Thread by @FairVoteAction

New #NYC poll results from @FairVote and @CitizenData show Adams with a strong lead, and Wiley & Garcia neck-and-neck for the other spot in the final-round of the #RankedChoiceVoting tally (1/9)

Check out this interactive feature where you can run the RCV tally yourself and experiment with different elimination orders to see how the votes transfer when different candidates get eliminated. (2/9) fairvote.org/nyc_poll_mayor…

Voter education is working! 77% of respondents are familiar with RCV and 75% find it easy! It could even increase turnout. 37% say RCV makes them more likely to vote, compared to only 10% saying less likely to vote. Biggest increase among Hispanic respondents. (3/9)

In addition to leading in the initial RCV tally, Eric Adams is a strong favorite against every other candidate head-to-head. Adams leads head-to-head vs Wiley 56%-44%, and leads head-to-head vs Garcia 54%-46%. Here you go, @Nate_Cohn! (4/9) bit.ly/35DQRph

FairVote also ran a simulation based on poll responses to identify other possible outcomes. Adams faces Wiley in the final round 59% of the time, & Adams faces Garcia 41% of the time. No scenarios in the 10K simulations showing a winner other than Adams, Wiley, or Garcia (5/9)

This poll was fielded prior to the Garcia-Yang collaboration this weekend. In the poll, Yang respondents preferred Adams as a 2nd choice. Will the new Garcia-Yang alliance shift enough Yang voters towards Garcia to get Garcia into the final round instead of Wiley? (6/9)

Adams was ranked by 62% of respondents, and he’s the only candidate ranked in the top 3 by a majority. Wiley, Garcia, & Stringer are also ranked by a majority, but only when we also consider all 5 rankings. (7/9) fairvote.org/nyc_poll2021_c…

Even when the candidate who leads in the first round wins the final round, as Adams does here, RCV still matters. It allows that candidate to demonstrate they have broad support from voters. It incentivizes candidates to reach beyond their base and campaign more positively (8/9)

Want more? Report on the findings is here (bit.ly/3d0pwS1) and FairVote’s interactive RCV tally and related analysis is here (fairvote.org/nyc_poll_mayor…) (9/9)

Here's another way to visualize the #RankedChoiceVoting simulation, showing every head-to-head matchup. This chart is read across rows. For example, the first row with data can be read as, "Adams wins 56% of match-ups against Wiley, 54% against Garcia," and so on.