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John Bye Profile picture
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11 Jun, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Nice to see the government is back to leaking major decisions to the press before they're even supposed to have been made, and 3 days ahead of any official announcement. 🙄
The reason we're in this mess (yet again) is because the government did too little too late (yet again).

They delayed putting India on the red list for 2 weeks, probably in the vain hopes a trade trip could still go ahead. Letting the Delta variant in.

thetimes.co.uk/article/3a8b6a…
Then they failed to take action in areas where the new variant was spreading and ignored calls to delay the last stage of reopening, letting Delta become dominant across the whole country and case numbers surge.

Choosing wishful thinking over science.

And this is the result.

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases?… Image

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More from @_johnbye

John Bye Profile picture
13 Jun
I wonder what @QMUL thinks of @profnfenton retweeting a post from an anti-vax conspiracy nut accusing colleague @dgurdasani1 of "misrepresenting the data" on covid deaths amongst vaccinated people?

Particularly ironic given Fenton's own record of mangling data... Image
Unsurprisingly, Dr Syed's claim that vaccination *increases* your risk of dying if you catch covid by 73% is utter nonsense.

A quick look at the ONS data shows the proportion of covid deaths in the oldest (most vaccinated) age groups has been falling. Exactly as you'd expect. Image
His whole argument rests on either ignoring the age of people who were vaccinated entirely or (in a later post) assuming that everyone who died was elderly.

Which, as I've just shown above, is far from true. Image
Read 7 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
12 Jun
The latest nonsense from @hartgroup_org members @ClareCraigPath and @profnfenton is that there's no danger from rising cases because they're not real (they are), hospital admissions aren't rising (they are), and asymptomatic testing isn't showing any rise (it is).
As usual Clare Craig quotes a lot of data that's completely meaningless, to "prove" nothing is really wrong.

Like 111 call data (covid calls go to a separate phoneline) and GP visits (you're not supposed to visit your GP if you have covid symptoms).

She talks about a "small uptick" in lateral flow test positivity, which she now says "successfully identified presymtpomatic patients in winter".

That small uptick is positivity doubling in 2 weeks.

We're now doing half a million LFTs a day on average.

Read 6 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
7 Jun
Professor of Evidence Based Medicine @carlheneghan has decided to destroy the evidence of all the times he's been wrong during the pandemic.

Like many covid contrarians before him, he's wiped every tweet more than a few weeks old from his account. Luckily the internet remembers.
An archive of his tweets can be found here:

web.archive.org/web/*/https://…*

Ironically, one of the last tweets he deleted was promoting a Spectator article titled "Covid has emboldened our modern censors".

He seems to have now chosen to censor himself. 🙄

spectator.co.uk/article/covid-…
Other highlights include promoting his own Spectator article "The Hidden Cost Of Lockdown", which (whether intentionally misleading or just sloppily worded) initially implied that tens of thousands of covid deaths were somehow "lockdown deaths".

Read 8 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
6 Jun
Conservative peer, friend of Cameron and Hancock, married to a Tory MP, worked for McKinsey, then hired them and 72 (!) other management consultancies to help run Test & Trace, at a cost of half a billion pounds...

She's going to get the job, isn't she?

thetimes.co.uk/article/dido-h…
She does have some useful skills though.

She produces a good business plan, for example. Even if it bears little or no relation to reality. And even if what she's running is supposed to be a public service, not a business. 🙄

And she's either a brilliant liar or a useful idiot who doesn't know what's going on in the "business" she's running.

Exhibit A: her wildly misleading and/or worryingly ignorant evidence to a Commons Select Commitee last year.

Read 4 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
4 Jun
Pretty sure Naomi Wolf is taking the piss now.
Even Twitter seems to have finally had enough of her shit. Image
Read 7 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
27 May
The government seems to have published a shelved PHE study today just to defend Matt Hancock against accusations by Dominic Cummings about discharging patients from hospitals to care homes without testing them for covid.

And the study is flawed, due to that very lack of testing!
It's been widely assumed that many deaths in care homes in the first wave were caused by patients being discharged from hospital without being tested. A policy that continued until April 15th.

This issue was raised by Cummings in his testimony yesterday.

dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9…
The study looks at this issue and claims it only caused 286 deaths.

It was conveniently published today, just in time for Jenny Harries to reference in a press conference.

But it's dated April 2021.

And it's clear it was actually written last autumn!

gov.uk/government/pub…
Read 11 tweets

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