The vast outrage over the "unfairness" of a transgender athlete competing at the Olympics makes very little sense when you consider that;

a) she is ranked 4th
b) she is the first trans athlete to compete at the Olympics EVER
"But she has a biologically male body!"

Try defining a "male" body in a way that doesn't exclude a large proportion of elite female athletes. The IOC has been trying to do this for decades and it's VERY HARD
The fact is that most elite athletes have biological advantages (how many 5'2" people play basketball professionally?). It's up to us to decide what is "unfair"
Sadly, the default assumption many people have is that men are always better than women at sports, that transgender people are lying in some way, and thus it is "unfair" to allow them to compete

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More from @GidMK

22 Jun
This new systematic review/meta-analysis of ivermectin for COVID-19 has come out, and everyone's asking me to review it

My take - decent study, but the devil's in the details 1/n
2/n The study is here. Because it's about ivermectin, and people are super weird about that specific drug, everyone's going wild with an Altmetric of 8,641 in the week since publication journals.lww.com/americantherap…
3/n I should say that my position on ivermectin previously has been that there is some interesting evidence but that most of the studies are low quality so it's hard to say much (even the one or two high-quality studies aren't very conclusive)
Read 30 tweets
21 Jun
Occasionally people ask how to argue well on the internet, so I'd like to introduce you to the two simple rules for productive internet conversations:

1. Always reply calmly
2. Never assume ill intent
Number 1 is first because it is the most important - DO NOT REPLY ANGRILY

Take a moment

Take a breath

THEN reply
If this takes an hour, a day, a week - so be it. When you reply angrily, you derail the conversation and it becomes a waste of time
Read 10 tweets
21 Jun
A useful point to show why vaccines are so important - even though this is WELL below herd immunity rates, the vaccines already done so far in NSW have probably slowed down this outbreak significantly
Let's think this through - @NSWHealth reports 1.9m vaccine doses, which based on previous figures is probably ~1.5m first and .4m second doses

With a population of 8.2m, that's about 20% of the population vaccinated at least once
Let's assume that all of this was Astrazeneca, with an estimated vaccine efficacy (protection against infection) of somewhere around 70%, and think about some different scenarios of the reproductive number (R)
Read 11 tweets
17 Jun
Another day, another viral article being cited as proof that ivermectin can cure COVID-19

The newest example is even more depressing than previous ones somehow 1/n
2/n The paper is here, and mostly it's just a perspective piece in a minor Nature offshoot (Journal of Antibiotics, IF 2.4) written by two members of what I can only describe as a pro-ivermectin advocacy group
nature.com/articles/s4142…
3/n The advocacy group is called Front Line COVID Critical Care Alliance, and has a very flashy website that basically advocates for ivermectin (and vitamin D, melatonin, and mouthwash) as the cure of all COVID ills
Read 15 tweets
15 Jun
Was reminded of this old blog recently - scare stories about red meat and cancer are still all too common

gidmk.medium.com/red-meat-isnt-…
There's a reasonable basis for arguing that at a population level there might be some reduction in cancer rates if people stopped eating PROCESSED red meat
Less strong is the argument that eating non-processed red meat might impact cancer rates - even if there is some reduction, it would be pretty modest at a population level
Read 4 tweets
14 Jun
The trick is to be honest about the probabilities and what we know

So, for example, if you are worried about freedom, don't misuse vaccine reporting systems to make up fake concerns. Just talk about the issue you care about
The problem is that most of the time the issues that people care about are not really interesting or realistic. "Oh no they might force kids to get a vaccine" is a tired, tedious line
Instead, people who are against COVID-19 vaccines for whatever reason tend to go with arguments that are a lot less accurate but a lot more emotive, which is where the issues with the discussion come in
Read 4 tweets

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