In an earlier open letter from March 4, 2021, a team of interdisciplinary experts (I am in it too!) pointed out the limitations of the current China-WHO study, and suggest actionable and feasible directions for a true investigation of possible lab origins: s.wsj.net/public/resourc…
For example, one very straightforward action which literally takes one email to accomplish is for the Wuhan Institute of Virology to share what has been described as an excel database of 22,000+ virus entries (sequences and metadata).
No need to spend 1-2 years wrapping each sequence up into a manuscript please. Just share what you have, given the extreme circumstances of the pandemic, this will go a long way to demonstrate transparency and a will to find the #OriginOfCOVID19
Some other obvious venues of investigation laid out in the March letter:
Allow international experts to conduct confidential interviews, including of early cases, relatives, past & present personnel associated with sites of interest such as markets, hospitals, and laboratories.
If outside experts can talk to people in Wuhan city through secure channels, it will be possible to clear up what was happening in Dec/Jan 2020, e.g., if any live mammals were even sold at the seafood market in 2019, and what happened at Wuhan Central hospital with Dr Ai Fen.
There are routes to investigate outside China to find out what was happening in early days post-outbreak or even before the reported outbreak to see what might have led to SARS2 emerging in Wuhan.
That investigation should commence without delay & solicit help from each country.
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My opinion is that a Phase II joint study conducted under the same terms by the same team would be a monumental waste of time and resources.
By all means they can go ahead with it, but a separate actual investigation(s) are required.
Their approach is not even suitable for investigating natural origins, not to mention lab origins.
For instance, did any of the team members or journalists who read their report relay publicly that they had not visited the Wuhan Central Hospital or reviewed its patient data?
Author @StartsWithABang is worried conspiracy theories could threaten scientific autonomy of select scientists whose work can have catastrophic impact. And rightly points out that we live in a world where gov cannot be depended upon to effectively respond to emerging pathogens.
For instance, the country that is potentially the source of a lab escaped pathogen may not tell other countries what was done with virus X in the lab. And other countries, even after seeing videos of mass death, may think their country is magically immune to pandemics.
There’s a new committee formed by highly respected scientists who are laying the groundwork for a national commission on covid-19. One of its focuses is the origins of covid-19.
"“These spillovers take years,” Gray says. “It’s not like in the movies. They go through different steps to infect humans.” So far indications are that the chimeric virus has not evolved to transmit efficiently between people." sciencemag.org/news/2021/05/t…
To find these steps for SARS2, I'd say that getting access to blood samples banked in Chinese cities prior to Dec 2019 is important.
Granting international experts access to the caves and regions in Yunnan, China where SARS2's closest relatives were found is also important.
It's already very surprising that the Chinese government has -still- not performed these basic checks to find the source of SARS2 / COVID-19 and determine when it first emerged in Wuhan. cnn.com/2021/02/21/chi…