About a third of Americans express doubt about the safety of childhood vaccines. For some, these views may simply be the result of well-studied social, political, and psychological forces that inspire doubt about vax. safety.
For others, however, anti-vaccine views may be much more than that. By our estimates, 22% of Americans always (8%) or sometimes (14%) identify as "anti-vaxxers;" i.e., part of a social movement/group that opposes expert-recommended vaccine protocols.
In this work, we asked whether or not this latter group might view the "anti-vax" label as central to their sense of self -- i.e., as a form of "social identity."
There is good reason to suspect that it might...
Anti-vax webpages are not one-directional streams of misinfo. about childhood vaccines.
They're often organized as socially mediated *communities;* offering opportunities for discussion, support, and social bonding.
Importantly: as community membership becomes more tied to one's sense of self, people have a stronger motivation to reject *threats* to one's identity; in this case, scientific evidence about vaccine safety.
In this paper, we propose and validate a new measure of anti-vaccine social identity (AVSID); swapping partisan for anti-vaxx language in @LilyMasonPhD and colleagues' partisan social identity measures (see below).
Here's what we find:
1.Most self-identified anti-vaxxers score above the AVSID scale's midpoint; especially those who most strongly associate with the anti-vaccine label.
2. Anti-expert attitudes strongly influence whether or not people identify as anti-vaxxers, and whether or not anti-vaxxers then also see the label as central to their sense of self.
3. So too does "medical folk wisdom" -- i.e., the tendency to subscribe to intergenerational, widely held, and (often) benign forms of misinformation about medicine and health.
4. Worryingly, and perhaps most importantly, AVSID motivates opposition pro-vaccine policies. While most self-described anti-vaxxers oppose school vax mandates, those scoring highly on AVSID are *nearly unanimous* in their opposition.
Our work implies that correcting anti-vaccine misinformation (and addressing its policy influence) may be made more difficult by the fact that anti-vaccine views are a form of social identity for many anti-vaxxers.
Thanks so much for reading!
@JenSpindel this is the other piece we talked about!
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NEW at @apr_journal: I provide new evidence that Republicans (and not Democrats, as is sometimes assumed) are more likely to endorse anti-vax. misinfo.
This effect isn't new, and anti-expert attitudes may help explain why. #polisciresearch
Popular press efforts to document the prevalence of anti-vax. opinion often suggest (either tacitly or explicitly) that Democrats are more likely than Republicans to endorse anti-vaccine views.
Several, for example, suggest that "Whole Foods moms" [1] -- a grocery chain with a left-leaning reputation [2] -- end to be more likely to doubt childhood vaccine safety.
NEW at IJPOR - I show that aggregate change in anthropogenic climate change beliefs is less the result of attitude change ("changing minds") and more the result of demographic changes in sample composition ("changing samples.")
Before summarizing the study, HUGE shoutout to the folks at C[C]ES, @pewresearch, and @YaleClimateComm who did the hard work of collecting the panel and cross-sec. data used in this study, and for making it free for all to use.
Next, some background: tracking polls have documented increases in the number of Americans who believe that climate change is human caused (anthropogenic: "ACC"), over the past decade. This could result from one of two sources.
Given skepticism about seriousness of #COVID19 on the right, Newt's msg could have persuasive power.
Several #scicomm studies find that ppl holding views at odds with sci. are more likely to change their minds when told to do so by like-minded sources.
This piece from Adam Berinsky finds that politicians who take stances contrary to their partisan interests can convince like-minded partisans to reject misinfo. related to public health.
And this piece from @SalilBenegal & @condorcetsd on how GOP elites who speak out on climate change can decease the partisan gap in climate change acceptance.