I was curious
So I graphed percent of CONUS in drought according to the US drought monitor, data is weekly from 1/2000
droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap.aspx
Here from US EPA is the same data by drought category
epa.gov/climate-indica…
And here from EPA is a longer time series, 1895-2020 for CONUS
Note: On this graph up means wetter, down means dryer
epa.gov/climate-indica…
And here is the percent in drought (D0-D4) of the Colorado River Basin over Jan 2000 to present
droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap.aspx
And here is Colorado River Basin drought 1901-2015
via McCabe et al 2020
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/…
And for a much longer perspective, here is Colorado River Basin drought over the past 1800 years
Also from McCabe et al 2020
TL;DR
Here are the conclusions of McCabe et al 2020
Well worth reading carefully
And here is what the US National Climate Assessment concluded on drought in 2018
nca2018.globalchange.gov/chapter/2/
PS
A side note
For accurately citing peer reviewed literature & US NCA on drought trends in 2013 Congressional testimony, I earned the distinction of being the only US researcher in history to be attacked by the president's science advisor (Holdren) in a White House blog post 😎
PPS
Holdren is still wrong
The IPCC, USNCA & peer reviewed literature that they rely on is still correct

Climate change is real, and aggressive mitigation & adaptation policies make good sense

The reality of climate change doesn't mean scientific integrity can be ignored

/END
Oh, I guess I should point out Holdren's false claims about me posted on White House website were basis for a subsequent Congressional investigation of me that turned my life upside down & almost ended my career
But I'm still here
And that kids is how I came to understand tenure

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More from @RogerPielkeJr

15 Jun
🧵One of the most remarkable aspects of science advice in the COVID-19 pandemic was how utterly unprepared the US government was ... I look back at how this happened from Bush to Obama to Trump in this post ... here is a short thread as well ...
The US government paid little attention to pandemic planning before Pres GHW Bush, who read a book on summer vacation in 2005 that sparked his interest Image
In fact, during his presidency in his public remarks Ronald Reagan only mentioned the word "pandemic" 1 time and GHWB not at all. Climate mentioned "pandemic" 16x, then GWB at 214 Image
Read 8 tweets
10 Jun
How to make biomedical research (and biosafety labs) less dangerous and more ethical, post-COVID-19 thebulletin.org/?p=86600 via @BulletinAtomic
I've noted some confusion over whether EHA and/or WIV was actively involved with so-called "gain of cuntion research"

This article says EHA was
No one in gov't monitors or tracks laboratory acquired infections
Covid-19 aside, this needs fixing ASAP
Read 4 tweets
9 Jun
In 2016, at 1:15:50 of video linked, Peter Daszak describes research done by Chinese colleagues to increase the pathogenicity of SAR-like viruses ("you insert the spike protein") from bats to produce viruses that "really do look like killers"
c-span.org/video/?404875-…
We can now conclude with certainty

a) There exists a reservoir of pathogenic SARS-like viruses among bats in caves in Yunnan
b) There exists a reservoir of pathogenic SARS-like viruses among labs in Wuhan

Both reservoirs could be proximal origins of Covid-19
That's just logic
#DRASTIC documents the taking down of the WIV database associated w/ work discussed by Daszak above

The database was taken down 12 Sept 2019 & never put back online

Its characterization was changed 30 Dec 2019 when China announced 1st case

researchgate.net/publication/34…
Read 7 tweets
7 Jun
🧵
Last month my op-ed in @FT on outdated climate scenarios of the NGFS used by central banks around the world to assess future climate risk & climate policy risk

I argued that the NGFS baseline scenario projected an implausible future for CO2 emissions
ft.com/content/a82a7b…
Today the NGFS has published newly updated climate scenarios ... and guess what? I was correct and to their credit, they are moving their baseline scenarios in the right direction

This thread has a quick analysis of NGFS 2.0

Here is how the new NGFS baseline (red) looks compared to that which I critiqued as implausible (blue)

NGFS 2.0 has emissions growing to ~2080 and plateauing thereafter

This is a massive revision is just a short time frame

Good for NGFS
Read 11 tweets
6 Jun
👀I was blocked by an academic at the center of the Covid lab leak questions for asking the question below

People are free to block whomever they want, but publicly-funded researchers send an interesting message when blocking peers for asking reasonable questions
Apparently Andersen was also caught out today selectively deleting old Tweets (in addition to blocking me)

This is not the behavior of someone interested in transparency, I wonder what is up
I've never met Andersen and my interactions with him consist of two friendly Tweets

So I'm ... curious
Read 6 tweets
6 Jun
This is an exceptionally well done documentary on COVID-19 origins, with English subtitles

Sars-Cov2 anatomia di un complotto - PresaDiretta 29/03/2021 via @YouTube
This is the most remarkable new information I learned from it

Chinese government views the publication of scientific research on COVID-19 like “moves in a game of chess”
This just further supports the need to carefully analyze the research record — that in public and that behind the scenes — to better under stand these “moves in a game of chess”

Science has been enlisted in a propaganda “game” in plain sight

rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/scientific-l…
Read 8 tweets

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