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22 Jun, 30 tweets, 4 min read
Reality check for VW in China after sluggish start for electric car series - Reuters
reuters.com/business/autos…
Volkswagen AG's ID series - the backbone of its electric vehicle ambitions - is off to what even company sources call a worryingly slow start in China

Sales in May of two ID.4 electric SUV models, launched only two months earlier, came to a mere 1,213 combined
And that was about 200 fewer than in April, according to auto consultancy LMC

The sales fall far short of initial hopes and what some other automakers have achieved with early sales of flagship EV offerings in the world's largest auto market
Volkswagen's venture with state-owned SAIC Motor, which makes the slightly bigger ID.4 X model, had been targeting sales of 50,000-60,000 vehicles this year, according to comments by Yang Siyao, a company marketing executive, in Chinese media in March
A separate venture between the world's No. 2 automaker and FAW which makes the ID.4 CROZZ had similar targets, one of the sources said

Those goals now seem unrealistic

Furthermore, both ventures' EV plants are running below 10% of production capacity
The sources blamed the less than auspicious debut on a lack of smart tech features, fierce competition, a late launch compared to Tesla Inc and Chinese EV makers as well as hiccups with its new EV sales network
"Sales so far are behind our earlier expectations. We've had to dial down production plans for the ID.4 again and again," said one person, who like the other sources was not authorised to speak to media and declined to be identified
"This is not healthy, but at the moment customers are not coming to buy them"

In another sign of sales stress, SAIC-Volkswagen has suggested staff members buy ID.4s, according to an internal memo seen by Reuters
By comparison, Tesla sold 6,612 of its Model Y in China in the first two months after its launch
The ID.4's weak sales performance in China also contrasts sharply with Europe, where it is a top-selling electric car with 12,101 sold in the first two months post-launch, according to JATO Dynamics
Volkswagen said in a statement to Reuters that China ID. sales were in line with expectations as it builds up production and a new sales network, adding it does not view Tesla's Model Y as a direct competitor for the ID.4, which occupies a different vehicle type segment
It also said it was confident the two ID.4 models would see sales growth and noted plans for three more ID models to be launched this year in China
NOT SMART ENOUGH ?

More than any other country, China has aggressively pushed for the adoption of electric cars, introducing sales quotas as it seeks to cut pollution, encourage the growth of its auto industry and reduce reliance on oil
Volkswagen, the country's biggest foreign automaker with 3.85 million vehicles - mostly gasoline - sold last year, has more riding on successfully transitioning its customers to EVs than the average automaker
It has also declared its intention to surpass Tesla as the world's top EV maker by 2025, ensuring that China will become a crucial battleground

But getting customers on board is another matter altogether
At a shopping mall in western Shanghai last week, David Qian, a 50-year-old engineer, was looking for an EV for his wife but found he was not drawn to the ID.4 X, which starts at just under 200,000 yuan ($31,000)
"The car looks okay but I know it is not smart enough," said Qian, who owns a Tesla Model 3 and enthuses about its assisted driving technology
Unlike Tesla models and a growing number of vehicles from Chinese electric car makers like Xpeng and Nio Inc, the ID.4 cannot park itself and does not offer advanced self-driving features or advanced voice-controlled functions
"Chinese consumers value the sense of technology and science fiction of electric vehicles, and brand loyalty has always been low which is completely different from the European market," said Yale Zhang, head of Shanghai-based consultancy AutoForesight
And unlike Europe, electric car competition is already cutthroat in China, where a plethora of manufacturers compete and the top-selling Wuling Hong Guang MINI EV, an entry-level sedan made by a General Motors joint venture, costs just 28,800 yuan ($4,450)
At the shopping mall where Qian checked out the ID.4, the SAIC-Volkswagen showroom is right next door to a store run by Xpeng and close to rival stores belonging to EV startup Neta and Huawei, which sells an electric car in partnership with automaker Seres
A store for Chinese EV maker Aiways is also set to open nearby soon

"Compared with Europe, this car has too much competition and they are all new models with a strong tech sense," said Zhang
Volkswagen said in its statement it would be offering new software feature updates in the future and with newer models
TEETHING PROBLEMS

Volkswagen has been faster than some other foreign automakers in China with EV development such as Toyota and Ford, but sources say ideally it should have moved quicker
Its joint ventures' EV plants, which can each build 300,000 vehicles per year, were ready for mass production in early 2020 but time taken to develop the vehicles in Germany meant the new ID.4s did not get regulatory approval until July, they added
At the distribution level, Volkswagen is grappling with the introduction of new sales strategies popular with pure-play EV competitors
Rather than relying predominantly on its existing roughly 2,000-dealer network, it is shifting to an agency sales model for EVs where showrooms are typically located in shopping malls, prices are fixed and there is no inventory for showroom operators
The lack of inventory, however, has meant that staff who are used to the pressure inventory brings have less financial motivation to sell product, people familiar with the matter said
Volkswagen said in its statement that production at its EV plants was running on schedule and that internal feedback on its new agency model is very positive
It had 12 ID. stores in China as of end-May and plans to have more than 100 stores by the end of this year

