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Seth Frantzman Profile picture
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30 May, 12 tweets, 4 min read
Thread: With Netanyahu facing a real challenge, we need to discuss what was done to Israel in the last few years.
He has concentrated power at an unprecedented level in his hands in Israel. In 2018 Netanyahu held FIVE portfolios: prime minister, defense minister, foreign minister, health minister, and immigration and absorption minister...jpost.com/opinion/netany…
Netanyahu was Israel's Foreign Minister from 2015-2019; Israel Katz was appointed Acting Foreign Minister following a petition to the High Court of Justice by the Movement for Quality in Government. mfa.gov.il/MFA/AboutTheMi…
This is why the trip by @Gabi_Ashkenazi to Egypt today is so important, Israel systematically cut off real public people-to-people relations with Jordan and Egypt over the last half decade. Netanyahu's ham-handed attempts to go to the Gulf were part of this problem.
Netanyahu schemed to keep Bennett in government when Liberman left in 2018, postponing elections until 2019; four elections came and went, no budget, and Netanyahu refused to let anyone else govern, preferring endless elections jpost.com/Israel-Electio…
He sidelined rivals and former colleagues like Liberman, Bennett, Sa'ar and sent rising Likud stars abroad or foudn ways to make it so there was no alternative or successor. He kept key people in the dark for momentous decisions; jpost.com/opinion/the-di…
Systematically he was also in conflict with the courts and media, using rhetoric accusing any challenge as a "coup" or "dangerous left wing government"...there was no unity, just division . jpost.com/breaking-news/…
Laws, immunity, everything was enslaved to this chaotic concentration of power; jpost.com/opinion/bad-le…
At the same time he did preside over era of peace and prosperity, maintaining status quo was the goal...so Israel entered a period of endless low level conflict abroad, but relative peace in WB, Israel, etc; longwarjournal.org/archives/2020/…
However, despite the relative peace...the fact is that he alienated many former friends and colleagues and the country didn't pass a budget and was going to have endless elections...a kind of "defeat" for parliamentary democracy. Not good. Neither the concentration of power
There has been eroding support and trust in institutions as well. Not good for long term.
@gnuseibeh Re: Jordan

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More from @sfrantzman

Seth Frantzman Profile picture
29 May
Thread: In Israel there is talk that the opposition to Netanyahu is on the verge of a coalition. After four failed elections some think this could be the moment. But there are many things still in the way. Here's my sense:
There are still hurdles, such as getting all the MKs on board from the complex coalition that is forming which includes a massive swath of parties from the religion right to left and potentially Arab MKs. It's very complex.
Second, Netanyahu will not go easy. A "crisis" may emerge as he lashes out claiming the "right" has been betrayed by a "left" government coming to power...all the stops will be pulled out to prevent things happening in preference for Netanyahu's endless elections scheme
Read 10 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
24 May
🧵 Lots of people like math and read that Israel’s Iron Dome had a 90% success rate at interceptions. Then they compare the nunber to the overall rockets fired in the recent war, some 4,300, and do math. But that’s not the number they should use.
Example May 16, 2021 “IDF: As of 19:00, approximately 3,100 rockets have been fired from the Gaza Strip at Israeli territory, of which approximately 450 failed launches fell in the Gaza Strip.
The Iron Dome Air Defense System has intercepted approximately 1210 rockets.”
If you do the math you’ll think that there is something missing. Indeed, the 1,210 nunber is 90% of the rockets that the system attempted to intercept” DO NOT use the overall number of rockets. Most fall in open space or even fail to launch.
Read 7 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
24 May
How come when the US developed armed drones it was considered controversial... literally had all these articles about how bad they were...Turkey and China develop armed drones and suddenly it’s totally fine when they sell them. Zero controversy 🤔
People still ask about whether Israel has armed drones like this would be controversial. It doesn’t make sense. It’s only controversial “drone strikes” if some countries do it 🤔
Ankara openly brags about exporting ARMED drones. And those virtue signalers who used to care about this issue and want rules against armed drones in places like Europe are like “oh that’s fine”...
Read 4 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
23 May
Interesting how when an Air France flight was hijacked in 1976 the Captain Michel Bacos and crew remained with the hostages, in the recent state hijacking of a flight, the flight left without one passenger and won't even say so in a statement, the EU also didn't mention it.
What's missing:
What's missing here:
Read 5 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
23 May
There are basically three types of anti-Israel protesters.
1. The left wing types who are into various causes.
2. The people who come for the fun of it.
3. Far-right types who are basically genocidal extremists but who found a cause that lets them channel hate as "human rights"
Among the far-right types are all those who are responsible for violence, gangs of young men, many of them who look similar to extremist sectarian militias in places like Iraq more than a "peace protest"...who seek out minorities in the West to attack.
Their sectarian mentality is basically genocidal. We're not supposed to admit what guides these folk or watch closely their behavior, but the attacks in UK, NY, California and elsewhere are all the same and guided by men whose mentality is right wing sectarian nationalist hate.
Read 13 tweets
Seth Frantzman Profile picture
21 May
Thread: About ten days too late Israel's IDF has been briefing international media on all aspects of the conflict with Gaza, including logic behind striking large buildings...but honestly they should have done this on day 1 to set the narrative about the goals and strategy
They didn't need to give anything away but could have briefed media on Hamas and its use of civilian areas...something that is known but deserved to be said again and again with evidence. Problem is Israel didn't brief much foreign media or diplomats on May 10-14.
It's not that Israel would have convinced the extremists, but it would have been less behind the curve. Instead it struck the Al-Jala tower leaving a lot of questions and controversy. Even opening days of war led to questions about strikes on large buildings. And "proportion."
Read 5 tweets

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