There is a point I haven't seen made on social care. The argument made by @Jeremy_Hunt and others was that you needed to make DfH a department of health and social care, to get it taken seriously. But the pandemic seems to show that when the chips are down, it always loses out.
The reason for the decanting of patients was because they were (legitimately) terrified of hospitals/the wider NHS falling over, and desperate to free up space. But that's sort of symbolic of our wider priorities on health, going back decades.
You can also see it re social care funding - a thorny problem that's just sort of sat there, with lots of solutions proposed (including by us!) but never quite reaching the top of the pile. Whereas NHS itself gets pretty much all the spare cash going, whoever's PM
We definitely need better integration between the NHS and the elderly care sector, and have for ages. But is there an institutional way to ensure that social care actually gets enough attention in Westminster/Whitehall?

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More from @rcolvile

20 May
Worth flagging this @CPSThinkTank research showing that rail privatisation has been a noted success story - customer satisfaction with our trains is consistently among the highest in Europe, and we have more and more reliable trains spectator.co.uk/article/nation…
Prices are high, but that's because we actually make people pay for the cost of their tickets, rather than disguising it with subsidy. And many of the problems, esp punctuality, are a symptom of using our track more efficiently than others, meaning less slack in the system
Obviously there are things to fix, many of which the Williams Review addresses. And obviously the pandemic has been shattering for the business model. But the narrative that this is a failed system in need of rescue just doesn't stand up to the facts.
Read 4 tweets
13 May
V rough rule of thumb calculations. UK GDP is £2 trillion. 2.1% growth in March £42bn. Vaccine programme cost £12bn. Obviously you can't credit it for the full rebound, but it's starting to look like the best investment UK govt ever made.
As ever @CPSThinkTank ahead of the curve on this, viz this by @JethroFElsden conservativehome.com/platform/2021/…
More on this from Ambrose E-P in the Telegraph today telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/…
Read 4 tweets
13 May
This is a strong column from @iainmartin1 but the line about 'an entirely unnecessary stamp-duty holiday' is classic wisdom-of-hindsight stuff, and misses the point/success of the policy thetimes.co.uk/article/this-p…
As our paper 'Help to Build' argued, the housebuilding sector is massively and dangerously cyclical - when recession hits, builders down tools. And due to the structure of the industry, housebuilding lags significantly behind the wider economy in the recovery.
This is a big reason why we consistently fail to hit housebuilding targets - because the sector is trapped in a cycle of boom and bust cps.org.uk/research/help-…
Read 12 tweets
9 May
This analysis piece summarising the results from the BBC is just gob-smacking. Here, in order, are their four big takeaways bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
1) Time for Scottish independence
2) Incumbents did well
3) Labour still strong in cities
4) Aren’t the Greens great too?
The kindest possible interpretation is that whoever wrote this felt the ‘Tories do well, Labour collapse in heartlands’ narrative had got a bit stale. But someone should surely have thought ‘hang on a minute’...
Read 5 tweets
4 May
Given what's happening on Super Thursday, it is worth revisiting this @CPSThinkTank report by @mattwarman, and its extraordinary @DeltapollUK polling findings (1/?) cps.org.uk/files/reports/…
The most obvious point is that no one likes or trusts government - with the disillusionment growing as you go from local to national
But the most interesting point in light of the elections is not the distrust but the ignorance. We asked people which layers of government they thought they were subject to, then matched that against their postcodes. The proportion who answered completely correctly was... 0%
Read 7 tweets
29 Apr
A quick follow-up to this tweet on household wealth. Much of the increase is house prices, but some is still savings - the savings ratio is at its highest since 1962 (1/?)
A lot of people are expecting/hoping for that cash to come sluicing back into the economy, juicing the recovery. But I'm afraid @CPSThinkTank can offer a warning from history...
As @JethroFElsden showed in his paper 'History Repeating?', on the postwar recovery, the boom in the US wasn't fuelled by people winding down the savings they'd amassed in wartime (because there was nothing to buy/they were in the military)
Read 7 tweets

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