If you say anything negative about a project/crypto, you're usually downvoted, and people comment you're spreading FUD.

But if you're blindly optimistic, being strong for the community, and blindly follow along, people like that.

Otherwise they shame you as a non-believer.
Guess where else this behavior was exhibited?

1) Enron
2) Vakrangee
3) Satyam
4) Subhiksha
5) Dot Com companies
6) 2006-07 Housing Market
7) Bernie Madoff's clients
Now, I am not saying the all of the cryptocurrency space is like this, but most of it is like this.

You'll see this behavior from top accounts like @APompliano to bottom scraping good-for-nothing accounts here on Twitter being keyboard warriors with $100 invested in BTC at $60k.
When a community strongly and vehemently denies discussing any negative aspects of it,

and whenever discussed, it usually brushes that off,

and whenever focus is brought back on, label you as a FUD spreader,

and ridicule you,
and worse yet, comment on your personal life, and your investment choices in other parts of your portfolio,

it shows that the community is blinded by their belief or desire for riches or both.

It USUALLY NEVER ENDS WELL.
Also, during the dot com bubble, the top 10 tech companies that were listed and blooming, weren't the top 10 tech companies now. Amazon was somewhere in the bottom range back then, and fell as much as 90%, took 10+ years to get back to the same level.
The landscape is going to be very different 10 years from now, even in cryptocurrencies.

So, do not get swayed by the blind believers.

Diversify among crypto. Don't invest in what you don't understand. Do your research. And, don't take recommendations from your colleagues.
This was an interesting comment.

Notice any of the indicators I have mentioned here?

It's fun to read and scroll along. Don't take such things as investment advice though.

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More from @theBuoyantMan

30 May
I was taking notes on Zomato as they have filed their DRHP with SEBI for an IPO this year or next.

"But, but Shravan, it's a loss making company. Who would bother to invest in its IPO?"

I hear you. Let's objectively look at Zomato.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1/ Surely there must be a frenzy for getting Zomato's shares.

Before doing that though, let's take a walk back Zomato's memory lane.

Deepinder Goyal and Chaddah, both IIT graduates, started Foodiebay in 2008, while working as analysts at Bain and Company.
2/ It was started as a predominantly food reviews and rating company.

Within 9 months of its launch, FoodieBay became the largest restaurant directory in Delhi NCR.
Read 33 tweets
9 May
Discretionary trading is simple.

1) Trade only those setups that offer 1:4 or 1:5 risk reward.

2) Risk no more than 2% of your capital in any trade.

3) Plan a trade thoroughly - where you enter, exit, take profit, keep SL, etc.

4) Stick to the plan, don't meddle.
Successful discretionary traders are all systematic traders in disguise.

They stick to certain patterns and have a systematic way to identify them.

They have rigid money management rules that they don't violate.

They have rules to pick what they trade any day.
There maybe 10-20% discretion involved - maybe in picking the right stocks to trade, or the stocks to avoid for the day, or even the strike prices to trade - in terms of options.

But, almost all successful discretionary traders are systematic.
Read 4 tweets
8 May
Something even I used to be guilty of:

We don't want to pay for anything that will help us move forward to our goal of making riches in the market.

Even someone else's hours of effort, we want for free.

But we want to make lots and lots of money with the ideas they give freely
I call this the poverty mindset.

We don't pay because we think we can't afford to pay.

We may really not be in a position to afford to pay.

Long long back, that was the case with me.

Then I reached the stage where "I can't afford this, so I ll just learn from free resources"
So, I started doing things the hard way - learning from youtube, twitter, forums, documentations, etc.

That way I got better at learning things myself.

Also, I reached a stage where I could say if someone was bullshitting with pricing.
Read 36 tweets
1 May
I was looking to create soundproofing and acoustic absorption in a room at my place for recording purpose.

After much research in Jan 2021, the budget for only the acoustic absorption panels and acoustic foam together came to around 1-2 lakhs.

Instead of spending, I built it.
1/ Went to the nearest timber depot, got quote for the lightweight pinewood. 1m and 0.5m length and 2 inch thickness, 3 inch height.

Got the timber for about 5400 rupees.

Bought timber required for 18 1m x 0.5m panel, and 12 0.5m x 0.5m panel. Image
2/ Started working on it. Simple hammer, nail to connect the pieces. ImageImageImageImage
Read 11 tweets
30 Apr
Successful trading is mostly execution.

But let's not be kidding.

Strategy is very important.

If you don't have a profitable strategy, even if you have top notch execution discipline, you won't accomplish P&L worth a damn.

You'll only end up losing money.
So, if someone tells you "Strategy is nothing. Focusing on strategy is futile. Obsessing about strategy, backtesting, all that is useless."

ask them to share their strategy's exact rules.

If they hesitate, well you have the answer.
Even the most experienced and successful traders (on and outside twitter also) who go on and on about trading execution and discipline, will NEVER share their exact strategy with you.
Read 39 tweets
30 Apr
In your early 20s, the key to growing in your career, especially if you have a job, is switching companies every 2-3 years.

Average case, if you stay in the same company, unless you're like the cream of the cream, your promotion & hike won't match what you get when shifting.
Once you reach a glass ceiling level - like a managerial or a senior engineer position from which it takes a long time and lot of effort and luck to move up the ladder (early to mid thirties) - that's when you find some company you love to settle down and rise through the ranks.
Example: A very talented coder who joined with me at PayPal, left PayPal at 1y mark to work for Gojek in Bangalore. She left Gojek after 2 years there to go to Grab, Singapore.

Once in Singapore, she left Grab in 6 months to join Twitter.
Read 5 tweets

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