@amyyqin and @ChuBailiang are expert and knowledgable China reporters. They seem in this piece out of their depth on the science...
2/ I don't have time right now (deadlines of my own) to fisk the problems in this piece fully...so I'll just point to two problems very quickly. They are clearly drawing on others' work to describe each of the alleged scenarios for a lab escape origin for the COVID pandemic...
3/ There account follows closely the arguments from Nicholas Wade, who lost his connection to @NYTScience because of his commitment to motivated reasoning on race and genetics, and the novelist/essayist Nicholas Wade. In repeating very similar claims without scrutiny...
4/The writers (and their editors) fall into one of the most annoying and damaging habits of herd journalism: amplifying a story because others are touting it, and not because they've subjected the details of the story itself to anything like rigorous tests...
4.5/ An aside: Even though I think Wade & Baker made claims well beyond the evidence, they've suffered the same fate of a lot of freelancers: seeing what they've written taken up in the Gray Lady without any hint that someone got their first. It was ever thus...
5/ Back to the point (I do have one. Or two.) By accepting the lab-escape framework as the premise of their story, @amyyqin and @ChuBailiang have fallen into the same trap their politics desk colleagues did in, say, the Clinton emails story...taking the bait on a loud story...
6/ that repeatedly holds up poorly as each aspect of it is examined carefully. Given the evidence that pushing the idea that China foisted this disaster on the world has clear political motives behind it and aims before it, some caution would be indicated...
7/ and yet, despite bitter experience (never fully acknowledged within @nytimes' newsroom) here we are again.
Alright...this is going on longer than I have time for. So just one more quick thing...
8/ When I show this piece to my students this fall, I'll ask them to see who is quoted, & how support for the two options–lab escape or natural origin– are described.
They'll find that only lab-escape proponents are quoted (except for the Chinese scientist under indictment)...
9/ And that in the abstract, the lab-escape partisans are treated as equivalent in expertise and especially number or weight to the those pursuing evidence of a zoonotic origin for the virus. Is that true?
No, gentle reader. It is not...
10/ Please note what I am NOT saying. I am not saying that an interview with Shi Zhengli isn't newsworthy.
It is. Obviously.
She is an important figure at the heart of the biggest story of our moment. But how that interview is framed and contextualized is vital...
11/ I'll stop here, w. 1 last thought. Qin & Buckley are good reporters. On the evidence of this one piece, tho, they're not good science journalists, and the old journalism shibboleth that all a strong reporter needs to cover any story is a notebook and pen just isn't true...
12/ By contrast, look at this interview, in the same paper, published on the same day, by two of @nytimes excellent science writers: nytimes.com/2021/06/14/sci…
From molecular biology to forensic epidemiology, there's hard technical stuff at the core of the COVID story...
13/ It's easy to get stuff wrong, and it's hard, I think, for those unused to the beat to realize how fast the science can change. The premises in Qin-Buckley piece are already being undermined by new (and some old) knowledge. And if you don't cover science regularly...
14/ It's easy to miss a lot of important stuff, as here.
/fin for now.
9.5/ To interject: Qin and Buckley also quote from the same small, loud group of lab-escape proponents as everyone else. It's always a mistake to rely on a single, potentially motivated-thinking claque in a story of this (or any, really) complexity.
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1: you're right that you and yours have a unique perspective on the GOP and the pathologies that led to our current misery. But unique doesn't mean complete, or the whole of the story...
@RadioFreeTom@JVLast@MJGerson 2/ A literary reference: you may be in the position of the hero of Abbott's classic mathematical tale, Flatland:* utterly immersed in an environment that the protagonist at once know intimately and could not fully perceive.
*Culturally I'd say that you more closely resemble the star of Norman Juster's eternally wonderful fairy tale, "The Dot and the Line," which concludes, as it must, "To the vector belong the spoils"...
2/ The basic questions remain. First, what was done at BSL2 vs. 3? The question is vital to the claim of a lab leak, as BSL2 facilities are not particularly secure. (Walk down the hall of a bio building at any R1 university and you'll likely see a BSL2 placard or two)...
3/ BSL3 labs, by contrast, are heavily defended. Not to the ultimate example of biomedicine's supermax BSL4 facilities but still...they handle some very scary viruses indeed. Extensive list of viruses (see other tables for other agents), pp 308-328: cdc.gov/labs/pdf/SF__1…
What I noticed: Richard Ebright, a biochemist focusing on bacterial processes, not viruses, was the sole quoted opponent; he's now talking lab leak... 1/
2/ China's reasons for seeking a BSL4 lab are pretty clear in the piece: China faces both domestic incidences of zoonotic disease, and, as quoted in the piece, is seeing a growing number of its citizens working in other settings that also see such disease...
3/ It's important for reporters & readers to grasp the basics of what BSL 4 means. The Wuhan lab is such a facility; that's the highest level of containment, reserved for studying deadly, readily transmitted, incurable bugs.
This is a reminder that Donald Trump spent over a year demonizing a "China" virus, along with other even more vicious terms.
The GOP leadership in Congress and the states let that stand--and in many cases amplified the hate....1/
2/ Last March I wrote in The Atlantic that such rhetoric has a long, fatal history. I was thinking of public health measures: historically labeling a disease as Chinese (or Jewish, or whatever) leads often to taking the wrong actions, or none at all, to respond to an outbreak...
3/ I didn't stop to consider the immediate threat of anti-Asian hate, though my historical example, early 1900s outbreaks in Honolulu and then San Francisco of the global bubonic plague pandemic, certainly provide plenty of examples of exactly that...
I'm here to say that the last four years diminished me. I've spent that time in a defensive crouch, fight or flight too much of the time, with COVID over the last year shrinking social connection; I'm less kind, I fear, and narrower in my thinking....1/
2/ I'd hoped, knowing that hope was foolish, that all that would discernibly fall away at noon yesterday. And, yeah, stuff changed; I could feel that change myself.
But four years of fear and anger and, lately, loneliness don't just evaporate...
3/ So the joy I want to feel in the real change, the real hope that I did see beginning to unfold yesterday ain't there yet, and isn't, ISTM, likely to blossom fully for a while.
I want to be happier for my wife and kid, dammit...and it ain't close to all there yet...
@curiouswavefn Rhodes, yes. Pinker, not for me; I find him conventionally contrarian and I am in the minority that does not find his style to my taste.
My list would a) change depending on what I'm thinking about and with the passing of years and b) would be eclectic...
@curiouswavefn For example. It would likely include Middlemarch, MacLean's A River Runs Through It, Heschel's The Sabbath and Seth's The Golden Gate, all of which had a real impact at the point when I read them. Shroedinger's What Is Life would be on the list at least some of the time...
@curiouswavefn Guy Davenport's The Geography of the Imagination and Kenner's The Pound Era make me think every time I dig into them. Lewis Thomas's Lives of a Cell opened my eyes to ways of seeing and writing; so did Didion's Slouching Towards Bethlehem. Pilgrim at Tinker Creek doesn't...