“Last month, the IEA said no new coal mines were ‘required’ in its pathway to 1.5C. UNEP last year said coal output should fall 11% each year to 2030. But proposals to build hundreds of new coal mines could raise global output of the fossil fuel by 30%.” carbonbrief.org/guest-post-hun…
“We found more than 400 new mine proposals that could produce 2,277m tonnes per annum, of which 614Mtpa are already being developed. The plans are heavily concentrated in a few coal-rich regions across China, Australia, India and Russia.”
“If they all went ahead, the new mines could supply as much as 30% of existing global coal production – or the combined output of India, Australia, Indonesia and the US.”
“Plans to massively boost coal production are, therefore, incompatible with the 1.5C limit. Alternatively, if global climate goals are to be met, the estimated $91bn of investment in the proposed mines could be left stranded.”

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More from @dwallacewells

17 Jun
"Managed retreat. Facilitated migration. Climate-related displacement." So begins a special issue of Science devoted to "climate-induced relocation." A thread of its contents, findings, and assertions... (1/x) science.sciencemag.org/content/372/65…
"Globally, sea level rise alone could place 340 million people on land projected to be below annual flood levels by 2050."
"The need for relocation will increase because of such risks, the lack of funding for protection and accommodation strategies, and/or the reality that sea walls and other measures will eventually be ineffective."
Read 42 tweets
16 Jun
I spoke to @Weather_West about the very scary fire season to come. He told me he knows a dozen people who've had to outrun wildfire flames over the last five years—something he'd never heard of before, he said. He told me a lot more, too. A thread. (1/x) nymag.com/intelligencer/…
"You talk to firefighters and wildland firefighters who’ve been at this for 20, 30 years, or even families of people who’ve been firefighters for multiple generations. And they’re like, ‘Yeah, every fire we’re on now would have been the career-defining fire a generation ago.’"
"Places are just starting to recognize it. I think California is slightly ahead of the curve, in the sense that it’s coming to terms with the physical reality."
Read 12 tweets
15 Jun
“The scientists predicted a sharp rise in drought risk for EU agricultural imports overall. Only 7% were vulnerable over the last 25 years, but this grows to 37% in the next 25 years, even if carbon emissions are cut sharply.” (1/x) theguardian.com/environment/20…
“The analysis only considered drought; other climate impacts such as flooding and increased pests could worsen the situation.”
“The EU consumes a third of the world’s coffee, and half of this comes from Brazil and Vietnam, which are highly vulnerable to drought as global heating increases, though Colombia and Kenya become less vulnerable. Heatwaves and leaf rust fungus are also damaging coffee growing.”
Read 6 tweets
12 Jun
“In an eye-opening Medium post, the former assistant Secretary of State alleged Thursday that the lab-leak team had been conducting briefings without even subjecting their central claims to review by scientific experts or the intelligence community.” (1/x) nymag.com/intelligencer/…
“When he finally persuaded them to, even a panel of largely sympathetic experts found the evidence quite circumstantial and the aggressive lab-leak case built on it irresponsibly overstated.”
“A lab-leak origin did seem possible, but a committed team of State Department insiders hadn’t been able to assemble much more evidence for it than Yuri Deigin or Alina Chan or Nicholson Baker had.”
Read 5 tweets
30 May
“At no other point in history have agri-food systems faced more hazards such as megafires, extreme weather, unusually large desert locust swarms, and emerging biological threats, as during the past year of the COVID-19 pandemic.” news.un.org/en/story/2021/…
“According to FAO, disasters happen three times more often today, than in the 1970s and 1980s.”
“From 2008 to 2018, natural disasters have cost the agricultural sectors of developing economies more than $108 billion in damaged crop and livestock production.”
Read 4 tweets
30 May
“I think Chevron's benefited society in all kinds of ways, and I think it continues to do so," said Buffett. "We're going to need a lot of hydrocarbons for a long time, and we'll be very glad we've got them." (1/x) eenews.net/stories/106373…
"Believe me, Chevron is not an evil company," he added. "I have no compunction — in the least — about owning Chevron. And if we owned the entire business, I would not feel uncomfortable about being in that [industry]."
“Buffett was responding to a question about whether it was fair to view the oil and gas industry as similar to the tobacco business, which Berkshire swore off in the 1990s.”
Read 5 tweets

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