Meanwhile in Cornwall, the G7 summit is in danger of turning into a super spreader event, in an area that has had the lowest infection rates in England until now.

13 out of 17 staff at a hotel housing media and members of the German delegates' security team have caught covid.
The last few days have seen a surge in cases in Cornwall.

There have already been almost as many cases this week (102) as there were in the whole of May (121), and the data is still incomplete!

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases?… Image
Updated with another day of data. Wednesday 9th June is now up to 85 cases, and still incomplete.

It seems likely that once all the test results are in, Cornwall will have had more cases in one day at some point this week than it had in the whole of May.

This doesn't bode well. Image
It took a day longer than I predicted, but Monday saw 120 covid cases in Cornwall, pretty much matching the 121 cases they had in *the whole of May* in a single day! Image
Zooming in on the map, it certainly looks like the G7 summit caused the surge.

By far the highest case rates are in St Ives on the left (were the summit took place) and Falmouth and the surrounding area on the right (where the media centre was).

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/intera… Image

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More from @_johnbye

13 Jun
I wonder what @QMUL thinks of @profnfenton retweeting a post from an anti-vax conspiracy nut accusing colleague @dgurdasani1 of "misrepresenting the data" on covid deaths amongst vaccinated people?

Particularly ironic given Fenton's own record of mangling data...
Unsurprisingly, Dr Syed's claim that vaccination *increases* your risk of dying if you catch covid by 73% is utter nonsense.

A quick look at the ONS data shows the proportion of covid deaths in the oldest (most vaccinated) age groups has been falling. Exactly as you'd expect.
His whole argument rests on either ignoring the age of people who were vaccinated entirely or (in a later post) assuming that everyone who died was elderly.

Which, as I've just shown above, is far from true.
Read 10 tweets
12 Jun
The latest nonsense from @hartgroup_org members @ClareCraigPath and @profnfenton is that there's no danger from rising cases because they're not real (they are), hospital admissions aren't rising (they are), and asymptomatic testing isn't showing any rise (it is).
As usual Clare Craig quotes a lot of data that's completely meaningless, to "prove" nothing is really wrong.

Like 111 call data (covid calls go to a separate phoneline) and GP visits (you're not supposed to visit your GP if you have covid symptoms).

She talks about a "small uptick" in lateral flow test positivity, which she now says "successfully identified presymtpomatic patients in winter".

That small uptick is positivity doubling in 2 weeks.

We're now doing half a million LFTs a day on average.

Read 6 tweets
11 Jun
Nice to see the government is back to leaking major decisions to the press before they're even supposed to have been made, and 3 days ahead of any official announcement. 🙄
The reason we're in this mess (yet again) is because the government did too little too late (yet again).

They delayed putting India on the red list for 2 weeks, probably in the vain hopes a trade trip could still go ahead. Letting the Delta variant in.

thetimes.co.uk/article/3a8b6a…
Then they failed to take action in areas where the new variant was spreading and ignored calls to delay the last stage of reopening, letting Delta become dominant across the whole country and case numbers surge.

Choosing wishful thinking over science.

Read 4 tweets
7 Jun
Professor of Evidence Based Medicine @carlheneghan has decided to destroy the evidence of all the times he's been wrong during the pandemic.

Like many covid contrarians before him, he's wiped every tweet more than a few weeks old from his account. Luckily the internet remembers.
An archive of his tweets can be found here:

web.archive.org/web/*/https://…*

Ironically, one of the last tweets he deleted was promoting a Spectator article titled "Covid has emboldened our modern censors".

He seems to have now chosen to censor himself. 🙄

spectator.co.uk/article/covid-…
Other highlights include promoting his own Spectator article "The Hidden Cost Of Lockdown", which (whether intentionally misleading or just sloppily worded) initially implied that tens of thousands of covid deaths were somehow "lockdown deaths".

Read 8 tweets
6 Jun
Conservative peer, friend of Cameron and Hancock, married to a Tory MP, worked for McKinsey, then hired them and 72 (!) other management consultancies to help run Test & Trace, at a cost of half a billion pounds...

She's going to get the job, isn't she?

thetimes.co.uk/article/dido-h…
She does have some useful skills though.

She produces a good business plan, for example. Even if it bears little or no relation to reality. And even if what she's running is supposed to be a public service, not a business. 🙄

And she's either a brilliant liar or a useful idiot who doesn't know what's going on in the "business" she's running.

Exhibit A: her wildly misleading and/or worryingly ignorant evidence to a Commons Select Commitee last year.

Read 4 tweets
4 Jun
Pretty sure Naomi Wolf is taking the piss now.
Even Twitter seems to have finally had enough of her shit. Image
Read 7 tweets

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