BlockFi is one of the main bagholders of Grayscale Bitcoin trust. They attracted Bitcoin deposits promising some yield, then subscribed to $GBTC in kind, hoping to dump their bags for cash six months later, rake in the Grayscale premium, buy back Bitcoins, and pay out depositors.
In doing so they acted like a plain legacy bank, borrowing for 5% and lending for 30%. And like a bank, they borrowed liquid assets and invested into illiquid assets. The prize was the liquidity premium.
The problem was that the $GBTC premium didn’t scale - you see that often in
... the real world, where hedge funds close their fund to new investors, or straight-out pay back all outside investors and just keep managing their own money (which they accumulated from management and performance fees). That’s because market inefficiencies exist as long as not
... too many people try to exploit them. That’s why when you find an arbitrage opportunity, you shit up & milk it while the going’s good.
BlockFi went in all guns blazing, with a cohort of other arbitrageurs, to milk a cow for billions when the cow could only give a few million.
Now everyone’s stuck gripping onto a dry, wrinkled, milked-out teat, and the floor has suddenly disappeared, and the poor $GBTC cow is floating in the ether, a thousand feet up in the air, with a crowd of “smart money” arbitrageurs holding on for their lives. BlockFi among them.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Trolly🐴 McTrollface 🌷🥀💩

Trolly🐴 McTrollface 🌷🥀💩 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Tr0llyTr0llFace

27 May
Got to the office today and a package was waiting for me. I mean actually “me” - Trolly McTrollface. The secretary had signed off but had no clue. And I have no words. Image
Yup, that’s my Tetherino redemption. ImageImage
You’ve got appreciate the effort, really. Image
Read 9 tweets
24 May
I received an email from my hosting service this morning, warning me I had committed some kind of copyright infringement on my blog.
Turns out it was my post "A day in the life of Stuart Hoegner, General Counsel for Tether". Actual complaint attached.
A few thoughts...
1. I'm thrilled someone from Tether (fingers crossed, Stu himself) took the time to read my piece, run a whois on the domain, go through the trouble to find how to file a complaint, etc.
2. It's amazing the time and resources Tether spends on hunting down and harassing critics.
3. The complaint has been filed over the weekend. I guess that plays in favour of their "weekend wires" story - the Tether team really do work (???) 24/7.
4. I will take the piece down, even though it's obviously satire, but I don't have time to play with this. I'm not Tether.
Read 8 tweets
21 May
Cute how the crypto community tries to spin that exchange shutdowns are the equivalent of circuit breakers in real markets.
How come USDT exchanges didn't need to shut down? USD markets were overheating, but USDT markets weren't? How can you have bids in USDT but not in USD?
Real cash exchanges are indeed circuit breakers, but not for when markets overheat - it's when people try to cash out for real money. That's when the stablecoin/exchange cartel can no longer manipulate prices. The liquidity pool of USD, unlike that of USDT, is very shallow.
As long as traders trust stablecoins are legit, the cartel can pump prices up by printing USDT out of thin air, sending it to exchanges, and buying up everything on offer. Arbitrageurs on real money exchanges see Bitcoin go up against USDT, and rush to buy it against USD as well.
Read 8 tweets
19 May
In retrospect, Bitcoin's collapse was inevitable.
tr0lly.com/bitcoin/bitcoi…
Something whose sole purpose is to burn tens of millions of dollars per day is doomed to fail.
tr0lly.com/bitcoin/buy-bi…
And now this is what's in play.
tr0lly.com/bitcoin/usdts-…
Read 4 tweets
13 May
Note about Tether's reserves from someone who knows this shit.
It could all be legit. There's no way knowing, because we don't know who the issuer of the commercial paper they're holding is. If it's IBM, that's as good as cash. If it's Binance, lol. Same goes for corporate bonds.
Same goes for "secures loans". Who is the recipient of these loans, and what are they secured by? If these are loans to FTX secured by crypto, again, lol.
Fiduciary deposits should in theory be legit, although it's weird; I guess it's it's a consequence of offshore banking.
One big issue that puts a big question mark on everything is what accounting policies were used? Stu mentions "our accounting policies" but there's no such thing. Either you're using standards like IFRS, or you're making stuff up.
And finally, what's the total value of the pie???
Read 4 tweets
10 May
Monaco owes its VIP status to one man. Not Prince Charles III who built the casino, or Prince Rainier III who brought Hollywood fame by marrying Grace Kelly, or Prince Albert II.
Monaco owes it all to Camille Blanc, the casino operator who made the Monte Carlo casino profitable.
Before Camille accepted the job, the casino of Monte Carlo was a joke. Days would go by without a single gambler coming in. It was a money pit.
Camille changed it all. He only accepted the job after Monaco agreed to pay him 90% of the casino's profits. NINETY F***ING PERCENT.
Still, once Camille did his magic, the remaining 10% was such a bonanza that it was enough for the monégasque government to stop collecting taxes from its citizens - a status Monaco still enjoys today.
How did Camille turn a nameless casino lost in the Alps into such a wonder?
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(