Thread by @ZLabe

More reading! A thread of peer-reviewed studies evaluating projections of 21st century Arctic sea-ice extent/area/thickness (seasonally ‘ice-free’)... 🧊📉

I am sure I missed a few, so feel free to add.

Note – I am not making any predictions from this thread 😅

+ (02 – HadCM3 area/volume) doi.org/10.1029/2001GL…
+ (04 – ECHAM4/HadCM3 extent) doi.org/10.3402/tellus…
+ (05 – perspective) doi.org/10.1029/2005EO…
+ (06 – CMIP3 area) doi.org/10.1175/JCLI37…
+ (06 – CCSM3 extent) doi.org/10.1029/2006GL…

+ (07 – CMIP3 regional extent) doi.org/10.1029/2007GL…
+ (07 – CMIP3 extent) doi.org/10.1029/2007GL…
+ (09 – Constraining CMIP3 extent) doi.org/10.1029/2009GL…
+ (09 – Reducing spread CMIP3 extent) nature.com/articles/ngeo4…
+ (11 – CCSM4 extent) doi.org/10.1029/2011GL…

+ (12 – CMIP5 extent) doi.org/10.1029/2012GL…
+ (12 – 2°C scenario) doi.org/10.1029/2011JD…
+ (12 – CMIP3/CMIP5 review) doi.org/10.1029/2012GL…
+ (12 – Constraining CMIP5) doi.org/10.5194/tc-6-1…
+ (12 – EC-Earth extent) doi.org/10.1007/s00382…

+ (13 – CMIP5 extent/volume) doi.org/10.1002/grl.50…
+ (13 – Reducing spread CMIP5 extent) pnas.org/content/110/31…
+ (13 – Weighting CMIP5 area) doi.org/10.1002/2013JD…
+ (14 – CMIP5 extent to year 2300) doi.org/10.5194/tc-8-1…
+ (15 – CMIP5 thickness) doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-2…

+ (15 – Review paper) doi.org/10.1016/j.glop…
+ (15 – CMIP5 regional extent) doi.org/10.1002/2015GL…
+ (16 – CESM-LE extent) doi.org/10.1002/2016GL…
+ (17 – 1.5°C scenario) nature.com/articles/nclim…
+ (18 – Review paper) doi.org/10.1007/s40641…

+ (18 – Statistical projections) doi.org/10.3390/rs1002…
+ (18 – 3°C scenario) nature.com/articles/s4155…
+ (18 – MPI 1.5° Scenario) doi.org/10.1002/2017GL…
+ (18 – 1.5/2°C scenarios) nature.com/articles/s4155…
+ (18 – CESM-LE thickness) doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D…

+ (20 – CMIP5 sensitivity analysis extent) doi.org/10.3390/cli801…
+ (20 – HadGEM3 extent) nature.com/articles/s4155…
+ (20 – Constraining CMIP5 extent) doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D…
+ (20 – CESM2 area/thickness) doi.org/10.1029/2020JC…

+ (20 – CMIP6 area) doi.org/10.1029/2019GL…
+ (20 – CMIP6 regional concentration) doi.org/10.1029/2020GL…
+ (20 – CMIP6 extent/volume) doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D…
+ (21 – MMLEA area) iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…
----> I am sure plenty more to come for CMIP6! (/end)