“The scientists predicted a sharp rise in drought risk for EU agricultural imports overall. Only 7% were vulnerable over the last 25 years, but this grows to 37% in the next 25 years, even if carbon emissions are cut sharply.” (1/x) theguardian.com/environment/20…
“The analysis only considered drought; other climate impacts such as flooding and increased pests could worsen the situation.”
“The EU consumes a third of the world’s coffee, and half of this comes from Brazil and Vietnam, which are highly vulnerable to drought as global heating increases, though Colombia and Kenya become less vulnerable. Heatwaves and leaf rust fungus are also damaging coffee growing.”
“The EU produces only about 3% of the soybeans it uses, but 60% of soybean imports will come from places with a high vulnerability to drought by about 2050 in a medium emissions scenario.”
“The EU is 100%-dependent on cocoa imports for chocolate production, and drought vulnerability levels are projected to rise sharply in Indonesia and Malaysia, and to a lesser extent in the Ivory Coast and Ghana.”
“The study estimated 28% of cocoa imports will be from locations with high vulnerability in 2050.”
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