This is so naive, and, whether deliberately or not, functions as an apology for Jan. 6.
The US couldn't nuke al Qaeda and rightfully didn't try. It doesn't have a capital city; a lot of it is on the internet. And the US surely isn't going to use F-22s against domestic extremists.
Throughout history, revolutionaries that seize the seat of national power (Russian, Iranian, etc.) were a lot weaker than the government. Didn't matter. By replacing leadership, they captured state capabilities.
More importantly for the current situation in the US...
Democratic backsliding in which elected leaders dismantle rule-of-law and checks-and-balances from within (eg Turkey, Hungary, Poland) isn't military. It involves leaders putting their thumb on the scale, tilting the rules in their favor, and holding onto/accumulating power.
Before Trump, no US president tried to stay in power despite losing reelection (or hitting legal term limits) by lying about election results, trying to get officials to manipulate the rules, and eventually inciting violence against the federal government.
That's really serious.
US didn't "easily defeat" al Qaeda. In fact, the US hasn't defeated al Qaeda at all.
And while al Qaeda could never overthrow US Constitutional democracy, a movement uniting domestic extremists and anti-democracy US leaders could.
Some are currently working to make it more likely
Yes, the existential threat—not to the existence of a country called "America," but to America as a Constitutional democracy—is the movement that accepts, or outright advocates, ignoring US election law and overturning the will of voters to get/hold power.

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More from @NGrossman81

26 May
Good thread on comedy and "can't joke about that anymore." Distinction between "shock comics," and "perpetual victims" is a good one.
Maybe a 5th category is comics who effectively push boundaries because stuff that's normal to them wasn't talked about (eg Ali Wong on pregnancy).
Related thought: The culture could use a sketch show that tackles gender identity as well as Chappelle's Show and Key & Peale tackled racial identity.
I fully recognize this wouldn't be easy to do well. (You think what Chappelle and Key & Peale did was easy?)
One reason I like comedy is it changes cultural boundaries.
Classic greats (Bruce, Pryor, Carlin), newer greats (Chappelle, Jeselnik), and I'd add Eddie Izzard on gender identity, Michelle Wolf et. al. on abortion, and others who joke about taboo subjects that shouldn't be taboo.
Read 4 tweets
24 May
Wrote this about COVID lab leak theory a year ago, reiterating it today.
Big difference between (1) a virology lab was studying a virus it found & some sort of mistake let it out, and (2) created by humans in a lab.
Unfortunately, many who focus on this topic blur the distinction
I remain extremely skeptical of the Chinese government's pronouncements on COVID. Not that everything they say is a lie, but it's not exactly the most trustworthy regime, and blocking or hindering international efforts to investigate the pandemic's origins rightly raise eyebrows.
I'm also skeptical of COVID-China conspiracy theories, especially from people who (1) wanted confrontation with China pre-COVID, (2) want to downplay how the US or other govts screwed up w/ COVID, (3) often conspiracy theorize.
Non-conspiratorial screw up➡️govt lie
That's normal.
Read 5 tweets
21 May
"Conservatives" like Tucker Carlson and Josh Hawley have been crying "cancel culture" in bad faith, and will keep doing so.
But I've also seen many of the most vocal cancel culture critics—@robbysoave @thomaschattwill @CathyYoung63 @TheFIREorg plus more—criticizing UNC and/or AP.
Two high profile cancelations of people who expressed left-wing views, involving their current or about-to-be employers facing pressure from right-wing activists, strikes me as a good opportunity for some culture war detente.
For one, recognize that there are more than two sides.
I get that few know how academic hiring and promotion works (it's highly unusual for trustees to overrule a faculty + admin decision) and don't know the specifics of this position (specifically for a practitioner, not a PhD researcher), but... (cont.)
Read 5 tweets
18 May
GOP Leader Announces Bad Faith on Jan. 6 Commission

In deal with Rep. Katko (R-NY), Dems agreed to equal numbers of Rs and Ds, and that Rs could block any subpoenas on their own.
Minority Leader McCarthy rejects anyway, tries vague process complaints, whatabout unrelated things.
The GOP caucus position, if it wasn't already obvious from their decision to oust Liz Cheney, is that the Capitol attack was good, or at least not bad, and that lying about it is more important than understanding it and preventing something like it or worse from happening again.
It would be much better if both parties thought a violent attack on American democracy was bad.
But given Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy's official announcement of bad faith on a Jan. 6 commission, it's clear the GOP doesn't, so we have no choice but to move forward without them.
Read 5 tweets
12 May
Concerning. Retired military have the right to express political opinions, but I don’t think there’s ever been such a partisan statement from retired officers, especially not outside of campaign season. Includes multiple disproven falsehoods about 2020. politico.com/news/2021/05/1…
The US survived the recent threat to Constitutional democracy because:
-enough state officials followed the law (many now purged or sidelined)
-courts rejected claims for lack of standing and lack of evidence
-security services didn’t split (despite some individuals joining 1/6)
A scenario with two people claiming to have won the White House in 2024 and military officers splitting to line up behind one or the other may not be likely, but the chances aren’t as close to zero as they should be, putting it in low probability - high impact event territory.
Read 5 tweets
6 May
I appreciate Liz Cheney's rejection of whataboutism in her call for a Capitol attack commission.
Some will object to her characterization, but the point is these are separate events, and there's no reason anyone has to be concerned with only one, or has to address them together.
Cheney's right, we need a full Capitol attack investigation.
And she's right that "whatabout BLM and antifa?" is just an attempt to avoid one.
Unfortunately, the main obstacle to investigating the insurrection is her party doesn't have a problem with it.
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
Nationally & especially in states, the GOP is working to facilitate future election theft by removing things that thwarted Trump's effort.
Downplaying & trying to move on from Jan. 6 is part of that, as is sidelining truth-telling pro-democracy officials.
arcdigital.media/p/set-up-the-s…
Read 5 tweets

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