The 3rd wave of C19 is melting rapidly. Numbers in acute care are below 3,000 (the official target) for the 1st time since 24 Jan.
Will the Indian variant – still supposedly rare in France – spoil the party as the UK variant did 4 months ago?
1/7
Officially, France has 46 clusters and “around 100” cases of the Indian variant. But the govt admits that its capacity for identifying it is weak. Travellers from UK must now isolate for 7 days. Non-EU, non-residents cannot enter France from UK without overwhelming reason.
2/7
That worry apart (and it’s a genuine anxiety) France is doing just fine, Madame la Marquise. To all those (like me) who thought Pres. Macron had unlocked France too early: “we were wrong and Macron was right”.
Obviously, the French media is praising the President? Er, no.
3/7
All key Covid numbers in France – cases, deaths, acute care, incidence rate – have fallen for the 6th week.
The incidence rate – number of cases per 100,000 people/7 days – is now 91, below the alert level. Paris is 118. Only two départements Cote d’Or and Loire are 150+ 4/7
Patients in acute care - the metric most watched by the government – have fallen to 2,825 (505 down in a week).
Just over a month ago, on 26 April, it was 6,001.
The daily average of new cases in last 7 days was 9,731, after 10,729 last week. 5/7
Deaths are averaging 111.8 a day, after 119.8, 157 and 221 in previous weeks.
The French vax drive continues apace. By tonight over 50% of the adult population (52m) will have been first-vaxxed. France should hit its 15 June target of 30m 1st vaxes 3 or 4 days early.
6/7
Hang in there.
7/7
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France is open for tourism from 9 June…
I’m slow with this but….Days after banning travel by non-resident Britons because of the Indian variant, France announced today that fully vaccinated Brits were welcome from next Wed, so long as they had recent negative Covid tests. 1/4
France is also opening up to fully-vaccinated visitors with recent negative tests from the US and many other nationalities – so-called “orange” countries. Vaccinated EU citizens (“green” countries) can travel to France without a test. 2/4
Tourism will not be allowed from 16 “red” countries such as India, SA and Brazil. British visitors who have had 2 jabs will be asked for a a negative PCR test no older than 72 hours or an antigen test no more than 48 hours old. Children can come with a negative test. 3/4
Weekly French vaccination thread.
The pace slackened this week because of the long holiday weekend. The daily average of jabs was 489,210, compared to 533,432 the previous week. All the same, France is 4 days ahead of the game to hit its target of 30m 1st doses by 15 June.
1/10
With all over-18’s eligible from Monday, and masses of Pfizer doses available, I expect records will be shattered next week. In each of the last 2 days, France gave over 680,000 jabs (a new high) – 80% of them Pfizer. Apart from 2nd shots, use of AstraZeneca is now minimal.
2/10
As of last night, France had given almost 25m first shots – including 2.4m in the last week. It is now first-jabbing at an average 349,447 a day. At that pace it will hit its 30m target on 11 June – 4 days early. Almost half of French adults (47.6%) have received one dose. 3/10
Weekly French vaccination thread.
France may reach its target of 20 million first doses by the end of today. I say MAY. If it falls short, it will be by a few thousand jabs, which will be much closer than seemed possible even a week ago. 1/12
Both health minister Olivier Véran and Doctolib site predict France WILL hit the target after strenuous efforts in recent days. As of 7.30pm yesterday, 293,069 1st jabs were needed – far more than have ever been given on a French Saturday. But this may not be any Saturday 2/12
The last week saw huge efforts, such as relaxing age rules and keeping vaccinodromes open late, to deliver a politically important promise. Big numbers were jabbed even on Thursday’s hol (600,000+) and yesterday’s “pont” (weekend bridge) 598,639 incl. 437,620 1st jabs) 3/12
Weekly French vaccination thread.
It has been a good week – the best yet.
France broke its record on each of the last 2 days – 545,000 shots on Thurs and 549,000 yesterday – or almost 1.1m shots in 2 days.
In 7 days, 2.8m doses were given, after 2.5m a week for 2 weeks. 1/11
All the same, the Fr. government wants – and needs – to go faster to hit its medically and politically important targets of 20m first jabs by 15 May and 30m by 15 June. France’s problem has changed: no longer a shortage of doses but a shortage of people willing to be dosed. 2/11
There were over 200,000 vacant slots at the start of the week, some with 10 jabs each. This is partly because of resistance to AstraZeneca but also because of general French vax-scepticism. The problem is NOT huge. By my calculation 86% of doses had been used by this weekend 3/11
Foreign tourists with a “health pass” will be allowed back into France from 9 June, under Macron’s grand Covid re-opening plan. Restaurant and café terraces, cinemas, theatres etc will re-open (with restrictions on numbers) from 19 May.
1/6
Macron’s four-stage plan to “re-open” France, starting on Monday, has been leaked by Le Parisien, Le Point magazine and others. It aways seemed unlikely that his interview with regional papers, conducted yesterday, would remain secret until published tomorrow morning. 2/6
The later stages, according to Le Point, may be delayed in those départements where the incidence rate remains over 400 per 100,000 over 7 days. As things stand that would delay openings in au moins the Paris and Marseilles area.
3/6
Weekly French Covid thread
All stats in the last week moved in the right direction, some more than others. That’s the 1st time that has happened for 2 months. Daily average of cases was 27,857 – a fall of 16.6%. Deaths were down; incidence rate down; acute care slightly down 1/11
President Macron will appear on TV soon – maybe Sun or Mon, probably an interview, not a formal address – to give details on easing of social restrictions from mid-May. He was in cautious mood when he spoke to mayors on Tues. He said curfews will last in some form until June 2/11
PM Jean Castex may give more clues this afternoon. Although the 3rd wave of C19 is receding slowly, there are causes for anxiety. The South African variant is spreading in greater Paris. The vax roll-out is doing pretty well but there are many slots untaken (not only for AZ) 3/11