In the aftermath of Labour's win in #BatleyAndSpen, and in particular the many comments thereon, a thread on the huge the challenges the party faces. 1/11
On all sides of the party there are many people who seek to offer prescriptions of what is needed to revive Labour's fortunes. Their views are strongly held. It seems impossible that evidence, of any kind, will shift them. 2/
The problem is that these strongly-held clear prescriptions, clash. Much of the comment fails to acknowledge that all the 'solutions' face loud, heart-felt opposition within the party. 3/
Here are five of the big issues of the day. The Labour position (by which I mean the position not of the leadership, but the membership and (potential) voters) on each of them is, to deploy understatement, unclear. 4/
1. Brexit. Should we embrace it; seek to improve the operation of the TCA and NI Protocol; seek to join the CU and SM; or rejoin? 5/
2. The economy. Is there a 'magic money tree', what limits should there be on spending, and how should any extra revenue which may be needed be found? 6/
3. Winning elections. Is Labour thinking hard about some sort of progressive alliance? Or does it think it can win alone? 7/
4. COVID. What does Labour's version of 'living with the virus' mean? What steps will it take for health, education, etc? 8/
5. Culture wars and identity politics. Somehow, Labour has yet to fashion a narrative in response to Conservative 'will of the people' flag-waving. 9/
What's most depressing is that these (in some cases difficult) issues are rarely debated (at least openly).
Instead, we see a proxy war, centred around personalities - Corbyn, Blair, Starmer, Burnham, Rayner etc. 10/
In an environment where the various sides, each convinced of their own position, are failing to talk to each other, it is difficult to see progress can be made. 11/11
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A thread on #euro2020... and on the prospects of 'it coming home' (this is mainly for my 2 overexcited kids).
In the heady aftermath of the win v Germany, and looking at the seemingly inviting 'path to the final', it is easy to get carried away. 1/9
Add to that the seemingly impregnable defence, the home advantage in the semi and the final, and the leadership of Gareth Southgate (see theplayerstribune.com/posts/dear-eng…) and you 'dare to dream'. 2/
But... we have only made it into the last 8. So, there are 7 other nations who will be thinking that this might be their year. They all have hope. For now. There will only be one winner. 3/
There's lots of thinking about a so-called progressive alliance. It is perhaps useful to distinguish between various forms of progressive alliance. Let me set out three versions - there are clearly many varieties within each. 1/12
First, a bottom-up strategy, relying on voters to make the sensible choice, and coalesce behind the candidate most likely to beat the Conservative. This may be accompanied by a non-aggression pact (of sorts) and an absence of campaigning in non-target seats. 2/
Second, a more formal electoral alliance between the opposition parties, with agreements not to stand candidates in particular seats. 3/
I was struck by the part on the EU - whether it will continue to try to find flexibilities and compromises, or whether it will start taking a much tougher line. 1/8
The post references the Orbanized flavour of the Johnson regime... and the EU faces similar questions as regards both the UK and Poland and Hungary. 2/
The UK is determinedly seeking to avoid its obligations under the NI Protocol, seeking to free itself from the chamber it has gotten itself into. Attempts to enforce the Protocol will be slow and difficult. 3/
A quick thread on coronavirus restrictions and universities - which are, I was reminded, just 12 weeks away from welcoming students for the new academic year in September.
The postponement of 'freedom day' has a number of serious implications. 1/8
There was a lot of focus on 'double-jabbing' in order to slow the increase in transmission rates in yesterday's briefing.
Will UK-based school leavers be double-jabbed by September? 2/8
Will unis be able to responsible for ensuring that students have been vaccinated (and is there a link between that and the ability to run lectures of up to 500 students; or will those be online only)?
Brexit is topping the news again today. But it is puzzling to see how the arguments are framed.
We are not 'back in 2019', though we face the same challenges as we did then. 1/7
In case people have forgotten, Brexit was 'done'. The Withdrawal Agreement, the NI Protocol, and, later, the TCA (Trade and Cooperation Agreement) were agreed - by the EU and the UK. 2/7
These agreements involve a lot of commitments on both sides. They establish a set of Committees in which ongoing issues will be addressed. They include dispute resolution procedures. 3/7