A thread...

$ROKU What @Roku CEO Anthony Wood is doing with @TheRokuChannel is a display of some of the highest business acumen in practice that media has seen in a generation.

It's absolutely next level and still a decade ahead of the rest.

/1
$ROKU

... This has thrust Roku into an unprecedented opportunity.

First...

Since it's all AVOD, he uses content acquisition cost precisely. It's not a 'well, gosh, a big movie with big stars probably gets us subscribers."

...

/2
$ROKU

The revenue estimate measure is exact. "This many impressions at this CPM results in precisely this revenue."

The estimates may be off, but it's not a moving target. "This content is worth this much, exactly, and this is how we have decided that value."

...

/3
$ROKU

This is basically using Goolge and Facebook ad precision for ROI on his own platform. 

This is the opposite of Netflix, HBO, Disney, etc, where they have to pluck an estimate out of the air with nearly impossible ROI metrics. 

Second...

/4
$ROKU

It creates business diversification. TRC is available on non Roku devices. The proliferation of the OS is the bullish thesis, no two ways about it, but at least there is a 'something' to reap rewards of booming OTT usage without just the OS.

Third...

/5
$ROKU

It's a launching point for other services for which Roku receives revenue share. 

(Sign up for X service, recurring commission to Roku. This is the 'software as a platform' business; like Shopify, but, ya know, we can't quite go so far as to call Roku, Shopify.)

...

/6
$ROKU

Fourth...

If TRC gets large enough w content and usage, it can become YouTube of streaming. Tons of content, all free, advertisements are expected, available anywhere. Again, would be silly to compare the scale, Roku is not YouTube, but the strategy is similar. 

...

/7
$ROKU

Fifth...

First party data is king. Google and Facebook own this world on the web.

All others will sink or swim on their own first party data quality. 

Roku has both the OS platform and now TRC with 70M+ viewers worldwide, all with a Roku account. 

...

/8
$ROKU

This is the new Internet.

'Streaming TV' or 'OTT' are not complete descriptors. It is, for the first time, appropriately called Internet TV. The other uses of that phrase are not true to the ethos and scale.

...

/9
$ROKU @Roku

Roku is trying to win the new Internet and like the web, it will be measured in billions of users.

There's more, but this is good for now...

/10
$ROKU

But the a part of the genius is more subtle, until it isn't.

With linear TV content spend could be measured against ROI with ad sales which were driven by viewership. 

With movies, measured with box office revenue. 

...

/11
$ROKU

But streaming is harder and this is holding back ad buying demand. 

(Supply is there in size.)

Roku is using its own platform to create the right content spend strategy to generate ROI. Not only is this successful for the firm but...

...

/12
$ROKU

... this is a large scale direct usage of the data and it will serve as a proof point to all other advertisers. 

This would be like Google running an ad campaign to get more searches and proving the ROI so others will use search to advertise. 

...

/13
$ROKU

Roku will accelerate OTT advertising by using its own data to build its own business. 

This is the crux of the matter and it's wonderfully addressed. 

In the meantime, Roku will use its own competitive advantage to make TRC ever more ppowerful.

...

/14
$ROKU

The demand is coming.

The dollars will follow.

Here is a chart which demonstrates cognition of this reality by sell side analysts.

This is FY 2024 revenue estimates for Roku.

They have risen by 60% in a year.

Wall Street is playing catch up.

/15
If you learned from this thread, that is, if you feel it makes you a better investor then consider this is 15 tweets.

CML Pro is six years of full blown dossiers and CEO / CFO one-on-one interviews.

Tweets are entertainment.

CML Pro is on purpose.
👇
bit.ly/CMLPro

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More from @OphirGottlieb

3 Jun
$PD

* Revenue: $63.6M vs analyst estimates of 62.0M
* EPS: -$0.08 vs -$0.09

Full Year Guidance:
* Revenue: $269.5M vs analyst estimates of 267.69M
* EPS: -$0.39 vs -$0.399
$PD

* Customers with annual recurring revenue over $1,000,000, up 55% year-over-year

/2
$PD

Net cash provided by operations was $1.6 million, or 2.5% of revenue, compared to net cash used in operating activities of $0.2 million, or negative 0.4% of revenue,

/3
Read 10 tweets
3 Jun
A thread...

$FSLY

Bars: Revenue (TTM)
Line: Gross Profit (TTM)

cmlviz.com/stocks/FSLY/fi…

/1
...

$ROKU

Bars: Revenue (TTM)
Line: Gross Profit (TTM)

cmlviz.com/stocks/ROKU/fi…

/2
$PINS

Bars: Revenue (TTM)
Line: Gross Profit (TTM)

cmlviz.com/stocks/PINS/fi…

/3
Read 11 tweets
28 May
* The long run is just a collection of short runs you have to put up with.

* Long term is harder than most people imagine, which is why it’s more lucrative than many people assume. Everything worthwhile has a price, and the prices aren’t always obvious.

/2
* Saying you have a 10-year time horizon doesn’t exempt you from all the nonsense that happens during the next 10 years. Everyone has to experience the recessions, the bear markets, the meltdowns, the surprises and the memes at the same time.

/3
Read 8 tweets
24 May
A quick thread.

$FSLY $NET

CML Pro members got a dossier yesterday after I spoke with Fastly's Chief Product Architect.

...

/1
$FSLY

There are unfortunate misconceptions about the technology that there two companies are bridging.

But, there is also an obtuse misconception of their differences.

/2
*Significant* speed difference, so 100x, is a symptom not the end goal.

It is the circumstantial evidence that what Fastly has built will be the only scalable solution. 

Nobody, not even Fastly and Cloudflare know what will happen on the Internet with these new clouds. 

/3
Read 9 tweets
21 May
A thread

$FTCH

Richemont Shares Climb After ‘Golden’ Earnings. The Luxury Stock May Shine Brighter. 

Source
barrons.com/articles/riche…

... more...

/1
In November 2020, Richemont and Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba invested $1.1 billion in Farfetch, a London-based online fashion retailer.

...

/2
The three groups are partners on a “Luxury New Retail” model that allows Richemont to sell directly to consumers through Alibaba’s popular e-commerce platforms.

...

/3
Read 15 tweets
20 May
A little thread...

$FSLY

I have had a standing belief that Fastly’s technology, based on architectural decisions, is the best in the world in the space of global programmable networks and edge compute (I feel the same way about CDN, but that’s a different subject).

/1
I believe that architecture makes it the only truly scalable programmable network and I think that the largest enterprises in the world are starting to catch on (and thus Fastly is so dominated with enterprise business).

/2
I spoke with the head of product just to educate myself, which is to say it’s all out there, but I’m not good enough to grasp it all without help.

/3
Read 12 tweets

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