NEW at PGI: Anti-vax beliefs are more than just views about sci/med. For many, they're a form of social identity.

@THCallaghan, @klunztrujillo, @ssylvester82 and I study the health policy consequences of "Anti-Vax. Social Identity" (AVSID).

[THREAD]

tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10… ImageImageImageImage
About a third of Americans express doubt about the safety of childhood vaccines. For some, these views may simply be the result of well-studied social, political, and psychological forces that inspire doubt about vax. safety.

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
For others, however, anti-vaccine views may be much more than that. By our estimates, 22% of Americans always (8%) or sometimes (14%) identify as "anti-vaxxers;" i.e., part of a social movement/group that opposes expert-recommended vaccine protocols.
In this work, we asked whether or not this latter group might view the "anti-vax" label as central to their sense of self -- i.e., as a form of "social identity."

There is good reason to suspect that it might...
Anti-vax webpages are not one-directional streams of misinfo. about childhood vaccines.

They're often organized as socially mediated *communities;* offering opportunities for discussion, support, and social bonding.

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
People who hold anti-vaxx views may therefore turn to anti-vaxx communities to fulfill universal needs to belong to social groups.

As they do, group membership may become more tied to their sense of self, and inspire opposition to out-group members.

books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr…
Importantly: as community membership becomes more tied to one's sense of self, people have a stronger motivation to reject *threats* to one's identity; in this case, scientific evidence about vaccine safety.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.117…
In this paper, we propose and validate a new measure of anti-vaccine social identity (AVSID); swapping partisan for anti-vaxx language in @LilyMasonPhD and colleagues' partisan social identity measures (see below). ImageImage
Here's what we find:

1.Most self-identified anti-vaxxers score above the AVSID scale's midpoint; especially those who most strongly associate with the anti-vaccine label. Image
2. Anti-expert attitudes strongly influence whether or not people identify as anti-vaxxers, and whether or not anti-vaxxers then also see the label as central to their sense of self.

nature.com/articles/s4156… Image
3. So too does "medical folk wisdom" -- i.e., the tendency to subscribe to intergenerational, widely held, and (often) benign forms of misinformation about medicine and health.

nature.com/articles/s4159… Image
4. Worryingly, and perhaps most importantly, AVSID motivates opposition pro-vaccine policies. While most self-described anti-vaxxers oppose school vax mandates, those scoring highly on AVSID are *nearly unanimous* in their opposition. Image
Our work implies that correcting anti-vaccine misinformation (and addressing its policy influence) may be made more difficult by the fact that anti-vaccine views are a form of social identity for many anti-vaxxers.
Thanks so much for reading!
@JenSpindel this is the other piece we talked about!

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More from @matt_motta

15 Jun
NEW at @apr_journal: I provide new evidence that Republicans (and not Democrats, as is sometimes assumed) are more likely to endorse anti-vax. misinfo.

This effect isn't new, and anti-expert attitudes may help explain why. #polisciresearch

journals.sagepub.com/eprint/C5CZCID…
First, some background.

Popular press efforts to document the prevalence of anti-vax. opinion often suggest (either tacitly or explicitly) that Democrats are more likely than Republicans to endorse anti-vaccine views.
Several, for example, suggest that "Whole Foods moms" [1] -- a grocery chain with a left-leaning reputation [2] -- end to be more likely to doubt childhood vaccine safety.

[1] inquirer.com/news/middle-cl…

[2] fivethirtyeight.com/features/senat…
Read 14 tweets
17 Nov 20
NEW at IJPOR - I show that aggregate change in anthropogenic climate change beliefs is less the result of attitude change ("changing minds") and more the result of demographic changes in sample composition ("changing samples.")

[THREAD]

academic.oup.com/ijpor/advance-…
Before summarizing the study, HUGE shoutout to the folks at C[C]ES, @pewresearch, and @YaleClimateComm who did the hard work of collecting the panel and cross-sec. data used in this study, and for making it free for all to use.
Next, some background: tracking polls have documented increases in the number of Americans who believe that climate change is human caused (anthropogenic: "ACC"), over the past decade. This could result from one of two sources.
Read 12 tweets
15 Mar 20
Given skepticism about seriousness of #COVID19 on the right, Newt's msg could have persuasive power.

Several #scicomm studies find that ppl holding views at odds with sci. are more likely to change their minds when told to do so by like-minded sources.

Some examples [THREAD]
This piece from Adam Berinsky finds that politicians who take stances contrary to their partisan interests can convince like-minded partisans to reject misinfo. related to public health.

web.mit.edu/berinsky/www/f…
And this piece from @SalilBenegal & @condorcetsd on how GOP elites who speak out on climate change can decease the partisan gap in climate change acceptance.

link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Read 8 tweets

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