Brexit is like quitting Netflix to build your own streaming service (because theirs is rubbish and doesn't match your sensibilities) while simultaneously demanding Netflix allow you to keep accessing their content because you're BRITISH.

(🎩 @jamesbaconx for the metaphor idea.)
And when Netflix refuse, on the sensible grounds that you're not a member of their service any more (and plan to be a major competitor to boot) you accuse them of bullying, bloody-minded punishment behaviour.
After you've quit their service, you use the fact that Netflix don't let you access their content any more to retroactively justify your decision to leave.

"If they're that selfish now that we're no longer a member, we should never have been a member at all!"
Meanwhile, while you're pouring billions of pounds into getting half a dozen cat videos to stream without freezing, the subscribers who kept up their Netflix subscriptions continue to enjoy thousands of films and TV programmes for a low monthly fee.

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More from @uk_domain_names

7 Jun
The Express has published 94,096 articles about Brexit. That's an average of 52 articles per day since the referendum!

They're still putting them out at a furious rate. Key tropes: attacks on the EU, and on Remainers.

A veritable avalanche of brainwashing.
To give you a taste of the scale of their assault on truth and reality, here's the headlines from the 30 - yes, 30 - Brexit-related articles they've put out so far today... Image
So whenever you're having difficulty understanding why Express readers can be so wrong on all matters Brexit, just think of that relentless, endless cascade of corrosive filth they're being exposed to.

With brainwashing of that intensity, no other outcome is possible.
Read 4 tweets
6 Jun
Let's talk about COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations and deaths in England - and the effects of the vaccine.

Here's a look at how many cases it takes per additional hospitalisation (assuming a 7 day delay) and how many hospitalisations it takes per death in hospital (ditto).

1/N
At the beginning of the pandemic, we were in the dark as far as case numbers. It was only at the end of June 2020 that we passed 100,000 tests a day (indicated by the vertical green line on the graph).

That makes drawing conclusions about cases early in the pandemic v hard.

2/N
The blue line represents the number of new cases it takes to produce one new hospitalisation (after a 7-day lag).

As you can see, that's been anywhere between 2 and 25+ new cases.

We're at or close to the best ever ratio. That is likely to be the effect of the vaccine.

3/N
Read 9 tweets
6 Jun
There are not enough core Labour supporters for Labour to ever win an election again.

To have any chance of winning, they have to attract voters from outside their cosy base.

And that means Remainers. Even in Leave areas, most Labour voters voted Remain.
britishelectionstudy.com/bes-findings/l…
That was a key mistake of the Corbyn era...

Sure, Labour membership grew to its highest ever.

But there will always be far too few Labour members to deliver a General Election victory.

Instead of appealing enormously to a narrow group, they have to better appeal to a wide one.
It's like a book that is always in demand in libraries, but nobody wants to buy from a bookshop.

Initial sales to libraries alone won't ever make it a bestseller.
Read 4 tweets
5 Jun
Here's a look at new cases vs hospitalisations vs deaths since 1 September 2020. The graphs are normalised so that "100%" represents the "worst data point" of each.

(It won't pinpoint the exact peaks because it uses 7-day batches of data, but it's close enough to see trends.)
NOTES:

1) Hospitalisations lag cases

2) Deaths lag hospitalisations

3) Vaccine has a real effect on reducing deaths (falling more steeply than hospitalisations)

4) Too little time has elapsed to see the expected increase in hospitalisations/deaths from recent spike in cases
In other words...

1) There are ALWAYS lags between new cases and hospitalisations, and between hospitalisations and deaths.

2) It's TOO EARLY to say whether the vaccine has broken the link. Another week and we'll know for hospitalisations. Another 2-3 weeks for deaths.
Read 4 tweets
4 Jun
Brexit's broken but is about to break a lot more! It's the gift that keeps on taking.

Here's a look at some upcoming changes.

30 June 2021: Deadline to apply for the EU citizen settlement scheme in the UK, and for equivalent schemes aimed at UK citizens in several EU countries.
1 July 2021: New EU VAT regime, affecting sales into the EU market by non-EU firms. Elimination of VAT exemption on low value consignments (previously up to EUR 22) so all goods imported into the EU will be liable to VAT.
ec.europa.eu/taxation_custo…
1 October 2021: National IDs are no longer valid for most travel to the UK. Instead, passports will be required. Impacts school trips, language and cultural exchanges etc. (National IDs are mandatory in most EU countries, so many children won't have passports.)
Read 12 tweets
4 Jun
"School trips to UK from EU could halve as Brexit hits cultural exchanges"

Means the loss of many hundreds of thousands of visitors, and the spending that comes with them.

Why? Because they can't travel on national IDs from October, only passports. theguardian.com/education/2021…
We're talking the loss of several million hotel nights. Plus much fewer children coming on language courses. A massive body blow to the economy.
BTW this isn't news, in the sense it's not a new revelation. Many people (including me) have been warning about that for years, because the decision to turn away from national IDs has been trailed for a long time.
Read 4 tweets

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