Re-upping this because I have recently made my way through the China-WHO full report and annexes on their Phase I study in Wuhan.
What their report tells me is that this team and this approach is not valuable in driving a credible investigation of the #OriginOfCOVID19
What their report tells me is that this team and this approach is not valuable in driving a credible investigation of the #OriginOfCOVID19
https://twitter.com/ayjchan/status/1381592061342842883
My opinion is that a Phase II joint study conducted under the same terms by the same team would be a monumental waste of time and resources.
By all means they can go ahead with it, but a separate actual investigation(s) are required.
By all means they can go ahead with it, but a separate actual investigation(s) are required.
Their approach is not even suitable for investigating natural origins, not to mention lab origins.
For instance, did any of the team members or journalists who read their report relay publicly that they had not visited the Wuhan Central Hospital or reviewed its patient data?
For instance, did any of the team members or journalists who read their report relay publicly that they had not visited the Wuhan Central Hospital or reviewed its patient data?
This was the hospital where the 2 most prominent doctor whistleblowers worked. This was also the hospital where some of the earliest cases were detected - the 1st reported test result for bat SARS-like coronavirus.
Yet, there’s no coverage of these details in the team’s report.
Yet, there’s no coverage of these details in the team’s report.
https://twitter.com/ayjchan/status/1383883360926240774
Most of the adult ILI analysis was based on a single hospital. And, page 26/120: "It should be noted that no samples from adults were available for testing in the last three weeks of December 2019, so conclusions about SARS-CoV-2 causing ILI in adults in December cannot be made."
Page 23 tells us that most of the cases of SARI reported in the sentinel surveillance in Hubei were in children and based on ONE hospital located OUTSIDE of Wuhan.
How could any of these data (not even accessible btw) tell us about when SARS2 first appeared in Wuhan?
How could any of these data (not even accessible btw) tell us about when SARS2 first appeared in Wuhan?
Page 40 tells us that even the death count per region analyzed was sub-sampled. Does Wuhan city and Hubei province not record when each person passes away?
There is no raw data on early cases. Making it difficult to understand if there were clusters or superspreading events leading to higher case counts in different parts of the city.
There is no detail on when case count data had been collected. Had they known this in Jan 2020?
There is no detail on when case count data had been collected. Had they known this in Jan 2020?
There is so much more to say about this full report (some of it technical) but would result in a 🧵 spanning maybe 20 pages.
I don't understand how journalists with scientific training could confidently report the China-WHO team's conclusions without expressing some skepticism.
I don't understand how journalists with scientific training could confidently report the China-WHO team's conclusions without expressing some skepticism.
Eg the case for #PopsicleOrigins gets even weaker when reading the report.
No animals of foreign origin identified in records, late Dec 2019.
No domestic origin cold chain products between Sep-Dec 2019.
No positive animal samples at all in Wuhan markets and upstream suppliers.
No animals of foreign origin identified in records, late Dec 2019.
No domestic origin cold chain products between Sep-Dec 2019.
No positive animal samples at all in Wuhan markets and upstream suppliers.
None of the first Covid-19 cases at the Huanan seafood market handled any wildlife meat, frozen or not.
There's no evidence at all of frozen ferret badgers bringing the virus into a Wuhan market, the virus reanimating and infecting its first human victim in the city.
There's no evidence at all of frozen ferret badgers bringing the virus into a Wuhan market, the virus reanimating and infecting its first human victim in the city.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
