because America is a dysfunctional vampire-state that destructively consumes human capital.
We've been limping along on prewar central European fumes for decades. At some point, we run out.
People act there there is some infinite pile of high-quality human capital overseas, and we can just plunder it indefinitely. It doesn't work like that. At some point, you have to get good at generating human capital.
America has never been good at this.
Human capital generation looks like free independent productive subcultures sharpening themselves over generations.
Instead, we aggressively converge everything into the monoculture, shuffle off the high-quality people into Harvard, and apply their efforts to nonsense. Few kids.
In America, "Education" is mostly just brain-draining success-cases out of their formative environments, indoctrinating them with fashionable ideology, and then giving them access to the spoils of oligarchy.
Fail.
To sustainably grow your human capital base, you have to be much more concerned with protecting and investing in the formative environments that work than extracting their products for fleeting use.
America is old-growth clearcut logging applied to human capital.
We can do better, but our entire current paradigm is systematically incapable of sustainability. It's going to fail. Time to think beyond it.
We can build something that invests in fundamentally productive beauty rather than narrowly "productive" abuse.
Maybe need to shut down public discourse, unified education system, and free-flowing labor migration. Re-silo so that there are protected corners where things can grow. Industrial-scale mass culture is inherently sterile. Refocus on bio-cultural lineage as human capital formation
Three most important questions in human capital:
Who are your parents? Are people having kids?
Who was your master/mentor? Are masters training proteges?
What social scenes did you participate in in your formative years? Do we have healthy productive subcultures?
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Imagine the pyramids when new. Polished megalithic temples far beyond anything's else. Obviously built by the gods, who rule directly from the big house and have magical powers to make the water flow and the sun shine.
The cosmological implications would be all-encompassing.
We no longer see things the way people did in the bronze age, but imagine actually living then and being faced with what they were faced with. You would have almost no choice but to see things as they did.
The priesthoods probably had secret technology far beyond that mundanely available, and marketed as the power of the gods rather than as mundane techne. For example: it's possible they had electric batteries, intricate machines, could predict eclipses, floods.
Our recent article from @SamoBurja proposed that the industrial revolution was socially incomplete, but destroyed it's pre-industrial foundations, so post-industrial society isn't going to be able to just go back automatically. This poses a big problem of development strategy.
The obvious implication is that we have to complete the industrial revolution by extending or supplementing the industrial logic to a full stack of social technologies, especially in the currently failing family life patterns and human capital creation areas.
What does that completion actually look like? What if it does look a bit like going back? Deliberately rebuild the pre-industrial foundations alongside industry. Not something wholly new, but a novel stabilization of industrial alongside pre-industrial social tech.
My wife made me some prototype trousers. Relaxed fit in seat and legs, high waist that actually fits, tapered down to compact ankle, nice deep pockets. Extremely luxurious. You can't buy this.
The era of low-"waist" slim fit trousers that still get caught in your bike chain and assume you have a beer gut and no muscle must be brought to a close by any means necessary.
Ever done a full squat with proper form and normal muscle development in a pair of luxury trousers? Now you can.
What shocks me is how few people there are doing or even checking fundamental work. Half of modern manufacturing management comes from two guys trained in imperial japan. Wings are designed with assumptions cooked up by Prandtl, that even he later realized were wrong.
Works like this everywhere. Science, philosophy, life. Someone comes up with an idea, usually just sitting down and thinking about it for a bit drawing on their experience, and then everyone else takes it as gospel for the next 100 years.
We don't even independently reproduce these core results, even when they are just calculations or arguments. We build billion dollar empires on flawed assumptions that could be checked for thousands of dollars. It's hard to tell what to check, but surely we should check more.
Global trade logistics means local economic sovereignty can be easily dismantled.
Global nuclear and naval strike capability means military sovereignty can be easily dismantled.
Global internet/communication means local moral sovereignty can be easily dismantled.
Prepare yourself for global government. It's inevitable as far as I can tell. Some positives and some negatives.
Among the negatives: we have no theory, experience, or institutions for global government. It might have intractable scale/abstraction problems. It removes all natural constraints on insanity and lazyness.
Each layer of consciousness shuffles information about in pursuit of some purposeful drive, within some logic. Each layer builds on and implements the teleology of the previous layer, and does its thing faster and better.
For the primitive intelligence of matter, the purposeful drive is perhaps time and thermodynamic progression. The logic is raw physical interaction. Perhaps this implements the will of God.
For genetic evolution of life, the drive is autocatalytic growth into ever more successful forms, within the logic of natural selection. Life exploits thermodynamic gradients, accelerating the primitive drive of matter and time.