This is a really interesting mode experiment:
Given the partisan split here, it'd be really interesting to see (in a dream world of endless questionnaire space) something along the lines of "And about what share of other people in the [Democratic/Republican] Party do you think support the death penalty?" Image
(The hypothesis here being that, if it's a social desirability thing rather some other mode difference -- or sampling -- pro-death penalty Dems might be more reticent to express that view if they think they're in the minority within their own party.)
The racial pattern here also interesting: Image

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More from @aedwardslevy

4 Jun
a story, as told by Google Trends

(usual caveats about extrapolating from search data apply; pizza is just a generally handy baseline) Image
Image
Image
Read 7 tweets
3 Jun
"They just showed up one day (Vol.)" Image
yes, the poll was conducted using CATI
was not intending this to serve as a callout for everybody's pet acquisition stories, but I can't say I'm mad about the outcome
Read 4 tweets
2 Jun
Gallup, in a 1989 mail survey: "If you could have one of the following cartoon characters for a household pet, which one would you choose?" Image
The survey also asked people to pick their three favorite names for men and women.

Some top choices for first mention:
Michael (7%), John (5%), David (5%), William (5%), Robert (5%)

Mary (5%), Elizabeth (4%), Susan (3%)
Also, "To the best of your knowledge, what is your state official [flower/tree/song/motto]?"

I have some questions about the "Iowa Corn Song" and "You Have A Friend In Pennsylvania" ImageImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
13 May
Here's a first look at the preliminary research into the 2020 general election polling error.

So far, it's most definitive in ruling out potential causes -- e.g. education weighting, late vote shift -- that *don't* seem to have been major factors.

cnn.com/2021/05/13/pol…
This is no surprise if you've been following discussions, but focus is coalescing around some form of differential non-response - that is, people who were polled are different from people who weren't, in a way current weighting didn't account for.

cnn.com/2021/05/13/pol…
For instance, even if a poll included the correct number of Republicans compared to the actual electorate, Republicans in the poll might have been less supportive of Trump than Republicans who weren't reached.
Read 6 tweets
17 Apr
I've information anecdotal, chemical, and clinical
I know the COVID experts, and I quote-tweet fights on aerosols
List BioNTech to Zeneca, in order categorical
I'm very well acquainted, too, with matters virological
I understand most models but I'm baffled by the cubical
About t-cell immunity I am teeming with a lot o' news...lot o' news...

with many cheerful facts about the antibodies I'll produce!
I know the vaccine history from Jenner and the old cowpox
I answer diagnostics, I thank all the nurses and the docs
I quote in elegiacs all the CDC analysis
And hope we'll usher in an annus slightly more mirabilis
I can tell adenoviruses from mRNA and spike proteins
Read 6 tweets
15 Apr
Secondary question now is probably whether decreased confidence in J&J actually spills over into decreased vaccine willingness, or just results in more people having a preference for an alternative vaccine.
Read 6 tweets

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