I spoke to @Weather_West about the very scary fire season to come. He told me he knows a dozen people who've had to outrun wildfire flames over the last five years—something he'd never heard of before, he said. He told me a lot more, too. A thread. (1/x) nymag.com/intelligencer/…
"You talk to firefighters and wildland firefighters who’ve been at this for 20, 30 years, or even families of people who’ve been firefighters for multiple generations. And they’re like, ‘Yeah, every fire we’re on now would have been the career-defining fire a generation ago.’"
"Places are just starting to recognize it. I think California is slightly ahead of the curve, in the sense that it’s coming to terms with the physical reality."
"It hasn’t addressed any of the real issues yet, but it’s acknowledging that these issues are real and are going to get worse. Other places haven’t even gotten to that point yet."
"I think we’re in this transition zone, and it’s going to be rocky. It’s going to be a rocky path. As you know, these transitions are not easy. They’re not linear.”
“Now I’m getting phone calls from people involved in litigation, people involved in policy, people involved in private and public rulemaking, people who are worried about their own homes. ‘What can I do fireproof my property? Do I need to leave California?’ It’s all changing.”
“Most Californians — their experience with wildfire was seeing it on the evening news, watching the live helicopter shots of the Chaparral burning above Los Angeles. Maybe seeing a smoke plume in the distance in the summer. That was the experience."
"And then all of a sudden, in the last decade or so, there’s been this dramatic shift. The majority of people in California have had pretty acute experiences with fire. At a minimum, that involves these smoke storms, these public-health crises, this extreme air-pollution."
"School is canceled. Work is canceled, unless you’re a farmworker and then they force you to work. The sky turns black. You can’t go outside. It’s scary. And that’s the best case scenario — that’s what essentially everybody has now experienced.”
“Colorado hadn’t had the awakening California had until last year, really. And then last year just blew every previous year completely out of the water"—the Californication of the rest of the American west.
"Like, Holy hell, what’s going on? I mean, one of the fires jumped the Continental Divide. In some places on the Divide, there’s two miles of just bare granite. Usually it’s considered the second-best firebreak in the West, the best one being the Pacific. And the fire jumped it."
"Some of these fires burn ten or 15 miles in a night. In Colorado, they were like, ‘Well, we can deal with this tomorrow — if we need to evacuate that town, we don’t need to do it in the middle of the night. We have time.’ They didn’t have time, it turned out." (x/x)

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More from @dwallacewells

15 Jun
“The scientists predicted a sharp rise in drought risk for EU agricultural imports overall. Only 7% were vulnerable over the last 25 years, but this grows to 37% in the next 25 years, even if carbon emissions are cut sharply.” (1/x) theguardian.com/environment/20…
“The analysis only considered drought; other climate impacts such as flooding and increased pests could worsen the situation.”
“The EU consumes a third of the world’s coffee, and half of this comes from Brazil and Vietnam, which are highly vulnerable to drought as global heating increases, though Colombia and Kenya become less vulnerable. Heatwaves and leaf rust fungus are also damaging coffee growing.”
Read 6 tweets
12 Jun
“In an eye-opening Medium post, the former assistant Secretary of State alleged Thursday that the lab-leak team had been conducting briefings without even subjecting their central claims to review by scientific experts or the intelligence community.” (1/x) nymag.com/intelligencer/…
“When he finally persuaded them to, even a panel of largely sympathetic experts found the evidence quite circumstantial and the aggressive lab-leak case built on it irresponsibly overstated.”
“A lab-leak origin did seem possible, but a committed team of State Department insiders hadn’t been able to assemble much more evidence for it than Yuri Deigin or Alina Chan or Nicholson Baker had.”
Read 5 tweets
30 May
“At no other point in history have agri-food systems faced more hazards such as megafires, extreme weather, unusually large desert locust swarms, and emerging biological threats, as during the past year of the COVID-19 pandemic.” news.un.org/en/story/2021/…
“According to FAO, disasters happen three times more often today, than in the 1970s and 1980s.”
“From 2008 to 2018, natural disasters have cost the agricultural sectors of developing economies more than $108 billion in damaged crop and livestock production.”
Read 4 tweets
30 May
“I think Chevron's benefited society in all kinds of ways, and I think it continues to do so," said Buffett. "We're going to need a lot of hydrocarbons for a long time, and we'll be very glad we've got them." (1/x) eenews.net/stories/106373…
"Believe me, Chevron is not an evil company," he added. "I have no compunction — in the least — about owning Chevron. And if we owned the entire business, I would not feel uncomfortable about being in that [industry]."
“Buffett was responding to a question about whether it was fair to view the oil and gas industry as similar to the tobacco business, which Berkshire swore off in the 1990s.”
Read 5 tweets
27 May
I spoke last week with @Enrique_Acevado of @CBSThisMorning about the climate context in which Miami is being pitched as a future tech hub. A few thoughts and a correction (1/x).
When imagining climate futures, it is easy to fall into an apocalyptic cast of mind, in which scenarios for 2050 or 2075 or 2100 seem gruesome enough to crowd out the possibility of human life, or human flourishing, under increasingly intense impacts of warming.
But life becomes more difficult, and governance more challenging, much sooner than anything like an apocalypse appears.
Read 14 tweets
22 May
“Like an avalanche, the demographic forces pushing toward more deaths than births seem to be expanding and accelerating. Though some countries continue to grow, especially in Africa, fertility rates are falling nearly everywhere else.” (1/x) nytimes.com/2021/05/22/wor…
“Demographers now predict that by the latter half of the century or possibly earlier, the global population will enter a sustained decline for the first time.”
“The 20th century presented a very different challenge. The global population saw its greatest increase in known history, from 1.6 billion in 1900 to 6 billion in 2000, as life spans lengthened and infant mortality declined.”
Read 5 tweets

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