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Sahil Kapoor Profile picture
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30 Jun, 5 tweets, 1 min read
Key takeaways from today's call-

Traditional Energy

1. Supply side constraints are significant. Oil prices likely to persist closer to $60-$70. A happy price for Oil stocks.
2. Capital discipline is much higher than before.
3. Room for valuations to catchup wrt Oil prices
4. Valuations are lower than benchmark while asset quality and profitability is better or improving.

5. Longer runway for the cycle to play out.

6. Focus on integrated Oil Companies and E&P for playing through the next few years.
Sustainable energy
1. A structural theme with some cyclical elements.

2. Clean energy + Transportation + Infra efficiency are scale-able plays.

3. ESG framework will ensure capital availability in growth phase.

4. Earnings growth likely to persist.
5. Renewable energy tech likely to be a key driver as the world de-carbonizes.

More details -

dsp.dzvdesk.com/IntFoFs.aspx?M…
Presentation link- bit.ly/DSPWorldEnergy…

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More from @SahilKapoor

Sahil Kapoor Profile picture
2 Jul
A mega Thread🧵 on Inflation - Why the bogey of rapid and high rates of inflation may be a false alarm.

A widespread debate has raged on inflation for a while now. Many are concerned about a rise in inflation and believe that this will persist and lead to central bank action.
Expect inflation surge to subsidy by the next two to three months and subsequently the base effects will turn against higher rate of inflation. The drivers of inflation or more appropriate ‘disinflation’ from pre-covid era remain firmly entrenched and are likely to persist.
I don’t see inflation as a threat for the near future and see this as a repetition of the previous post-recession recoveries. A more normalized level of inflation driven by COVID induced resets is the most likely scenario and not the feared high rates of inflation.
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27 May
A Thread🧵 on RBI's Annual Report

The Reserve Bank of India released its annual report for 9 months ending March’21. The central bank, in its continued focus on growth, is focused on growing economic uncertainty and says there are “downside risks” to the economy.
RBI has been proactively focusing on growth with a series of steps ranging from maintaining liquidity surplus in the interbank market, cutting interest rates in FY21, moratorium on repayments, loan restricting for impacted sectors and LTRO/TLTROs for easing financial conditions.
In its assessment of the post pandemic economy - its “conduct of monetary policy in FY22 would be guided by evolving macroeconomic conditions, with a bias to remain supportive of growth till it gains traction on a durable basis while ensuring inflation remains within the target.”
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Sahil Kapoor Profile picture
26 Dec 20
A thread-
A Precious Year Ahead - Gold likely to jump to $2600 to $2800 / INR 70,000 to 75,000 in next few years.

🔸Global financial debasement, bigger than any other in history, bigger than GFC

🔸A recurring theme of currency debasement once every 50 years

@ankitapathak_
Govt credit has risen at a much faster pace than anytime in recent history. That's why you see such large doses of QE is needed to push demand just a big. While households and corp are deleveraging. This is a massive debasement, positive for Gold Bull Run.
Gold priced in the growth of fiat currencies indocates Gold is cheaper, way cheaper than it should be. Gold prices adjusted for inflation has been higher in previous Bull Runs.
Read 7 tweets
Sahil Kapoor Profile picture
25 Dec 20
The irony of 2020 is that you had so much time away from your schedule but no solitude. 🤔
Making goals and achieving them, then moving on to a higher goal may be one of the best ways to live but it's just that. One of the ways. Unplanned, goal-less and impulsive lifestyle may sound destructive but may not be. It is a caricature of the disciplined life.
The best decisions in life are often impulsive, pushed and sometimes forced. Sometimes gut instinct serves us better by training or by luck.
Read 12 tweets
Sahil Kapoor Profile picture
28 Sep 20
A thread
India Market Strategy – Be Agile, Be Ready

Quick recovery, tapering - High freq indicators are becoming patchy. Recovering is slow. The initial V shape recovery due to pent up demand is over.

India's quick recovery was shallower than peers and is slowing already.
Faltering Growth, A Test for Policy Support - The nascent reflationary cycle led by supply side bottlenecks and a US Dollar depreciation led resurgence in commodity prices is at crossroads. The longer COVID-19 led disruptions continue the more policy support will be required.
In such a scenario the limits to counter cyclical support will be tested, more so for countries other than the US. The US Dollar remains the funding currency and may regain an upper-hand incase of further delay in vaccine rollouts or mobility restrictions.
Read 8 tweets
Sahil Kapoor Profile picture
14 Sep 20
Reading next:
The Ride of a Lifetime: Lessons in Creative Leadership from 15 Years as CEO of the Walt Disney Company by Robert Iger
@AmazonKindle
Reco- @ankitapathak_

amzn.in/bYXAXBP Image
In your work, in your life, you’ll be more respected and trusted by the people around you if you honestly own up to your mistakes. It’s impossible not to make them; but it is possible to acknowledge them, learn from them, and set an example that it’s okay to get things wrong.
What’s not okay is to undermine others by lying about something or covering your own ass first.
Read 5 tweets

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