The Jihadist, al-Jolani, on PBS TV

Martin Smith does a fine job of outlining America's dilemma in Idlib

A top US policy maker calls al-Jolani the "least bad option" for Idlib.

Oddly, CIA Chief Brennan said the same thing about Assad.

See thread =>

disq.us/t/3xdadyn
in March 2015, months before the Russians stepped in to defend Assad against al-Jolani & Caliph Baghdadi, Brennan explained that the US did not want to see a collapse of the Syrian regime as it could open the way to Islamist extremists taking power.

timesofisrael.com/cia-us-does-no…
The CIA chief said he had reason to worry about who might replace President Assad if his gov. fell, given the rise of the Islamic State group and other jihadists in Syria.

“I think that’s a legitimate concern,” Brennan said when asked if the US feared who might succeed Assad.
Brennan said that “extremist elements” including the IS group and Al-Qaeda veterans are “ascendant right now.”

“None of us, Russia, the US coalition and regional states, want to see a collapse of the government & political institutions in Damascus,” Brennan said.
Ironically, according to US policy makers, the US has achieved its "least bad option" in Syria.

Both the opposition & Assad have been dramatically weakened. They pose little threat to the West or anyone save the poor Syrian people, who are the losers in this "least bad option." Ambassador James Jeffrey
What the US did in Syria was settle for a number of "least bad options" after failing to put pro-US proxies in power.

They kept Assad in Damascus, Jolani weakened the North, the YPG in NE, & Syria in ruins.

Today Syria cannot threaten America's allies.

"The Quagmire policy."

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More from @joshua_landis

25 May
The Syrian Elections are not about popular sovereignty. Everyone knows the outcome.

They are about Assad declaring victory in the war - his wish that the revolution be seen to be over.

His unstated opponent is the Syrian opp., who argue that the revolution can still succeed. Image
These videos of supporters, like his main election slogan - "Hope is in Work" - are meant to convince people to put their heads down and go back to work - to accept the reality: the uprising is over & Assad remains.

The opposition states the opposite.

The Syrian opposition seeks to convince Syrians that sanctions are a necessary price to rid the country of Assad & that continued Western pressure & isolation of the regime can work.

Assad wants foreign governments to re-engage, to see that more pressure is pointless.
Read 5 tweets
23 Apr
A Saudi-Syr-Dutch firm has partnered with a French firm to build in Syria.

This is much needed to alleviate Syria's crisis. Building on two major electric plants in Syria has come to a stand-still because of US's latest sanctions.

Will US Treasury stop this effort?
Here is the news on how sanctions are keeping Syrians in the dark - many with only 1 or 2 hours of electricity a day.

If one believes that sanctions will force Assad to step aside, the suffering & privation caused by sanctions may be worth it.
If sanctions are simply an effort to turn Syria into a quagmire for Russia & Iran or to keep the government weak with no plan for change or improvement, they are an inhuman exercise in geostrategic one upmanship. Image
Read 7 tweets
13 Apr
How US Sanctions Halt Electric Power Production in Syria

Syria's electric power output is running at less than 30% of the capacity of its plants. Why?

1. Gas and oil wells are controlled by the SDF which is backed by US troops.

Thread =>
2. The lack of spare parts for the maintenance of the existing power plants. This is due to US-backed sanctions. The electric power is rationed to homes and factories and provides power at a rate of one hour on and four hours off.
3. The construction of 2 new power plants that would bring an increased capacity of 1150 megawatts has been halted due to the sanctions:

The contractor of the Tishreen extension project that is to provide 400 megawatts is Baharat Heavy Electrical Limited, owned by the Indian gov
Read 5 tweets
4 Apr
"In 10/2014, Assad decreed that Syria’s Education Min. must provide Shia studies as part of the curriculum in schools nationwide," writes @OulaAlrifai

Does anyone have a link to this decree?

Before the uprising, Syrian textbooks didn't mention of Shiism
washingtoninstitute.org/experts/oula-a…
There is no trace of this education in the Islamic Religion textbooks taught in Syrian schools. This makes me wonder about the decree. Was it simply ignored? Perhaps it was not enacted? If it was something Iran wanted, perhaps Damascus never got the memo?
@OulaAlrifai writes:

"Assad decreed that Syria’s Education Ministry must provide Shia studies as part of the curriculum in schools, colleges, & universities nationwide... Iran already ran many Syrian schools, but the number increased significantly in the years to follow."
Read 4 tweets
3 Apr
. @BurhanGhalioun's perspective on the Opposition on the Syrian Uprising's 10-Year Anniversary

"It is an exaggeration to talk about opposition in Assad’s Syria. There were opposition figures, but there were no opposition institutions."

syrianobserver.com/interviews/650… via @observesyria
Everyone who stands against an existing regime and seeks to change it or its policy, in any direction, is called opposition. There is an Islamic, secular, and extremist opposition, and perhaps sectarian, tribal, nationalist, and racist opposition.
In my book titled Criticism of Politics: The State and Religion, I had called on the Muslim Brothers to shift to an Islamic democracy along the lines of Christian democracy that was known in most European countries after World War II.
Read 5 tweets
7 Jan
Good news.

Biden to choose Brett McGurk for top job in the US National Security Council (NSC), managing the Middle East and North Africa.

McGurk led the Global Coalition to Defeat the Islamic State. He urged Obama to bomb ISIS before it cld take Mosul.

npasyria.com/en/52513/
@brett_mcgurk urged Obama to stop ISIS's advance in vain. The Obama WH insisted on using the ISIS advance on Baghdad as leverage to get PM Maliki out of office & al-Abadi in. This political objective was bought at the price of the destruction of Mosul & many Iraqi Sunni cities.
The US pursued the same bad policy in Syria. It calculated that the Islamic State’s expansion in the region would force the Syrian president to negotiating with Washington, according to private comments made by Kerry.
washingtontimes.com/news/2017/jan/…
Read 5 tweets

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