Provincial update #COVID19 in South Africa πΏπ¦
Here's a look at the key metrics of case incidence and test positivity rate per province in South Africa π
Quite a lot going on between the provinces, so I'll make this a thread π
Let's start with good news!
Northern Cape and Free State showing promising signs of a decline. Both are still at very high case incidence rates,so certainly not out of the woods yet π
NC case incidence rose up to 1.5 times previous peak.
FS went up to 90% of 2nd wave's peak π
Average of 2,531 cases/day over the past week; 52% of total cases in SA β¬οΈ
Cases in GP currently doubling every 2 weeks π
Hospital admissions also increasing, up +30% week-on-week. More deaths being reported now too β οΈ
Western Cape cases starting to increase faster now too! 401 cases/day over past week, up 31% week-on-week. Case incidence up to 12% of it's 2nd wave peak π
Mpumalanga also rising, cases up 19% compared to a week ago. Case incidence now up to 19% of it's previous peak π
Limpopo, Eastern Cape, and KwaZulu Natal still at low case incidence rates, however all are increasing sharply β¬οΈ
By province, NC and FS continue to increase further:
β’ NC incidence rate +60% or doubling every 10 days. Case incidence at 64% of its 2nd wave peak
β’ FS +23% week-on-week. Case incidence at 41% of its 2nd wave peak
β’ All other provinces stable with curves flat-lining this week
Rate of testing up +7% to ~29k tests per day over the past week. Nationally, the increase is testing has kept up with the increase in the rate of infections this week
Confirmed #COVID19 cases up in all 9 provinces this week, but 3 are of particular concern atm:
β’ NC +104% and incidence rate at 40% of its 2nd wave peak = 3rd wave/resurgence of 2nd wave
β’ FS +63% and incidence rate now at 33% of its 2nd wave peak = start of 3rd wave
β’ NW +57%
Trends in test positivity rates per province confirms the increase in infection rates in NC, FS and NW, with positivity rate in MP also of concern: