Epidemic / Pandemic / Endemic. I looked it up.

Short🧵

I don't see how autumn wave 4 spreading thru kids in multi-regions N Amer & Eur AND poorly vaxxed regions rest of globe will be "Endemic".

Way too early to call this.

publichealth.columbia.edu/public-health-…

/1 of 4
.
EPIDEMIC: unexpected increase in number of disease cases in a specific geographical area.

Notably, an epidemic disease doesn't necessarily have to be contagious. For example, West Nile fever and the rapid increase in obesity rates are also considered epidemics

/2 of 4
.@WHO declares PANDEMIC when disease’s growth is exponential. Each day cases grow more than day prior.

Has nothing to do with virology, population immunity, or disease severity. It means a virus covers a wide area, affecting several countries and populations.

/3 of 4
An ENDEMIC is a disease outbreak that is consistently present but limited to a particular region. This makes the disease spread and rates predictable.

Malaria, for example, is considered an endemic in certain countries and regions.

/ 4 of 4.

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More from @beansprouts_mom

13 Jun
"COVID-19, in ~ 1 year, killed twice as many children as influenza does most years, and hundreds more in the same interval of time, despite painstaking efforts to prevent infection. This easily makes COVID-19 a leading cause of death in children."
medpagetoday.com/opinion/second…
"All estimates [for pediatric hospitalizations] far exceed the number of hospitalizations during the pre-vaccine period for several vaccine-preventable diseases on the childhood vaccination schedule."

Even if we allow the sketchy hair-splitting of with vs of #COVID19.
Don't forget MIS-C when considering not protecting kids from #COVID19.
Read 5 tweets

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