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Laura Rozen Profile picture
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9 Jun, 5 tweets, 2 min read
🧵Jerusalem Post: Former Mossad Chief Tamir Pardo today “said it was a massive strategic error for Netanyahu to be in open conflict with the Obama and Biden administrations over Iran.” jpost.com/middle-east/ir… by @jeremybob1
Pardo “said that Netanyahu’s policy had helped push the Trump admin to leave the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, which now has led to Tehran passing the 60% nuclear enrichment level.”
He accused Netanyahu of having “top notch tactics, but zero strategy.” jpost.com/middle-east/ir…
btw, re: Pardo, Sen. Tim Kaine recounted at SFRC hearing yesterday Netanyahu trying to cancel a congressional delegation briefing with Pardo, and then-SFRC chief Corker threatening to cancel all their other meetings in Israel if Netanyahu did not let it proceed. It did.
Kaine’s implication was that Israeli security officials had a more nuanced view on the JCPOA than Netanyahu’s and Netanyahu was trying to prevent them from hearing it.
Pardo’s comments on that today sure seem to reenforce all of the above

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More from @lrozen

Laura Rozen Profile picture
8 Jun
The second Iranian presidential debate that just finished was very boring, says @fresh_sadegh, at SAIS Rethinking Iran panel. She got sense the candidates were cautioned from somewhere to stick to the framework, few of them directly answered the questions asked of them.
Many people are indifferent to this election, @fresh_sadegh says. Polls suggest maybe 40% turnout. A lot of reasons, main one: people are disappointed, don’t expect any change from the candidates put on the table. Of 7 approved candidates, none of them really represent different
groups of people. Economic problems, add to problems that already exist in society people.
Read 9 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
7 Jun
Jake Sullivan: the core of Biden trip to Europe is to rally world democracies to tackle the great challenges of our times
Sullivan: the focus of US EU summit is to align our approaches to trade and technology, so democracies write the rules for trade and technology in the 21st century
Sullivan: Biden not meeting with Putin in spite of our countries differences, but *because* of our countries’ differences; simply a lot we have to work through.
Read 4 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
3 Jun
as in the WaPo and CNN cases, Trump admin DOJ obtained the records in 2020, for reporting in 2017.
NYT: DOJ did not say which article was being investigated. But the lineup of reporters & timing suggests related to classified info reported in 4/22/2017 article about a doc obtained from Russia by hackers that influenced Comey decision to announce not charging HRC in email probe
“the April 2017 article mentioned a document obtained from Russia by hackers working for Dutch intelligence officials. The document, whose existence was classified, was said to have played a key role in Mr. Comey’s thinking about the Clinton case.”
Read 5 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
2 Jun
🧵 New from me: Iran talks break til next week; negotiators cite progress, need for political decisions diplomatic.substack.com/p/iran-talks-b…
“The issue for Tehran is not about reaching agreement, but who can take credit for it,” which affects the timing of potentially reaching a deal, @Azodiac83 “Conservatives want to be able to say, ‘we brought you prosperity.’” diplomatic.substack.com/p/iran-talks-b…
If one were to focus mostly on the Iranian statement tea leaves, one might expect a deal maybe later in June and some sort of implementation day in August. diplomatic.substack.com/p/iran-talks-b…
Read 5 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
28 May
🧵Several new bits of info for me in this @shustry profile of Derkach. Among them,
Andriy Artemenko, who set up Giuliani’s Dec 2019 trip to Ukraine and apparently lives near DC, “is a longstanding business partner to Erik Prince.” time.com/6052302/andriy…
“Artemenko, a Kyiv-born citizen of Canada, had plenty of contacts to share. One of them was Derkach, who told me he has known Artemenko since at least since 2014.”
In months leading up to April FBI raid, “investigators questioned numerous witnesses about Giuliani’s work in Ukraine. Two of those witnesses told me the investigators were especially interested in his ties to Derkach. ‘They wanted everything – every meeting, every text,’
Read 10 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
26 May
Ire across the political spectrum at the Guardian Council disqualifications of several Iranian presidential candidates, @amwajmedia reports: “an uncontested win by Raisi in the elections may discredit him and even damage his leadership ambitions.” amwaj.media/media-monitor/…
“This level of dissatisfaction among hardliners with the Guardian Council is unprecedented & indicates that pressure on the political establishment is growing. Hardliners are worried that an election in which there is no competition will lead to a low turnout that will be blamed
“on them and the wider establishment, and place the rival Reformist camp on the high ground.
The discontent in the wider social base from where the hardliners get their support could force Khamenei to issue a decree for the GC to approve Larijani & possibly also Jahangiri
Read 5 tweets

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