Weekly French vaccination thread.
The pace slackened this week because of the long holiday weekend. The daily average of jabs was 489,210, compared to 533,432 the previous week. All the same, France is 4 days ahead of the game to hit its target of 30m 1st doses by 15 June.
1/10
With all over-18’s eligible from Monday, and masses of Pfizer doses available, I expect records will be shattered next week. In each of the last 2 days, France gave over 680,000 jabs (a new high) – 80% of them Pfizer. Apart from 2nd shots, use of AstraZeneca is now minimal.
2/10
As of last night, France had given almost 25m first shots – including 2.4m in the last week. It is now first-jabbing at an average 349,447 a day. At that pace it will hit its 30m target on 11 June – 4 days early. Almost half of French adults (47.6%) have received one dose. 3/10
In terms of age coverage, the latest figures are in the graph from Vaccintracker below.
Over 75’s are now 80.85% covered by 1st jabs and 66.6% fully vaccinated..
65-74’s – 79% 1 jab and 40% both.
50-64’s – 59.8% and 20.4%.
4/10
For a vax-shy country the figures for older age groups are encouragingly high – and creeping upwards. The government recognises, however, that it has drilled down to the hard-core of vax-resisting oldies. It is not giving up. All non-vaxed over 75’s are being contacted. 5/10
France’s vax programme is now 80% reliant on Pfizer. Use of AstraZeneca for 1st jabs is circa 3 or 4%.. This is partly (only partly) because younger people are being vaxxed and AZ is banned by Fr. for under-55’s. There are a staggering 3.2 AZ doses unused from 8.1m received
6/10
In terms of turnaround of doses from the EU supply scheme, Pfizer stocks were 97.8% used by the end of this week. Of 35m doses given in Fr. since 27 Dec, 27m have been Pfizer-BioNTech.
Moderna doses were 84% used; AZ 61.5%; and limited supplies of J and J only 28.3%. Why?
7/10
Other points…
The pandemic continues to retreat rapidly in France. There are 3,100 people in acute care, compared to 6,001 five weeks ago. Average cases daily are below 10,000. The Indian variant has been identified in only 100 of those cases – so far.
8/10
For fear of the Indian variant, France will curb travel from UK from Monday. Travellers must quarantine for 7 days and have a negative test within 48hrs of departure. Non-resident Brits/ non-EU foreigners must have an overwhelming reason to visit.
9/10
Hopes of UK tourism to France resuming from next month are looking bleaker. But things could change quickly if the UK brings the Indian variant under control.
Fingers crossed for a good summer…
10/10

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More from @john_lichfield

15 May
Weekly French vaccination thread.
France may reach its target of 20 million first doses by the end of today. I say MAY. If it falls short, it will be by a few thousand jabs, which will be much closer than seemed possible even a week ago. 1/12
Both health minister Olivier Véran and Doctolib site predict France WILL hit the target after strenuous efforts in recent days. As of 7.30pm yesterday, 293,069 1st jabs were needed – far more than have ever been given on a French Saturday. But this may not be any Saturday 2/12
The last week saw huge efforts, such as relaxing age rules and keeping vaccinodromes open late, to deliver a politically important promise. Big numbers were jabbed even on Thursday’s hol (600,000+) and yesterday’s “pont” (weekend bridge) 598,639 incl. 437,620 1st jabs) 3/12
Read 12 tweets
1 May
Weekly French vaccination thread.
It has been a good week – the best yet.
France broke its record on each of the last 2 days – 545,000 shots on Thurs and 549,000 yesterday – or almost 1.1m shots in 2 days.
In 7 days, 2.8m doses were given, after 2.5m a week for 2 weeks. 1/11
All the same, the Fr. government wants – and needs – to go faster to hit its medically and politically important targets of 20m first jabs by 15 May and 30m by 15 June. France’s problem has changed: no longer a shortage of doses but a shortage of people willing to be dosed. 2/11
There were over 200,000 vacant slots at the start of the week, some with 10 jabs each. This is partly because of resistance to AstraZeneca but also because of general French vax-scepticism. The problem is NOT huge. By my calculation 86% of doses had been used by this weekend 3/11
Read 11 tweets
29 Apr
Foreign tourists with a “health pass” will be allowed back into France from 9 June, under Macron’s grand Covid re-opening plan. Restaurant and café terraces, cinemas, theatres etc will re-open (with restrictions on numbers) from 19 May.
1/6
Macron’s four-stage plan to “re-open” France, starting on Monday, has been leaked by Le Parisien, Le Point magazine and others. It aways seemed unlikely that his interview with regional papers, conducted yesterday, would remain secret until published tomorrow morning.
2/6
The later stages, according to Le Point, may be delayed in those départements where the incidence rate remains over 400 per 100,000 over 7 days. As things stand that would delay openings in au moins the Paris and Marseilles area.
3/6
Read 6 tweets
28 Apr
Weekly French Covid thread
All stats in the last week moved in the right direction, some more than others. That’s the 1st time that has happened for 2 months. Daily average of cases was 27,857 – a fall of 16.6%. Deaths were down; incidence rate down; acute care slightly down 1/11
President Macron will appear on TV soon – maybe Sun or Mon, probably an interview, not a formal address – to give details on easing of social restrictions from mid-May. He was in cautious mood when he spoke to mayors on Tues. He said curfews will last in some form until June 2/11
PM Jean Castex may give more clues this afternoon. Although the 3rd wave of C19 is receding slowly, there are causes for anxiety. The South African variant is spreading in greater Paris. The vax roll-out is doing pretty well but there are many slots untaken (not only for AZ) 3/11
Read 12 tweets
21 Apr
The vax French rollout continues apace - 418,000 shots yesterday. First jabs have now almost reached 13m but the need for 2nd jabs is slowing them a little. Unless it speeds up, France will fall just short of its 20m 1st jabs target for 15 May. 6/10

Epidemiologists warn that there will be no rapid descent from the 3rd wave, unlike the collapse of the 1st wave a year ago. The official “alert level” is 5,000 new cases a day. The present level is over 30,000. With schools re-opening next week, no rapid change is expected. 7/10
In those circumstances can Macron keep his conditional promise to ease restrictions – opening restaurant terraces etc – in just over 3 weeks’ time? The political pressure to do so (with presidential elections exactly a year away) is enormous. But he can’t afford a mistake. 8/10
Read 6 tweets
21 Apr
Weekly French Covid thread
The UK-variant-led 3rd wave of Covid in France seems to have crested – or reached a high plateau. Figures are no longer rising; nor are they falling v. fast.
Macron’s dilemma. Can he go ahead with the easing of restrictions promised for mid-May? 1/10
The health defence council is meeting this morning. Health minister Oliver Véran favours lifting or easing the present “lockdown lite” region by region. The figures vary hugely - from an incidence rate in the 500’s/600’s in the Paris area to only 89.5 in W. Brittany. 2/10
Overall, the virus is subsiding slowly – v. slowly in Paris area, the black spot
The national incidence rate - cases per 100,000 people/ 7 days – is 337.4. It was 342.4 last week and 405 a week earlier. Seine Saint Denis has eased from 680. 2 to 656.5. Paris 516.9 to 512.4
3/10
Read 5 tweets

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