1. The 1st of SIX Benghazi Committees was convened in the House in May of 2014-nearly TWO YRs after the event which occurred 9/11 of 2012.
It wasn't convened to find truth bc that was already known. It was convened to target the D Party's likely 2016 p nominee @HillaryClinton
2. However, in pursuit of the "norm of objectivity" & there never-ending effort to dispel the Right's narrative of media bias, the media covered each of these 6 committees as legit "fact-finding" missions, even after McCarthy publicly admitted its purpose (to political damage
3. Clinton) in 2015. As I demonstrated in my book on the 2016 election, they were facing the probability of running against a VERY popular former S of S. Even 2 years out from Benghazi, Clinton polled well.
Something had to be done!
4. No, even knowing what the GOP was up to, the Ds weren't willing to appear partisan (god forbid) so they rolled out the red carpet for the House minority. Clinton was compelled to submit herself to a 10+hr testimony despite her obvious candidacy for the D nom.
Now, imagine if
5. the Ds had refused to cooperate? Or had withdrawn their cooperation after McCarthy publicly admitted what they were doing? Imagine if @HillaryClinton had refused to show up given that it would impact the 2016 election.
The coverage would have been MERCILESS
Every motive
6. questioned. The media would have stopped at nothing to find out why @HillaryClinton wouldn't show up and the House would subpoena her and call for her to be prosecuted if she didn't show.
If you are a member of nat press corp & not giving the GOP's blocking of the Jan 6th
7. Commission this same level of scrutiny & intensity- ask yourself why? We know Trump & his pardoned posse were in contact w the Proud Boys. We know that certain members of the R Caucus have ties to these groups too.
Yet total complacency in coverage???
Don't you want to KNOW
8. if current, sitting members of Congress had a hand on this domestic terror event? Don't you want to know if the R's intended 2024 nominee helped plot it?
Its your damn DUTY to find out.
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I'll add that "talking about popular stuff" won't help you if you don't put it into a threat/stakes context. That is "me" not "we" framed. And don't make the case that the GOP is the thing keeping the voter from having it.
2. That said, its a mistake for Ds to hyper-focus on this issue and their own efforts need to include a sustained campaign to make people FEAR losing abortion access. Yes, access (*w some regulations) polls good, but the Right's "Abortion on Demand" branding campaign has been
3. VERY effective in whittling away support for elective abortions, and their machine is perfectly geared to wage that messaging war against the Left's own, wonky, policy-oriented messaging techniques. The GOP will go pure emotion- you must too to combat it.
1. Just as the 2022 Midterms will begin Nov. 3rd, in the dust of VA's 2021 cycle & the GOP's shameless, tax-payer subsidized witch hunt of @GavinNewsom.
As I tell @StrikePac donor's- the narrative for the cycle gets set then & there.
2. & the media narrative will be that mb, just MB, Ds can beat the "midterm effect" in '22. But, lose a ton of seats in VA's House or the majority, &/or barely eek out a recall defeat- the narrative favors the GOP.
3. win '21 & Ds can recruit quality cand's to challenge Rs for the House seats they backdoored in 2020 & force the Rs to spend on defense. Those "lost" districts are all what I call my "2nd tier" districts in my model: educated but not as robustly as other
Y'all gotta remember, the GOP is ruthless. They will napalm him. Hard to hit 50% yes? ABSOLUTELY
Impossible? Not for the GOP
I should add, they'll try to get to that 50% by running ads against Newsome from the Left to get progressives to vote yes on the recall AND likely sneak logistic support to any progressive candidate.
1. Its a 50 yr pattern broken just twice, once under extraordinary conditions (2002, right after 9/11 where GOP benefitted from a rally around the flag effect that could STILL HAPPEN 1. bc mass polarization was just beginning & 2. D voters far less polarized) and then in 1998 in
2. what we (political scientists) attribute to a backlash about trying to impeach Clinton about lying about an affair. That's it though, in every other midterm, POTUS' party loses seats. Plus, right now we have a pattern of stronger midterm effects, which I believe is a product
3. of hyperpartisanship, party sorting, coalitional realignments for both parties, & changes in geographic strongholds for both parties.
That all said @jakehteach it IS possible we'd see a disruption in 2022 if D's carpe diem extremism & racism in the GOP & turn the referendum