How can I describe it? Well I drove to the health food store today streaming the wonderful KXLU - so I'm driving and listening and its the French Caribbean vibe and the radio station is broadcasting from close to LAX airport and its playing Engelbert Humperdinc's Lesbian Seagull
This week's show is a bit like that...I mean who writes that? "Fly with me, lesbian seagull To my little nest by the sea I know I can be strong when you're with me" And YouTube is so prudish, so I elected instead to call the pod, Is it Possible to Tokenise Knowledge?
We talk Freud. Of course we don't. Maybe we should? Freud described my problem as the narcissism of minor differences: the difference between contract and pay-as-you-go. Hedgies and pole-dancers, or lesbian seagulls for that matter, might seem poles-apart, but it's the same pole
You still haven't nailed the new book I'm reading? Crypto is anticipation mingled with uncertainty. That pathologically we get the same dopamine hit whether we win or lose. The dopamine jackpot or the magic of maybe...that an altered state is needed to reset an altered state
Crypto is c. $1.5 trn but the mkt caps of FB, Google et al are much > What if we could harness the dope that resides in crypto - the design feature that lends it to speculation - and throw in today's speculative feeding monetary regime. Such altered states could reset macro land
What if we could create assets around personal identities, the speculative empowerment of crypto harnessed to modern Fed policy to make you rich, hmmm? maybe that should be, less poor...At least we might solve for the gen Z issue of how to kickstart a platform with zero users...
The Feds enriched the 1pc with their equity & bond put, euro governments are targeting behaviour with their carbon emission pricing regime so why not decentralise the asset bubble and put a floor on the value of you? I'd buy you; you're worth it. Macro is changing...Macrotech?
How to become a trader? Don't believe there are legit training courses - they're all looking to skin you for a bit of money - fiat or otherwise. There as useful as diets.
Be passionate. Read. Read a lot. Do it at night under the covers with a torch. Read about Jesse Livermore - dabble a little - get your hands dirty. But start really small cause you're gonna get it wrong. Don't believe the contrary. You gotta get it wrong to get it right
Keep trading notes. I'm doing this for X/Y/Z. Examine your ex post babbilings with your ex ante rational self... Read interviews about traders - jack schwager started it off. Read how to use Japanese candlestick charts -RV is cheap and excellent - pros and the rest use it
Here's why you should watch this week's instalment...
Hedge fund manager, Hugh Hendry, again invites his former colleague, @ToStRo , to review his 3D macro thought piece. De-Carbonisation. De-Globalisation. Demographics. Macro has changed!
The Acid Capitalist, Hugh, explains how the Fed and it's put on bonds and equities will become the government floor on the price of carbon. You need to understand this now...
You are so far ahead of us. Would you consider recording something with me on my channel? I want to document my efforts to tokenise my community on my YouTube channel. I own a couple of truly beautiful houses and I'm thinking them too and the launch of the family fashion brand.
But more than that, I want to tap into and share your command of this zeitgeist...would you do that for me? You think you could bring me up to speed? If so there is the DM option or my contact page at hughhendry.com. I just know we could gain so much from you both...
Confessions Part XX Is Bitcoin going to a Million Dollars?
Hedge fund manager, Hugh Hendry, invites his former colleague, Tom Roderick, the manager of the Trium Macro Hedge Fund, to review this week's crash in cryptocurrencies.
They draw parallels with the tech bubble of the late 90s and the pyramid of leverage that lay behind the housing bubble in late 2006.
They discuss bitcoin's coming of age. With values soaring past one trillion dollars, crypto is no longer a cheap out-of-the money call option on currency debasement.
I'm incognito hiding my appearance for this week's podcast because I'm taking on the wrath of the BTC community. Love to all - now give us a good spanking so we can reload positions in the 30,000s. I'm really stoked on the opportunities to make money right now.
So many stocks are screaming EPIC BULL MARKET. Gold has endured a super correction. Time to reload. I'll discuss / review next time.Silver, uranium, big miners like Billiton and Rio look v sexy. This is the final explosive Third Act for the commodity complex. You need OTM calls.
But China? It's not rallying...maybe I'm being super cautious and the charts are still hanging on (just!) and they've come back +20%. But those Princes of the Yuan might they just dare to remove the credit lube?