NEWS: The dirty little secret of online fund-raising has long been that deceptive tactics grab cash from unsuspecting seniors.

My dive into how campaigns ensnare older people — including how more $$$ was refunded to 80 year+ donors than those under 50.
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
This is the story of William W. Vaughan Jr.

But also the story of countless other grandparents and aging parents... nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
The reporting for this story began when reporting earlier this year on the Trump operation's prechecked recurring donation box scheme (nytimes.com/2021/04/03/us/…) — when almost everyone I interviewed who felt tricked was elderly.

I wondered why…
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
Age, it turns out, is not on FEC filings. But occupation is.

WinRed had 56% of its in contributions come from people who marked "retired."

But I wanted more granular data so @Political_Data helped match refunds for ActBlue and WinRed to CA voter file...
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
The findings:

"More than four times as much money was refunded to donors who are 70 and older than to adults under the age of 50 — for both Republicans and Democrats."

Also: The older the refunded donor, the larger the amount refund tended to be.
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
It's important to note that the age distribution was basically the same for Ds and Rs — but the percentage of online refunds for Republicans was more than triple that of Democrats nationally.
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
One thing I heard from brain scientists and digital operatives alike was that deceptive digital tactics were likelier to trick older people — and everyone knows it.
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
“You leverage data, technology, emotion and digital tactics to take advantage of a population,” said Cyrus Krohn, who oversaw digital strategy at the RNC more than a decade ago and now regrets some of his earlier work. “It’s like a kid in a candy store.”
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
David Laibson, a behavioral economics professor at Harvard who has studied the impact of aging on financial decision-making, said 1/2 of people in their 80s+ have dementia or some cognitive impairment short of dementia.
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
One digital trick I learned about from family of a recurring donation victim — who is young but with a developmental disability — is hiding the unsubscribe link in plain text.

Here is the current RNC disclaimer. Every other link blue/bold/underlined.
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
Some of the interesting findings related to the Democratic digital firm Mothership.

When I looked at which committees had the oldest average age for refunded donors, all top 10 were Mothership clients.

*This is above a threshold of $75k in refunds
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
The avg. age for refunded contributions ranged from 74-78 for those committees. Groups included:

Stop Republicans
End Citizens United
Progressive Turnout Project
Nat'l Dem Training Cmte

Also: HMP, CBC PAC, CHC Bold PAC, Equality PAC, Elect Dem Women PAC
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
For comparison, the average age for refunded contributions for Biden was ~64.

Some others for reference: Bernie Sanders (~54.5), Warren (57.5), DNC (70.4)

The youngest refunder donors were from Andrew Yang's 2020 run (47.9).
nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…
Thank you for reading this thread — please read the full story for more!

And if you or your family or friends want to connect on your experiences online, my email is listed in my bio nytimes.com/2021/06/26/us/…

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More from @ShaneGoldmacher

14 May
NEW: The iconography of @AOC — my dive into how Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s logo has formed a new graphical language for progressivism.

From KY to VA to NYC and even France, imitators abound.
nytimes.com/2021/05/14/us/…
Political designers say her logo and poster's vibe has come to convey insurgency, youth, diversity, liberalism — and winning.

Unconscious branding experts say campaigns are “borrowing from all the work she has done” and triggering positive associations.
nytimes.com/2021/05/14/us/…
As @Amoyforcouncil put it: “Being a young woman of color with her bright purple and the slant and her full name — she set a bar to say we don’t have to do things the same way.”
nytimes.com/2021/05/14/us/…
Read 14 tweets
13 May
Zoom! And we're off! nytimes.com/live/2021/05/1…
I will start threading debate tweets here...

The opening statements crystallized one of the big choices for voters: An outsider or an insider.

First q is on crime, which is rising in city as Democrat Party reconsiders the role of police.
Shaun Donovan's kitchen looks amazing
Read 39 tweets
6 May
NEW: The FEC has formally dropped its case looking to Trump payments to Stephanie Clifford via Michael Cohen in 2016.

The FEC Office of General Counsel had recommended further investigation.

The decision was disclosed this afternoon after a delay, per FEC policy

Thread...
First, yes the FEC is slow. Cohen already went to prison.

Here is OGC report from 12/20 finding "reason to believe" further investigation warranted fec.gov/files/legal/mu…
Here is the response letter from two of the Democratic commissioners:

"The Commission therefore did not have enough votes to pursue well-grounded charges..."
Read 5 tweets
6 May
NEWS: The FEC has unanimously voted to ask Congress to ban prechecked recurring donation boxes, a month after a NYT investigation showed how the Trump operation's use of the tactic caused a flood of refunds and fraud complaints.

It was a 6-0 vote.
nytimes.com/2021/05/06/us/…
The FEC is often stymied by partisanship — it is evenly split 3-3 in terms of partisan alignment — but the package of legislative recommendations passed without dissent on Thursday.
nytimes.com/2021/05/06/us/…
Here is the legislative recommendation to Congress on recurring donations adopted by the FEC on Thursday, which reveals that FEC staff “regularly contacted” by donors who “do not recall authorizing recurring contributions.” nytimes.com/2021/05/06/us/…
Read 5 tweets
26 Apr
A Census official just said that if NY had counted **89 more people** it would not have lost a congressional seat!
NEW: New York appears to be the closest any state has come — and fallen short — of getting an extra seat since at least 1940.

Next closest: Oregon in 1970 was 231 people short nytimes.com/2021/04/26/nyr…
Read 4 tweets
3 Apr
NEWS: The Trump operation refunded $122 million — more than 10% — of what it raised online in 2020.

Prechecked boxes withdrew $$$ weekly from unwitting supporters. Scores were ensnared. Fraud claims to banks soared.

My investigation into what happened:
nytimes.com/2021/04/03/us/…
The Trump operation issued dramatically more online refunds than Biden (campaigns + parties + joint committees) in 2020:

Trump: $122 million and 10.7% of WinRed $$$
vs.
Biden: $20.7 million and 2.2% of ActBlue $$$

Answering why begins with yellow boxes…
nytimes.com/2021/04/03/us/…
Trump made widespread use of prechecked boxes to automatically enroll donors into repeating donations — unless they opted out.

In Sept., as Trump faced a cash crunch, those recurring donations began withdrawing *every week*.

Many donated unknowingly:
nytimes.com/2021/04/03/us/…
Read 16 tweets

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