It is also boosting its number of ID. sales agents to more than 1,000 by the year's end from 825 currently

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More from @jpr007

23 Jun
The ‘Osborne Effect’ Confronts Automakers With Potential Obsolescence

The hoopla they are making about their plans is exceptionally risky

Every time the automakers signal their intentions, they increase the potential of the “Osborne Effect"
themobilist.medium.com/in-a-rising-th…
The “Osborne Effect" is a commercially deadly phenomenon that could leave them with billions of dollars in losses

In an Osborne outbreak, consumers are blasted with the advance announcement of a mind-blowing coming breakthrough in a product like a popular electronic device
The new version is due in six months, a year, or perhaps a bit longer

The consumer, now aware that what’s on the store shelf is going to be outdated, waits to buy the new version

The one on the shelf keeps sitting there, unbought, losing the company a lot of money
Read 15 tweets
22 Jun
As a World First, Nouveau Monde Graphite Has Signed a Collaboration Agreement with Caterpillar for the Development of a Zero-Emission Solution for the Matawinie Mine
globenewswire.com/news-release/2…
Nouveau Monde and Caterpillar have signed an agreement pursuant to which Caterpillar will develop, test and produce Cat® “zero-emission machines” for the Matawinie graphite mining project in Saint-Michel-des-Saints, Québec, Canada
The collaboration between the companies focuses on Nouveau Monde’s goal to fully power the site with zero carbon footprint renewable energy

Nouveau Monde and Caterpillar are committed to supporting the mining industry’s move toward a more sustainable future
Read 4 tweets
22 Jun
In China, the US battery manufacturer Farasis is establishing a joint venture with the Geely automotive group for the research and development as well as production and sale of lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles and other applications
electrive.com/2021/05/23/far…
Farasis is already a partner with Daimler and currently has two factories in China as well as further factory planned in Germany

With this joint venture, Geely Technologies and its subsidiaries and Geely Commercial Vehicle Group aim to meet at least 80% of their battery needs
According to the Chinese news site Gasgoo, the agreement stipulates that the new joint venture will involve a registered capital of 1 billion yuan ($155.577 million or approximately 127 million euros), 65% of which are subscribed by Geely Technology
Read 18 tweets
22 Jun
DAIMLER AND FARASIS

€400 million investment on a valuation of €13.3 billion

But "the first battery cell samples from Mercedes supplier Farasis appear to be unusable. Even an end to the cooperation is apparently possible"

DATELINE : 24 February 2021
auto-motor-und-sport.de/tech-zukunft/a…
The introduction of electric cars enjoys top priority at Mercedes - Daimler has made this clear on the occasion of a demand due to the current semiconductor shortage
The battery is one of the most important components of an electric car - many manufacturers want to build it themselves

But when it comes to manufacturing the cells contained in the batteries, most carmakers prefer to let suppliers have a go
Read 23 tweets
22 Jun
AUTOMOBILES - A CAPITAL-INTENSIVE BUSINESS ?

People like to say that the Automotive Industry is a "Capital Intensive" business

But is that in fact the case ?

Let us examine this question using the VW Group's Automotive Business

Its Balance Sheet has €254.1 billion of Assets
1. VW's Automotive Sales Revenues were €184.247 billion in 2020, excluding the Financial Services business

2. To support this, VW had Automotive PP&E in the amount of €62.807 billion, or 34.1% of Automotive Sales
For comparison :

- Tesla has PP&E at 40.4% of Sales across its entire business

- Google has PP&E at 46.4% of Sales across its entire business

As a service business, Google is more capital-intensive by this PP&E measure
Read 14 tweets
21 Jun
There’s been a new milestone in the extraordinary rise of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd., the decade-old Chinese firm that’s now the world’s biggest supplier of electric car batteries and a crucial partner to automakers including Tesla
bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
CATL has become a key force in the global auto sector by dominating EV battery production

The firm accounted for around a third of all sales in the first four months of 2021, ahead of rivals like LG Energy and Panasonic, according to data provider SNE Research
The producer’s Shenzhen-listed shares closed at a record Monday, capping a more than 1,150% gain since their listing three years ago and giving the company a market capitalization of 1.05 trillion yuan ($160 billion), just a shade more than the value of Volkswagen
Read 15 tweets

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