Two surging campaigns. Two ad buys. Two very different stories.

Kathryn Garcia spent more on one 30-second spot during "America's Got Talent" ($35,000) than Maya Wiley spent over three entire weeks on WNBC ($34,375).

Garcia had $160k in total WNBC buys over those three weeks.
Frontrunner Eric Adams is significantly outspending and out-spotting both of them, at least on WNBC, over the final three weeks of the race, with $210,325 in buys and 102 spots ran.
That's part of why it was so crucial for Wiley to get this $1 million in public matching funds. Now she can hit the airwaves hard, probably with her new ad highlighting the AOC endorsement.

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More from @JacobRubashkin

15 Jun
Washington's most anticipated drop in years just hit
Wikipedia is still lagging though, smh Image
End of an era tbh Image
Read 4 tweets
14 May
"The slant and condensed font..was as much a typographical necessity as anything. Mr. Starrett said they had lobbied for not spelling out her full name, but Ms. Ocasio-Cortez held firm. She wanted her whole name. They tilted and stacked it to make it fit."
nytimes.com/2021/05/14/us/…
"Ms. Ocasio-Cortez won in a landslide. Now Ms. Caruso-Cabrera is running for New York City comptroller — and has refreshed her logo to tilt upward, mirroring the woman she had run against.

“First time I’ve thought about that,” Ms. Caruso-Cabrera said"
A few more I'd throw in the mix...

Alabama Democrat Terri Sewell (Left, 2018; Right, 2020)
Read 5 tweets
2 May
And they're off in the #TX06 special election. First early returns (read: not predictive) coming in.
In 2020, Democrat Stephen Daniel won the early/absentee vote in Tarrant County 53-47%.

Early voting was more curtailed in this special than it was in the general election, though.

Just got first numbers in from Ellis County, which casts abour 25% of the district's votes and is very Republican. It's where Ellzey, Harrison, and Sanchez are all from, and Ellzey's team has been very bullish on their strength there.
Read 10 tweets
1 May
It's ELECTION DAY in Texas' 6th Congressional District! Here's what you need to know (thread):

-It's to replace Rep. Ron Wright (R), who died after being hospitalized with covid
-There are 23 candidiates (11R, 10D) all on one ballot
-If none gets a majority, it goes to a runoff
-Much of the district is in Tarrant County (Fort Worth/Arlington)
-It could be the FIRST competitive D vs. R special election of the Biden Era
-In 2012, Romney carried the district by 17%, but Trump won it by just 12% in 2016 and 3% in 2020
-Ted Cruz won it by just 3% in 2018
-It's a crowded contest!
-Top GOP contenders: Susan Wright, Rep. Wright's widow; state Rep. Jake Ellzey; former Trump HHS official Brian Harrison
-Top Dem contenders: 2018 nominee Jana Lynne Sanchez; 2020 state house nominee Lydia Bean; nonprofit executive Shawn Lassiter
Read 13 tweets
30 Apr
NEW on Montana's 2nd House seat & Democrats: 2020 gov candidate Whitney Williams—whose father represented MT-1/AL for 9 terms—tells me she's considering a 2022 run.
+
Several sources familiar w/ 2020 Senate candidate Cora Neumann's thinking say she's seriously considering it too. ImageImage
Here's what Williams, whose father Pat Williams served in Congress from 1979 to 1997, had to say: Image
We don't know what Montana's two districts will look like, but historically the state was split East-West (1980s map below). The Western half of the state (Missoula, Bozeman, Helena etc.) is far more hospitable to Democrats.

The lines will be drawn by independent commission. Image
Read 4 tweets
21 Feb
WI-Sen candidate discussing how, other than a 2008 trip to Oshkosh to campaign for Hillary in the Democratic primary, his first time in the state was when he and his dad traveled to Milwaukee to discuss buying the Bucks from Sen. Herb Kohl (the sale was in 2014).
The last decade has not been kind to the Democratic bench in Wisconsin. No new members of Congress since 2012. Gov. Evers, Lt. Gov. Barnes, AG Kaul all just halfway through their first terms and up for re-election in 2022. A legislative caucus mired deep in the minority.
Lasry’s company in the primary includes Outagamie County Exec. Tom Nelson, a former Bernie Sanders delegate/state assembly majority leader who heads a Trump +10 county anchored by Appleton. Subscribers met him in last week’s issue. insideelections.com/news/article/c…
Read 4 tweets

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