I agree with you Rob about the severe social + educational impacts of lockdowns which children in countries that suppressed the virus with strong local public health measures to suppress infection have avoided. (1)
But look at the figures from your own pre-print study. 5.1% of 12-17yo positivecases had symptoms lasting over a month, with at least 4 out of five having neurological symptoms (2)
A recent study of 394 + and 388 Covid - adult controls who had brain scans before the pandemic and after showed loss of brain cortex tissue in taste and smell areas of the brain in + cases. (3) medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
The authors from Imperial and Oxford end the paper saying "whether these changes prefigure a future vulnerability of the limbic system, including memory, for these patients remains to be investigated" (4)
If we assume half of the 4.1 million children aged 12-17 become infected, we could see 85000 children with these neurological symptoms, based on yr figurex, with unknown future effects on the developing brain. This is not 'minor' (5)
These figures suggest an urgent need to vaccinate children aged 12 and over. The problem of school absences is entirely due to government policy neglect of suppression policies and we are now in an impossible position where community transmission is way too high. (6)
In India, the paediatric recommendations are to reopen schools only when case positivity rate is <5% + falling for 2wks, and when cases are <20 per 100,000 for 2 weeks. (7)
Our UK policy is now to let schoolchildren "take it on the chin" and expose tens of thousands of kids to unacceptable symptoms and future risk. (8)
If govt had properly financed local public health teams, recruited an army of contact tracers on the ground, and paid cases and contacts to isolate, as they cd have done in Mar 2020, July 2020 and May 2021, we would not be in this awful choice between sch closure + brain harm (9)
Given the govts position, urgent rollout of vaccines to the 12-17 age group, and I would argue down to aged 5, is the minimum we can do to protect kids. (10)
So i dont think our positions are that polarised. But i will disagree if you think risks to children from Covid are trivial, or you oppose their vaxx. And im not going to let the govt off the hook from their reckless public health neglect. (12)

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More from @globalhlthtwit

17 Jun
We were told you cannot suppress Covid so "we must live with the virus". When Asian states did suppress Covid19, within a month by early March 2020, SAGE were 'unanimous' that these states would face a huge second wave. Here are the cases in UK, S Korea and China: (1)
...and here are the deaths (2)
And here is a comparison of death rates in countries that did and did not suppress the virus with effective find, test and supported isolation programmes. (3)
Read 13 tweets
8 Jun
Modelling is very tricky right now. It's very difficult to predict the future given uncertainty about transmission of the delta variant, the impact of behaviour changes and levels of population immunity. I'm not a modelIer so here are some differing views (1)
The original Warwick model from the government SPI(M) committee gave a very pessimistic view of the impact of a 40% increase in transmission on hospital admissions...and many think the increase is now 70%. But they are currently revising their model. (2)
This latest thread from mathematician James Ward is interesting and expresses uncertainties clearly. (3)
Read 8 tweets
7 Jun
Watching Ruth Davidson’s excellent documentary on Footballs Gambling Addiction. Shows how our children are being led into addiction in order to fund the Premier League. “A parasite taking over the host”, we need to protect children. cap-2030.org
I’m proud that my team @MillwallFC has never had a shirt sponsored by a gambling company.
On average there is one gambling related suicide every DAY in the UK.
Read 4 tweets
23 May
New Public Health England Report on variants shows people vaccinated with one dose are only 34% protected against B.617.2 (India). (1)
And that variant B617.2 is spreading rapidly. (2)
This new UK data fits with anecdotal experience in Delhi where many vaccinated people have become ill or been hospitalized requiring oxygen. Of 244 doctors in Delhi who have died, 3% reported to be fully vaccinated. (3)
Read 6 tweets
20 May
It seems virtually none of the £38 BILLION has been spent on local public health teams. So where has all the money gone?
£38 billion is equivalent to the entire England national spend on public health for the next TEN years, and almost seven times the current global commitment to the Covax scheme for global vaccination.
The outsourcing to Serco, G4S, and Sitel, employing 50,000 workers has had little public health impact, abuses employees rights, and makes use of mini-umbrella companies to avoid tax.
Read 4 tweets
28 Apr
Our thoughts and prayers are with all our colleagues and friends in India, Bangladesh and Nepal right now. This catastrophe means vaccine production MUST expand beyond the few companies who hold patents. Otherwise many MILLIONS of people across the world will die.
Covax is not enough. It is at the mercy of governments and big Pharma.They are undermining it. And World Bank loans to countries to acquire vaccines at inflated prices are stopping Covax procurement from the same companies!
World leaders have had a year to act, but done nothing on a patent waiver. Vaccines, oxygen, ventilators are a public good. They should not be provided through the highest bidders and black markets.
Read 5 tweets

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