by highly respected scientists who are laying the groundwork for a national commission on covid-19. One of its focuses is the origins of covid-19.
"“These spillovers take years,” Gray says. “It’s not like in the movies. They go through different steps to infect humans.” So far indications are that the chimeric virus has not evolved to transmit efficiently between people." sciencemag.org/news/2021/05/t…
To find these steps for SARS2, I'd say that getting access to blood samples banked in Chinese cities prior to Dec 2019 is important.
Granting international experts access to the caves and regions in Yunnan, China where SARS2's closest relatives were found is also important.
It's already very surprising that the Chinese government has -still- not performed these basic checks to find the source of SARS2 / COVID-19 and determine when it first emerged in Wuhan. cnn.com/2021/02/21/chi…